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Do medium range ensemble forecasts give useful predictions of temporal correlations?

Stephen Jewson
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Abstract

Medium range ensemble forecasts are typically used to derive predictions of the conditional marginal distributions of future events on individual days. We assess whether they can also be used to predict the conditional correlations between different days.

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Stephen Jewson. 2003-10-16. Do medium range ensemble forecasts give useful predictions of temporal correlations?. https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0310079

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