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Year-ahead Prediction of Hurricane Season Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical Atlantic

Jonathan Meagher·Stephen Jewson
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Abstract

One possible method for the year-ahead prediction of hurricane numbers would be to make a year-ahead prediction of sea surface temperature (SST), and then to apply relationships that link SST to hurricane numbers. As a first step towards setting up such a system this article compares three simple statistical methods for the year-ahead prediction of the relevant SSTs.

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Jonathan Meagher, Stephen Jewson. 2006-06-21. Year-ahead Prediction of Hurricane Season Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical Atlantic. https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0606185

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