When, Why, and How CMB Compression Fails

Abstract

We test when compressed CMB likelihoods can be reliably used to constrain new physics beyond $Λ$CDM, formulating concrete criteria for \textit{when}, \textit{why}, and \textit{how} CMB compression fails. We derive our conclusions by exploring a broad set of models that modify different aspects of the cosmological evolution, including late-time dark-energy dynamics, non-standard late-time dark-matter evolution through interactions or decay, and dark-matter models with persistently non-standard redshift evolution. For each case, we compare the results obtained from data combinations based on the full Planck-CMB likelihood with their counterparts based on a compressed CMB likelihood calibrated in $Λ$CDM. We find that the compression remains accurate for late-time dark-energy extensions that preserve the dark-matter background evolution and do not introduce significant additional perturbative effects. By contrast, modifying the dark-matter evolution breaks the mapping between the present-day matter density and the matter density at the epochs relevant to the CMB, causing the compressed constraints to fail even when the modification acts exclusively at late times. In these cases, the compressed likelihood can drastically alter the geometry of the multidimensional posterior distributions, shifting their centers, producing strongly anisotropic deformations, reordering principal modes, and generating genuine mixing and rotation of their eigendirections. These multidimensional distortions propagate into substantially incorrect marginalized constraints on cosmological parameters, with differences between the full and compressed analyses reaching nearly an order of magnitude in some of the cases studied here.