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Promiscuity and the Evolution of Sexual Transmitted Diseases

Sebastian Goncalves·Marcelo Kuperman·Marcelo Ferreira da Costa Gomes
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Abstract

We study the relation between different social behaviors and the onset of epidemics in a model for the dynamics of sexual transmitted diseases. The model considers the society as a system of individual sexuated agents that can be organized in couples and interact with each other. The different social behaviors are incorporated assigning what we call a promiscuity value to each individual agent. The individual promiscuity is taken from a distributions and represents the daily probability of going out to look for a sexual partner, abandoning its eventual mate. In terms of this parameter we find a threshold for the epidemic which is much lower than the classical fully mixed model prediction, i.e. $R_0$ (basic reproductive number) $= 1$. Different forms for the distribution of the population promiscuity are considered showing that the threshold is weakly sensitive to them. We study the homosexual and the heterosexual case as well.

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Sebastian Goncalves, Marcelo Kuperman, Marcelo Ferreira da Costa Gomes. 2003-02-27. Promiscuity and the Evolution of Sexual Transmitted Diseases. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0378-4371(03)00429-1

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