The Size-Frequency Distribution of Dormant Jupiter Family Comets

Abstract

We estimate the total number and the slope of the size frequency distribution (SFD) of dormant Jupiter Family Comets (JFCs) by fitting a one-parameter model to the known population. We first select 61 Near Earth Objects (NEOs) that are likely to be dormant JFCs because their orbits are dynamically coupled to Jupiter (Bottke et al, 2002). Then, from the numerical simulations of Levison & Duncan (1997), we construct an orbit distribution model for JFCs in the NEO orbital element space. We assume an orbit independent SFD for all JFCs, the slope of which is our unique free parameter. Finally, we compute observational biases for dormant JFCs using a calibrated NEO survey simulator (Jedicke et al. 2003). By fitting the biased model to the data, we estimate that there are ~75 dormant JFCs with H<18 in the NEO region and that the slope of their cumulative SFD is -1.5 +/- 0.3. Our slope for the SFD of dormant JFCs is very close to that of active JFCs as determined by Weissman and Lowry (2003). Thus, we argue that when JFCs fade they are likely to become dormant rather than to disrupt and that the fate of faded comets is size independent. Our results imply that the size distribution of the JFC progenitors - the scattered disk trans-Neptunian population - either (i) has a similar and shallow SFD or (i') is slightly steeper and physical processes acting on the comets in a size-dependent manner creates the shallower active comet SFD. Our measured slope, typical of collisionally evolved populations with a size dependent impact strength (Benz and Asphaug 1999), suggests that scattered disk bodies reached collisional equilibrium inside the proto-planetary disk prior to their removal from the planetary region.