SearcharxivSearch

arXiv · 2609.13861

Restart Degeneration of the Swing Filter and a Simple Repair

Abstract

The Swing filter extends a feasible line through its previous recording and restarts from a fitted value at the last accepted sample. We show that this inherited endpoint causes a singular loss of compression on rough input. For uniformly sampled Brownian motion at fixed tolerance, every fixed number of recording times converges to the first continuous feasibility boundary, with alternating boundary errors. The longest post-first segment tends to zero in probability. The segment-count ratio against a continuous approximation through true sampled knots diverges almost surely whenever that boundary precedes the observation horizon. For unit Gaussian increments, constrained least squares and no maximum lag, the first mean segment length has quadratic order in the tolerance $E$, the second has linear order, and every fixed mean from the third onward has order $E\log E$. We explain the logarithm through the conditional survival tail and prove a geometric bound on the subsequent approach to the stationary coefficient in the large-tolerance limit. The stationary mean satisfies $C_E\simγ_{\mathrm{Swing}}E\log E$. An explicit one-dimensional kernel specifies the single coefficient $γ_{\mathrm{Swing}}\approx1.8120703$ and admits a $3/4$ Wasserstein contraction and convergent evaluation brackets. The decimal is not a certified error interval. A half-budget slope corridor, true endpoint chords and one-sample bridges repair the degeneration while preserving the original error bound, continuous output and constant working memory. Including bridge costs, the long-stream mean span per output segment is asymptotic to $21ζ(3)E^2/(8π^2)$. Its explicit coefficient follows from the known Brownian anchored lifetime. Thus a change to the recording rule restores the quadratic scale.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Yue Chen. 2026-09-12. Restart Degeneration of the Swing Filter and a Simple Repair. https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.13861

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Bias-Correction for Privacy-Protected Spatial Autoregressive Models with Application to Restaurant Network Analysis

Spatial autoregressive (SAR) models and their extensions are important tools for studying network effects. However, with an increasing emphasis on data privacy, data providers often implement protection measures that render standard SAR models inapplicable. In this study, we introduce a privacy-protected SAR model that incorporates noise into both the response and covariates to meet privacy requirements. With noise present in both components, the traditional quasi-maximum likelihood estimator becomes difficult to compute because the likelihood function cannot be directly formulated. To bypass this hurdle, we begin with a pseudo-likelihood approach, initially omitting the noise in the covariates. A Newton-Raphson algorithm is then applied to compute the estimator; however, the estimator is biased. To address this, we propose a bias-corrected Newton-Raphson-type algorithm that simultaneously accounts for noise in both the response and covariates. We further show, under appropriate regularity conditions, that the resulting estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal. To further enhance computational efficiency, we also develop a bias-corrected least squares estimator. Several extensions are discussed, and the finite-sample performance of the proposed methods is evaluated through extensive simulations. We apply the proposed methodology to restaurant transaction data from a third-party payment platform. Our method identifies a statistically significant competitive network effect among restaurants and further reveals meaningful restaurant-customer interaction patterns.

stat.ME

A variational framework for modal estimation

Multivariate mode estimation arises in many statistical problems such as inverse problems, multimodal sampling, and density-based clustering, but becomes challenging in moderate to high dimensions, especially when the underlying density is not directly evaluable. We introduce GERVE (Gibbs-measure Entropy-Regularized Variational Estimation), a sample-based method for estimating multivariate modes by approximating Gibbs distributions directly from samples, without estimating or evaluating the density. GERVE uses Gaussian-mixture variational annealing and natural-gradient optimization, producing a mixture concentrated in high-density regions whose component responsibilities also provide a clustering of the observations. We prove theoretical guarantees in two regimes: as the Gibbs temperature goes to zero, the optimal variational mixture concentrates around the global modes of the population density; at fixed positive temperature, we prove existence, consistency, and asymptotic normality of empirical maximizers and propose a bootstrap procedure for uncertainty quantification. Simulations and a real-data experiment show that GERVE accurately recovers modes and produces meaningful clusters.

stat.ME

Objective Model Prior Probabilities in Variable Selection

For many years it was routine to use equal model prior probabilities in Bayesian model uncertainty analysis. At least twenty years ago it became clear that this was problematic, leading to support of much too large models in the increasingly huge model spaces being considered in genomics and other fields. A popular replacement was to adopt a suggestion of Harold Jeffreys for the variable selection problem in which a total of $k$ possible variables are being considered for inclusion in the model: give the collection of all models containing $d$ variables ($d = 0, . . . , k$) prior probability $1/(k + 1)$ and then divide this prior probability equally among the models in the collection. Many other choices of model prior probabilities that impose severe parsimony have also been introduced. We begin by reviewing the problems with using equal model prior probabilities and then discuss some serious problems with the Jeffreys choice. Finally, we introduce and study a number of objective alternative choices of model prior probabilities, from both numerical and theoretical perspectives.

stat.ME