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Dynamical epidemic suppression using stochastic prediction and control

I. B. Schwartz·L. Billings·E. M. Bollt
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Abstract

We consider the effects of noise on a model of epidemic outbreaks, where the outbreaks appear. randomly. Using a constructive transition approach that predicts large outbreaks, prior to their occurrence, we derive an adaptive control. scheme that prevents large outbreaks from occurring. The theory inapplicable to a wide range of stochastic processes with underlying deterministic structure.

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I. B. Schwartz, L. Billings, E. M. Bollt. 2005-10-18. Dynamical epidemic suppression using stochastic prediction and control. https://doi.org/10.1103/physreve.70.046220

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