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A. Daniel Carnerero

Publications and source records attributed to A. Daniel Carnerero.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Dissimilarity-Based Persistent Coverage Control of Multi-Robot Systems for Improving Solar Irradiance Prediction Accuracy in Solar Thermal Power Plants

Accurate forecasting of future solar irradiance is essential for the effective control of solar thermal power plants. Although various kriging-based methods have been proposed to address the prediction problem, these methods typically do not provide an appropriate sampling strategy to dynamically position mobile sensors for optimizing prediction accuracy in real time, which is critical for achieving accurate forecasts with a minimal number of sensors. This paper introduces a dissimilarity map derived from a kriging model and proposes a persistent coverage control algorithm that effectively guides agents toward regions where additional observations are required to improve prediction performance. By means of experiments using mobile robots, the proposed approach was shown to obtain more accurate predictions than the considered baselines under various emulated irradiance fields.

cs.RO

Net-Zero Energy House-oriented Linear Programming for the Sizing Problem of Photovoltaic Panels and Batteries

The global drive towards carbon neutrality has led to a significant increase in the number of power plants based on renewable energy sources (RES). Concurrently, numerous households are adopting RES to generate their own energy, aiming to decrease both electricity costs and carbon footprints. To support these users, many papers have been devoted to developing optimal investment strategies for residential energy systems. However, there is still a significant gap as these studies often neglect important aspects like carbon neutrality. For this reason, in this paper, we explore the concept of net-zero energy houses (ZEHs) -- houses designed to have an annual net energy consumption around zero -- by presenting a constrained optimization problem to find the optimal number of photovoltaic panels and the optimal size of the battery system for home integration. Solving this constrained optimization problem is difficult due to its nonconvex constraints. Nevertheless, by applying a series of transformations, we reveal that it is possible to find an equivalent linear programming (LP) problem which is computationally tractable. The attainment of ZEH can be tackled by introducing a single constraint in the optimization problem. Additionally, we propose a sharing economy approach to the investment problem, offering a strategy that could potentially reduce investment costs and facilitate the attainment of ZEH more efficiently. Finally, we apply the proposed frameworks to a neighborhood in Japan as a case study, demonstrating the potential for long-term ZEH attainment. The results show that, under the right incentive, users can achieve ZEH, reduce their electricity costs and have a minimal impact on the main grid.

math.OC

Stochastic Optimal Investment Strategy for Net-Zero Energy Houses

In this research, we investigate Net-Zero Energy Houses (ZEH), which harness regionally produced electricity from photovoltaic(PV) panels and fuel cells, integrating them into a local power system in pursuit of achieving carbon neutrality. This paper examines the impact of electricity sharing among users who are working towards attaining ZEH status through the integration of PV panels and battery storage devices. We propose two potential scenarios: the first assumes that all users individually invest in storage devices, hence minimizing their costs on a local level without energy sharing; the second envisions cost minimization through the collective use of a shared storage device, managed by a central manager. These two scenarios are formulated as a stochastic convex optimization and a cooperative game, respectively. To tackle the stochastic challenges posed by multiple random variables, we apply the Monte Carlo sample average approximation (SAA) to the problems. To demonstrate the practical applicability of these models, we implement the proposed scenarios in the Jono neighborhood in Kitakyushu, Japan.

econ.GN

Probabilistic interval predictor based on dissimilarity functions

This work presents a new methodology to obtain probabilistic interval predictions of a dynamical system. The proposed strategy uses stored past system measurements to estimate the future evolution of the system. The method relies on the use of dissimilarity functions to estimate the conditional probability density function of the outputs. A family of empirical probability density functions, parameterized by means of two scalars, is introduced. It is shown that the proposed family encompasses the multivariable normal probability density function as a particular case. We show that the presented approach constitutes a generalization of classical estimation methods. A validation scheme is used to tune the two parameters on which the methodology relies. In order to prove the effectiveness of the presented methodology, some numerical examples and comparisons are provided.

eess.SY