Searcharxiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2609.38936

Signal-Routed Temperature Scaling: Low-Capacity Risk-Conditioned Calibration for Small Validation Budgets

Wenhao Liang·Liangwei Nathan Zheng·Lin Yue·Wei Emma Zhang·Mingyu Guo·Olaf Maennel·Weitong Chen
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

When a classifier is recalibrated from only a few thousand held-out examples, the capacity of the calibration map becomes a statistical design choice rather than a purely architectural one: a scalar map can underfit structured residual miscalibration, while a highly adaptive map can be hard to estimate reliably from so small a split. We disentangle the calibration objective from adaptive capacity and propose signal-routed temperature scaling (SRTS-BCE), a 10-parameter, argmax-preserving calibrator that cross-fits a correctness-risk score over six logit statistics and fits one top-label-BCE temperature per $K=3$ risk groups, recovering TvA-TS as its $K=1$ limit. On fine-tuned CIFAR-100 / ViT-B/16, SRTS-BCE reduces $\mathrm{ECE}_{15}$ from 1.65 (scalar TvA-TS) to 0.96, matching the higher-capacity SMART+BCE head (0.95) at the full calibration budget. The two regimes separate as the budget shrinks: at $n=250$ SRTS-BCE beats SMART+BCE on all three CIFAR-100 backbones (the seed-to-draw hierarchical interval excludes zero), whereas the flagship comparison against the scalar remains directional. A protocol-frozen Tiny-ImageNet follow-up reproduces the small-budget separation and exhibits a budget-dependent ranking reversal on Swin-T; matched routing and map controls show that the effect is tied neither to the learned router nor to discrete grouping. Together the results identify post-hoc calibrator capacity as a finite-sample design choice whose preferred level shifts with the amount of available calibration data.

Explore related subjects

cs.LGcs.AI

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Wenhao Liang, Liangwei Nathan Zheng, Lin Yue, Wei Emma Zhang, Mingyu Guo, Olaf Maennel, Weitong Chen. 2026-09-30. Signal-Routed Temperature Scaling: Low-Capacity Risk-Conditioned Calibration for Small Validation Budgets. https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.38936

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

CHAOSMINING: Benchmarking Post-Hoc Attribution with Sparse Informative Features in High Dimensions

Post-hoc attribution is widely used to identify important model inputs, but evaluating whether these attributions identify truly informative features is difficult because real datasets rarely provide reliable ground truth. We introduce a multimodal benchmark containing symbolic tabular, vision, and audio tasks with known informative feature sets. In the main benchmark conditions, informative variables, spatial regions, or channels occupy fixed input coordinates while the remaining inputs provide irrelevant or distracting information. We use the benchmark to study how attribution quality depends on predictive performance, irrelevant-feature burden and structure, model configuration, and attribution mechanism, while separately measuring identification, stability, and computational cost. In most symbolic-data sweeps, informative-set identification co-varies with predictive performance, while the relative ordering of attribution methods remains largely stable. Across modalities, no method dominates all architectures and conditions, and greater attribution complexity does not consistently improve identification. Simple gradient attribution is often competitive at lower computational cost, while the vision and audio results show that architecture and the form of irrelevant content materially affect attribution quality.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

HardCore Generation: Generating Hard UNSAT Problems for Data Augmentation

Efficiently determining the satisfiability of a boolean equation -- known as the SAT problem for brevity -- is crucial in various industrial problems. Recently, the advent of deep learning methods has introduced significant potential for enhancing SAT solving. However, a major barrier to the advancement of this field has been the scarcity of large, realistic datasets. The majority of current public datasets are either randomly generated or extremely limited, containing only a few examples from unrelated problem families. These datasets are inadequate for meaningful training of deep learning methods. In light of this, researchers have started exploring generative techniques to create data that more accurately reflect SAT problems encountered in practical situations. These methods have so far suffered from either the inability to produce challenging SAT problems or time-scalability obstacles. In this paper we address both by identifying and manipulating the key contributors to a problem's ``hardness'', known as cores. Although some previous work has addressed cores, the time costs are unacceptably high due to the expense of traditional heuristic core detection techniques. We introduce a fast core detection procedure that uses a graph neural network. Our empirical results demonstrate that we can efficiently generate problems that remain hard to solve and retain key attributes of the original example problems. We show via experiment that the generated synthetic SAT problems can be used in a data augmentation setting to provide improved prediction of solver runtimes.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

How Vulnerable Is My Learned Policy? Universal Adversarial Perturbation Attacks On Modern Behavior Cloning Policies

Imitation learning, also known as learning from demonstrations, is a popular approach to train AI models; however, the vulnerability of these models to adversarial attacks remains underexplored. We present the first systematic study of adversarial attacks, across a range of both classic and recently proposed imitation learning algorithms, including Vanilla Behavior Cloning (Vanilla BC), LSTM-GMM, Implicit Behavior Cloning (IBC), Diffusion Policy (DP), and Vector-Quantized Behavior Transformer (VQ-BET). We study the vulnerability of these methods to white-box, grey-box and black-box adversarial perturbations. Our experiments reveal that most existing methods are highly vulnerable to these attacks, including black-box transfer attacks that transfer across algorithms. White-box attacks cause at least a 65% reduction in average task success across all evaluated tasks and algorithms, while the black-box transfer attacks reduce task success by up to 88% on Lift, 99% on Can, and 100% on Square. To the best of our knowledge, we are the first to study and compare the vulnerabilities of different popular imitation learning algorithms to both white-box and black-box attacks. Our findings highlight the vulnerabilities of modern imitation learning algorithms, paving the way for future work in addressing such limitations. Videos and code are available at https://sites.google.com/view/uap-attacks-on-bc.

cs.LG↗