Searcharxiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2611.08314

Interpretable many-body interaction laws for collective motion from few trajectories

Timon S. Gutleb
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

Models of collective motion usually reduce social interactions to pairwise forces, despite empirical evidence for many-body effects. We introduce the directional atomic cluster expansion (dACE), which adapts the atomic cluster expansion (ACE) of interatomic potentials to self-propelled agents. dACE provides a systematically improvable, exactly equivariant expansion of an agent's acceleration that splits uniquely into 1-, 2-, 3-body and higher contributions, along with a self term for the agent's own past motion that is fitted so that it does not absorb the interactions. On simulated collectives in two and three dimensions with known rules, dACE recovers the interaction law body order by body order from little data, while the neural model SocialNet, the current closest competitor, needs more data, has much larger errors on many-body or chiral rules and is restricted to 2D. On real data sets of tracked zebrafish and golden shiners, the laws learned by dACE agree better between disjoint halves of the data than SocialNet's. The learned laws are interpretable, and in the shiners the 3-body term opposes the pairwise response as neighbourhoods get dense. Finally, we show that next-step prediction accuracy mostly measures self-propulsion and noise rather than the interactions, and suggest more robust combinations of error measures for interaction learning.

Explore related subjects

cs.LGphysics.bio-phq-bio.QM

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Timon S. Gutleb. 2026-11-05. Interpretable many-body interaction laws for collective motion from few trajectories. https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.08314

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

A Theoretical Bridge Between Long-Tailed Recognition and Continual Learning

We theoretically and empirically establish a previously unexplored connection between Long-Tailed Recognition (LTR) and Continual Learning (CL). Specifically, we show that training on a long-tailed dataset with imbalance factor $\mathrm{IF}$ drives model parameters into an $O(1/\sqrt{\mathrm{IF}})$ neighborhood of the dominant-class solution, under both uniform and exponentially decaying cardinality distributions. Building on this result, we establish an objective-level reformulation of LTR as a sequential learning problem and prove that the CL objective upper-bounds the balanced LTR loss up to a constant determined by the residual Head loss. Motivated by this connection, we introduce Continual Learning for Long-Tailed Recognition (CLTR), a principled framework that leverages standard off-the-shelf CL methods to sequentially learn Head and Tail classes while mitigating catastrophic forgetting. Extensive experiments on CIFAR100-LT, CIFAR10-LT, ImageNet-LT, and Caltech256 validate our theoretical predictions and demonstrate strong performance across diverse LTR benchmarks. In the foundation-model regime, CLTR with DualPrompt on a CLIP backbone outperforms standard adaptation baselines and is competitive with specialized methods using external semantic supervision. Our work bridges LTR and CL both theoretically and empirically, providing a principled approach for addressing long-tailed learning using standard CL strategies.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Isotonic Quantile Regression Averaging for uncertainty quantification of electricity price forecasts

Quantifying the uncertainty of forecasting models is essential to assess and mitigate the risks associated with data-driven decisions, especially in volatile domains such as electricity markets. In this paper, we propose a computationally efficient isotonic variant of Quantile Regression Averaging (QRA), called Isotonic Quantile Regression Averaging (iQRA), for generating probabilistic forecasts from ensembles of point forecasts. Building on QRA, we introduce stochastic order constraints as a hyperparameter-free regularization mechanism that reduces computational complexity while maintaining competitive forecast accuracy. We further demonstrate that the same isotonic regularization principle can be applied to the smoothed estimator of QRA. In an extensive forecasting study of two European day-ahead electricity markets, we show that iQRA and its smoothed variant consistently rank among the top state-of-the-art postprocessing methods in terms of reliability and sharpness. It produces well-calibrated prediction intervals, with smoothed iQRA providing superior reliability even when compared against coverage-oriented conformal prediction. We further introduce a battery arbitrage evaluation, showing that the leading probabilistic methods achieve the highest profit per trade and that probabilistic risk control improves the economic value of trading decisions. Isotonic regularization offers a scalable hyperparameter-free variable selection for linear quantile regression, making iQRA attractive for practical decision-support systems in energy markets.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2026

Causal Representation Learning from Multimodal Clinical Records under Non-Random Modality Missingness

Clinical notes contain rich patient information, such as diagnoses or medications, making them valuable for patient representation learning. Recent advances in large language models have further improved the ability to extract meaningful representations from clinical texts. However, clinical notes are often missing. For example, in our MIMIC-IV cohort, 35.15% of patients have no eligible discharge summaries. In such cases, representations can be learned from other modalities such as structured data, chest X-rays, or radiology reports. Yet the availability of these modalities is influenced by clinical decision-making and varies across patients, potentially producing modality missing-not-at-random (MMNAR) patterns. We propose a causal representation learning framework that leverages observed data and informative missingness in multimodal clinical records. It consists of: (1) an MMNAR-aware modality fusion component that integrates structured data, imaging, and text while conditioning on missingness patterns to capture patient health and clinician-driven assignment; (2) a modality reconstruction component with latent alignment to preserve modality information in the learned representation; and (3) a multitask outcome prediction model with a rectifier that corrects for residual bias from specific modality observation patterns. Comprehensive evaluations across MIMIC-IV and eICU show consistent gains over the strongest baselines, achieving relative AUC improvements of up to 4.3% for hospital readmission and 2.7% for ICU admission.

cs.LG↗