Position: AI Lock-In Is in Progress, and We Must Be Prepared

Abstract

AI safety research has mainly focused on two areas: technical alignment (ensuring AI systems produce human-aligned outputs) and the regulation of generative AI's societal impacts (including unemployment risk and labor market disruption). However, an equally important dimension remains underexplored: the risk inherent in dependence on AI systems themselves. In this position paper, we argue that AI safety research should address AI Lock-In, the phenomenon whereby excessive reliance on AI systems leads to human deskilling, diminishes human capacity for independent functioning, and creates systemic vulnerabilities when AI systems become unavailable or compromised. We highlight that AI Lock-In is a systemic threat that is already emerging at individual, societal, and national levels, one that could be dramatically amplified by AI service disruptions or geopolitical conflicts. Drawing on detailed scenarios, we investigate how AI Lock-In emerges and escalates across multiple levels, ranging from individual skill atrophy to national-scale infrastructure failures. To address this, we provide guidance on how such risks can be mitigated and prepared for at each level. We contend that proactively addressing AI Lock-In before such dependencies become entrenched, or even irreversible, is essential for preserving individual autonomy and national security.