arXiv subjects

Özkan Canay

Publications and source records attributed to Özkan Canay.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

SoftMCC: An MCC-Brier Calibration Bridge for Threshold-Free Model Selection under Class Imbalance

Model selection for imbalanced binary classification often uses the Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC), but thresholding makes validation rankings threshold-dependent. SoftMCC is a post-training MCC validation framework on established probability-valued confusion counts, coupling an MCC-specific calibrated identity with a tie-aware, shared-pool selection protocol. Its core score is a covariance-normalized probability-label association, reduces exactly to MCC for hard predictions, and is Pearson-bounded. Under perfect population calibration it equals the Brier skill score with identical candidate ordering; outside that regime the gap does not identify calibration error. Across 18 settings with 12 duplicate-safe grouped repeats, SoftMCC attains the best stability mean rank (2.31) and highest mean tie-corrected Kendall's W (0.659), with a significant Friedman test (p=0.007); Nemenyi analysis separates it from AUPRC and MCC@0.5, while 14-source-family sensitivity retains only the latter. Selected-model utility shows no advantage. Three of six prespecified comparisons have negative mean test-MCC differences, only F1@best survives Holm correction (p=0.014), and the dataset-level test is not significant (p=0.117). Label permutation lowers mean W to 0.092; temperature scaling shifts SoftMCC rankings (mean Spearman 0.851) whereas rank-based and threshold-optimized metrics remain invariant. SoftMCC is a calibration-sensitive MCC-family selector with bounded stability and utility evidence.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

An Interpretable CF-RL-TOPSIS Fusion Model for Skills-Aware Talent Recommendation

Effective skills-aware talent recommendation must balance behavioral transition patterns, trajectory-sensitive adaptation, and inspectable occupation-level criteria. Evidence from public benchmarks on how these signals interact, however, remains limited. This study proposes CF-RL-TOPSIS, an interpretable late-fusion model that integrates a transition-aware collaborative branch, a compact reinforcement-style occupation-family bandit, and an entropy-weighted TOPSIS branch constructed from six semantic proxies; the validation-selected fusion coefficients remain auditable. The model is evaluated on two frozen public ICT talent-history benchmarks, JobHop and Karrierewege, using repeated chronological top-5 ranking and paired Wilcoxon tests. On JobHop the full hybrid attains NDCG@5 = 0.3040 +/- 0.0073 and significantly surpasses repeat-last, item Markov, transition-aware collaborative filtering, the CF+TOPSIS hybrid, GRU4Rec, and SASRec (p <= 0.0039 across planned comparisons). On Karrierewege the hybrid remains competitive but does not significantly exceed the strongest Markov baseline, revealing a persistence-dominated setting in which the bandit branch appropriately shrinks to near-zero weight. Proxy-sensitivity, family-level deep Q-network, and runtime checks support this interpretation, and a worked user-level case shows how branch scores, criterion weights, and rank shifts can be inspected for an individual recommendation. The contribution is not a benchmark-agnostic superiority claim, but a reproducible account of the conditions under which transparent late fusion adds value beyond simple continuation heuristics. In semantically rich, non-saturating talent-history regimes the three branches reinforce one another; in persistence-dominated regimes the same architecture remains competitive through its collaborative backbone, with the adaptive branch correctly inactive.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2025

Augmented Web Usage Mining and User Experience Optimization with CAWAL's Enriched Analytics Data

Understanding user behavior on the web is increasingly critical for optimizing user experience (UX). This study introduces Augmented Web Usage Mining (AWUM), a methodology designed to enhance web usage mining and improve UX by enriching the interaction data provided by CAWAL (Combined Application Log and Web Analytics), a framework for advanced web analytics. Over 1.2 million session records collected in one month (~8.5GB of data) were processed and transformed into enriched datasets. AWUM analyzes session structures, page requests, service interactions, and exit methods. Results show that 87.16% of sessions involved multiple pages, contributing 98.05% of total pageviews; 40% of users accessed various services and 50% opted for secure exits. Association rule mining revealed patterns of frequently accessed services, highlighting CAWAL's precision and efficiency over conventional methods. AWUM offers a comprehensive understanding of user behavior and strong potential for large-scale UX optimization.

cs.HC↗

arXiv2025

CAWAL: A novel unified analytics framework for enterprise web applications and multi-server environments

In web analytics, cloud-based solutions have limitations in data ownership and privacy, whereas client-side user tracking tools face challenges such as data accuracy and a lack of server-side metrics. This paper presents the Combined Analytics and Web Application Log (CAWAL) framework as an alternative model and an on-premises framework, offering web analytics with application logging integration. CAWAL enables precise data collection and cross-domain tracking in web farms while complying with data ownership and privacy regulations. The framework also improves software diagnostics and troubleshooting by incorporating application-specific data into analytical processes. Integrated into an enterprise-grade web application, CAWAL has demonstrated superior performance, achieving approximately 24% and 85% lower response times compared to Open Web Analytics (OWA) and Matomo, respectively. The empirical evaluation demonstrates that the framework eliminates certain limitations in existing tools and provides a robust data infrastructure for enhanced web analytics.

cs.HC↗