The Future of Ultra High Energy Cosmic Rays

Abstract

Contrary to earlier expectations, several cosmic ray events with energies above $10^{20}$ eV have been reported by a number of ultra-high energy cosmic ray observatories. According to the AGASA experiment, the flux of such events is well above the predicted Greisen-Zatsepin-Kuzmin cutoff due to the pion production of extragalactic cosmic ray protons off the cosmic microwave background. In addition to the relatively high flux of events, the isotropic distribution of arrival directions and an indication of small scale clustering strongly challenge all models proposed to resolve this puzzle. We discuss how the GZK cutoff is modified by the local distribution of galaxies and how astrophysical proton sources with soft injection spectra are ruled out by AGASA data. Sources with hard injection spectrum are barely allowed by the observed spectrum. If the most recent claims by AGASA that the highest energy events are due to clustered nuclei are confirmed, the most plausible explanation are astrophysical sources with very hard spectra such as extragalactic unipolar inductors. In addition, extragalactic magnetic fields need to be well below the current nano-Gauss upper limits. Alternatively, if the primaries are not nuclei, the need for new physics explanations is paramount. We present an overview of the theoretical proposals along with their most general signatures to be tested by upcoming experiments.