arXiv subjects

A. Fumagalli

Publications and source records attributed to A. Fumagalli.

15 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Euclid preparation. Testing template-fitting models for the multipoles of the two-point clustering of galaxy clusters

The Euclid satellite will deliver a catalogue of optically selected galaxy clusters spanning from around 2000 deg$^2$ in Data Release (DR) 1 to around $14\,000$ deg$^2$ in DR3. In this work, we assess the validity of cluster clustering (CC) models for template-fitting, which complements the full-shape methodology by providing cosmological information from the anisotropy of the redshift-space two-point correlation function (2PCF). Both methods will be used to analyse the cluster 2PCF multipoles with Euclid. We examined the multipoles of the two-point redshift-space clustering of galaxy clusters simulated with the semi-analytic PINOCCHIO code using third-order Lagrangian perturbation theory, assuming a Euclid DR1-like footprint of 500 deg$^2$ in the northern hemisphere and 1400 deg$^2$ in the southern hemisphere. We estimated the first three even multipoles of the 2PCF and associated covariance matrix from 1000 DR1-like synthetic catalogues. We studied the impact of modelling the relevant non-linearities, halo bias, and photometric redshift uncertainties on the 2PCF. We applied three clustering models to the mock catalogues at 0 10^{14}\;h^{-1}\,M_\odot$ under realistic and optimistic photometric redshift uncertainty scenarios. We formulated a set of permissive and conservative criteria that ought to be fulfilled by the multipole cut-off scales and validated them against 100 mock catalogues via an inference of the growth rate multiplied by the matter power spectrum normalisation parameter, $fσ_8$. We tested the dispersion, Scoccimarro, and Taruya-Nishimichi-Saito models. We find that the dispersion model yields unbiased inferences on $fσ_8$ from CC down to 10 $h^{-1}$ Mpc in a DR1-like setting. All clustering models provide similar goodness-of-fit metrics in the presence of DR1-like cluster redshift uncertainties.

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arXiv2026

On the cosmology dependence of the cluster weak-lensing mass bias

Measurements of the shear induced by weak gravitational lensing around galaxy cluster lines of sight are the gold standard for calibrating cluster observable-mass relations, thereby enabling a robust and precise inference of cosmological parameters. The weak-lensing mass bias is the systematic offset between the true halo mass and the mass that is inferred from the lensing data using an imperfect model for the halo mass distribution. We study the impact of cosmology on the lensing mass bias to inform future cosmological analyses of galaxy clusters. We create synthetic lensing shear maps for 115,920 projections of clusters with $M_{200\mathrm c}>1.56\times10^{14}\,h^{-1}M_\odot$ in a suite of Magneticum simulations. The simulation boxes are $896\,h^{-1}$Mpc on a side and are set up with 15 different combinations of the cosmological parameters $Ω_\mathrm{m}$, $Ω_\mathrm{b}$, $σ_8$, and $H_0$. Assuming a Navarro-Frenk-White profile, we extract weak-lensing mass measurements and quantify their bias $b_\mathrm{WL}$ with respect to the true halo mass. To investigate the impact of baryonic effects, we perform the analysis on gravity-only simulations and on their full-physics hydrodynamical counterparts. We confirm that assuming a fixed halo concentration or a fixed concentration-mass relation leads to cosmology-dependent changes of the mass bias. We report changes of up to $Δ\ln b_\mathrm{WL}=0.030$ with respect to the bias obtained at the fiducial WMAP7 cosmology. Adopting a model for the concentration that also depends on cosmology absorbs the changes in halo profiles and we recover essentially constant values for the mass bias. Our analysis of hydrodynamical simulations suggests that future, more accurate models will also need to explicitly account for the strength of baryonic effects.

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arXiv2026

Euclid preparation. XCVI. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 3. Inference and Forecasts

The Euclid mission aims to measure the positions, shapes, and redshifts of over a billion galaxies to provide unprecedented constraints on the nature of dark matter and dark energy. Achieving this goal requires a continuous reassessment of the mission's scientific performance, particularly in terms of its ability to constrain cosmological parameters, as our understanding of how to model large-scale structure observables improves. In this study, we present the first scientific forecasts using CLOE (Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid), a dedicated Euclid cosmological pipeline developed to support this endeavour. Using advanced Bayesian inference techniques applied to synthetic Euclid-like data, we sample the posterior distribution of cosmological and nuisance parameters across a variety of cosmological models and Euclid primary probes: cosmic shear, angular photometric galaxy clustering, galaxy-galaxy lensing, and spectroscopic galaxy clustering. We validate the capability of CLOE to produce reliable cosmological forecasts, showcasing Euclid's potential to achieve a figure of merit for the dark energy parameters $w_0$ and $w_a$ exceeding 400 when combining all primary probes. Furthermore, we illustrate the behaviour of the posterior probability distribution of the parameters of interest given different priors and scale cuts. Finally, we emphasise the importance of addressing computational challenges, proposing further exploration of innovative data science techniques to efficiently navigate the Euclid high-dimensional parameter space in upcoming cosmological data releases.

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arXiv2026

Euclid preparation. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 2. Code implementation

We provide a description of the code implementation and structure of Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE), developed by members of the Euclid Consortium. CLOE is a modular Python code for computing the theoretical predictions of cosmological observables and evaluating them against state-of-the-art data from galaxy surveys such as Euclid in a unified likelihood. This primarily includes the core observables of weak gravitational lensing, photometric galaxy clustering, galaxy-galaxy lensing, and spectroscopic galaxy clustering, but also extended probes such as the clusters of galaxies and cross-correlations of galaxy positions and shapes with the cosmic microwave background. While CLOE has been developed to serve as the unified framework for the parameter inferences in Euclid, it has general capabilities that can serve the broader cosmological community. It is different from other comparable cosmological tools in that it is written entirely in Python, performs the full likelihood calculation, and includes both photometric and spectroscopic observables. We will focus on the primary probes of Euclid and will describe the overall code structure, rigorous code development practices, extensive documentation, unique features, speed optimization, and future development plans. CLOE is publicly available at https://github.com/cloe-org/cloe.

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arXiv2026

Euclid: The linear-construction covariance and cosmology

We study the properties of galaxy cluster 2-point correlation function covariance matrices estimated using the linear-construction (LC) method, which is computationally up to 20 times faster than the standard sample-covariance method. Our goal is to assess how well the LC method performs in cosmological parameter estimation compared to the sample covariance. We use a set of 1000 mock dark matter halo catalogues to compute both the LC-covariance and the sample-covariance estimates in four redshift shells. These numerical matrices are used to fit a theoretical four-parameter model for the covariance. We then use the two fitted covariance models in a likelihood function to estimate two cosmological parameters - the matter density parameter $Ω_{\rm m}$ and the amplitude of the matter density fluctuations $σ_8$ - from the simulated mock catalogues. The purpose of this is to validate the LC-covariance-based model against the sample-covariance model. The catalogues were simulated assuming the spatially flat $Λ$CDM cosmology, with $Ω_{\rm m} = 0.30711$ and $σ_8=0.8288$. We find that the parameter posteriors obtained using the sample- and LC-covariance models agree well with each other and with the simulation cosmology. The two pairs of marginalized constraints are $Ω_{\rm m} = 0.307 \pm 0.003$ and $σ_8 = 0.826\pm 0.009$ (sample covariance), and $Ω_{\rm m} = 0.308 \pm 0.003$ and $σ_8 = 0.825 \pm 0.009$ (LC covariance). The posterior widths are the same, and the difference in the median values is less than $0.16\,σ$ for both parameters.

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arXiv2025

Cosmic Tunnels and the Integrated Sachs-Wolfe effect

Cosmic voids, vast underdensities in the large-scale structure, offer unique sensitivity to cosmological parameters. However, traditional 3D galaxy-based void finding is limited by many factors, including uncertainties in the galaxy-halo connection and distortions from redshift errors. Using alternative tracers and new 2D void definitions can alleviate these limitations and be tailored to maximise the signal for specific observables. Here, we introduce Cosmic Tunnels, a new class of 2D void-like objects traced by galaxy clusters, corresponding to large underdense lines of sight. We identify Cosmic Tunnels by applying the tunnel algorithm to the RASS-MCMF and ACT-MCMF cluster catalogues. We validate their void-like nature by measuring the cross-correlation of Cosmic Tunnels with galaxy density contrast maps from the DESI Legacy Survey (measured at 63$σ$ significance), galaxy weak-lensing maps from DES Y3 (31$σ$), and CMB weak-lensing maps from ACT DR6 (15$σ$), all of which show underdense interiors enclosed by compensation ridges, consistent with 3D galaxy voids, measured at high statistical significance. We also show that the lensing profiles fit the universal HSW void profile, further validating their void-like nature. We cross-correlate the Cosmic Tunnels with Planck CMB temperature maps to measure the ISW signal. Using the ACT-MCMF Cosmic Tunnels, we achieve a 3.6$σ$ ISW detection, one of the highest significances ever reported from a single tracer catalogue. These results confirm that Cosmic Tunnels are robust underdense structures and demonstrate their potential as a new tool for cosmological analyses. Finally, we report a tentative detection of a sign flip in the ISW signal at very low redshift (z<0.03), consistent with previous studies, challenging the standard $Λ\rm{CDM}$ paradigm.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

Euclid: Exploring observational systematics in cluster cosmology -- a comprehensive analysis of cluster counts and clustering

This study explores the impact of observational and modelling systematic effects on cluster number counts and cluster clustering and provides model prescriptions for their joint analysis, in the context of the \Euclid survey. Using 1000 \Euclid-like cluster catalogues, we investigate the effect of systematic uncertainties on cluster summary statistics and their auto- and cross-covariance, and perform a likelihood analysis to evaluate their impact on cosmological constraints, with a focus on the matter density parameter $Ω_{\rm m}$ and on the power spectrum amplitude $σ_8$. Combining cluster clustering with number counts significantly improves cosmological constraints, with the figure of merit increasing by over 300\% compared to number counts alone. We confirm that the two probes are uncorrelated, and the cosmological constraints derived from their combination are almost insensitive to the cosmology dependence of the covariance. We find that photometric redshift uncertainties broaden cosmological posteriors by 20--30\%, while secondary effects like redshift-space distortions (RSDs) have a smaller impact on the posteriors -- 5\% for clustering alone, 10\% when combining probes -- but can significantly bias the constraints if neglected. We show that clustering data below $60\,h^{-1}\,$Mpc provides additional constraining power, while scales larger than acoustic oscillation scale add almost no information on $Ω_{\rm m}$ and $σ_8$ parameters. RSDs and photo-$z$ uncertainties also influence the number count covariance, with a significant impact, of about 15--20\%, on the parameter constraints.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

Euclid preparation. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 6: Impact of systematic uncertainties on the cosmological analysis

Extracting cosmological information from the Euclid galaxy survey will require modelling numerous systematic effects during the inference process. This implies varying a large number of nuisance parameters, which have to be marginalised over before reporting the constraints on the cosmological parameters. This is a delicate process, especially with such a large parameter space, which could result in biased cosmological results. In this work, we study the impact of different choices for modelling systematic effects and prior distribution of nuisance parameters for the final Euclid Data Release, focusing on the 3$\times$2pt analysis for photometric probes and the galaxy power spectrum multipoles for the spectroscopic probes. We explore the effect of intrinsic alignments, linear galaxy bias, magnification bias, multiplicative cosmic shear bias and shifts in the redshift distribution for the photometric probes, as well as the purity of the spectroscopic sample. We find that intrinsic alignment modelling has the most severe impact with a bias up to $6\,σ$ on the Hubble constant $H_0$ if neglected, followed by mis-modelling of the redshift evolution of galaxy bias, yielding up to $1.5\,σ$ on the parameter $S_8\equivσ_8\sqrt{Ω_{\rm m} /0.3}$. Choosing a too optimistic prior for multiplicative bias can also result in biases of the order of $0.7\,σ$ on $S_8$. We also find that the precision on the estimate of the purity of the spectroscopic sample will be an important driver for the constraining power of the galaxy clustering full-shape analysis. These results will help prioritise efforts to improve the modelling and calibration of systematic effects in Euclid.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2024

Euclid preparation. L. Calibration of the linear halo bias in $Λ(ν)$CDM cosmologies

The Euclid mission, designed to map the geometry of the dark Universe, presents an unprecedented opportunity for advancing our understanding of the cosmos through its photometric galaxy cluster survey. This paper focuses on enhancing the precision of halo bias (HB) predictions, which is crucial for deriving cosmological constraints from the clustering of galaxy clusters. Our study is based on the peak-background split (PBS) model linked to the halo mass function (HMF); it extends with a parametric correction to precisely align with results from an extended set of $N$-body simulations carried out with the OpenGADGET3 code. Employing simulations with fixed and paired initial conditions, we meticulously analyze the matter-halo cross-spectrum and model its covariance using a large number of mock catalogs generated with Lagrangian Perturbation Theory simulations with the PINOCCHIO code. This ensures a comprehensive understanding of the uncertainties in our HB calibration. Our findings indicate that the calibrated HB model is remarkably resilient against changes in cosmological parameters including those involving massive neutrinos. The robustness and adaptability of our calibrated HB model provide an important contribution to the cosmological exploitation of the cluster surveys to be provided by the Euclid mission. This study highlights the necessity of continuously refining the calibration of cosmological tools like the HB to match the advancing quality of observational data. As we project the impact of our model on cosmological constraints, we find that, given the sensitivity of the Euclid survey, a miscalibration of the HB could introduce biases in cluster cosmology analyses. Our work fills this critical gap, ensuring the HB calibration matches the expected precision of the Euclid survey. The implementation of our model is publicly available in https://github.com/TiagoBsCastro/CCToolkit.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2024

Euclid preparation. Sensitivity to neutrino parameters

The Euclid mission of the European Space Agency will deliver weak gravitational lensing and galaxy clustering surveys that can be used to constrain the standard cosmological model and extensions thereof. We present forecasts from the combination of these surveys on the sensitivity to cosmological parameters including the summed neutrino mass $M_ν$ and the effective number of relativistic species $N_{\rm eff}$ in the standard $Λ$CDM scenario and in a scenario with dynamical dark energy ($w_0 w_a$CDM). We compare the accuracy of different algorithms predicting the nonlinear matter power spectrum for such models. We then validate several pipelines for Fisher matrix and MCMC forecasts, using different theory codes, algorithms for numerical derivatives, and assumptions concerning the non-linear cut-off scale. The Euclid primary probes alone will reach a sensitivity of $σ(M_ν)=$56meV in the $Λ$CDM+$M_ν$ model, whereas the combination with CMB data from Planck is expected to achieve $σ(M_ν)=$23meV and raise the evidence for a non-zero neutrino mass to at least the $2.6σ$ level. This can be pushed to a $4σ$ detection if future CMB data from LiteBIRD and CMB Stage-IV are included. In combination with Planck, Euclid will also deliver tight constraints on $ΔN_{\rm eff}< 0.144$ (95%CL) in the $Λ$CDM+$M_ν$+$N_{\rm eff}$ model, or $ΔN_{\rm eff}< 0.063$ when future CMB data are included. When floating $(w_0, w_a)$, we find that the sensitivity to $N_{\rm eff}$ remains stable, while that to $M_ν$ degrades at most by a factor 2. This work illustrates the complementarity between the Euclid spectroscopic and imaging/photometric surveys and between Euclid and CMB constraints. Euclid will have a great potential for measuring the neutrino mass and excluding well-motivated scenarios with additional relativistic particles.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2024

Euclid preparation. XXXIX. The effect of baryons on the Halo Mass Function

The Euclid photometric survey of galaxy clusters stands as a powerful cosmological tool, with the capacity to significantly propel our understanding of the Universe. Despite being sub-dominant to dark matter and dark energy, the baryonic component in our Universe holds substantial influence over the structure and mass of galaxy clusters. This paper presents a novel model to precisely quantify the impact of baryons on galaxy cluster virial halo masses, using the baryon fraction within a cluster as proxy for their effect. Constructed on the premise of quasi-adiabaticity, the model includes two parameters calibrated using non-radiative cosmological hydrodynamical simulations and a single large-scale simulation from the Magneticum set, which includes the physical processes driving galaxy formation. As a main result of our analysis, we demonstrate that this model delivers a remarkable one percent relative accuracy in determining the virial dark matter-only equivalent mass of galaxy clusters, starting from the corresponding total cluster mass and baryon fraction measured in hydrodynamical simulations. Furthermore, we demonstrate that this result is robust against changes in cosmological parameters and against varying the numerical implementation of the sub-resolution physical processes included in the simulations. Our work substantiates previous claims about the impact of baryons on cluster cosmology studies. In particular, we show how neglecting these effects would lead to biased cosmological constraints for a Euclid-like cluster abundance analysis. Importantly, we demonstrate that uncertainties associated with our model, arising from baryonic corrections to cluster masses, are sub-dominant when compared to the precision with which mass-observable relations will be calibrated using Euclid, as well as our current understanding of the baryon fraction within galaxy clusters.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2023

Euclid preparation. XXIV. Calibration of the halo mass function in $Λ(ν)$CDM cosmologies

Euclid's photometric galaxy cluster survey has the potential to be a very competitive cosmological probe. The main cosmological probe with observations of clusters is their number count, within which the halo mass function (HMF) is a key theoretical quantity. We present a new calibration of the analytic HMF, at the level of accuracy and precision required for the uncertainty in this quantity to be subdominant with respect to other sources of uncertainty in recovering cosmological parameters from Euclid cluster counts. Our model is calibrated against a suite of N-body simulations using a Bayesian approach taking into account systematic errors arising from numerical effects in the simulation. First, we test the convergence of HMF predictions from different N-body codes, by using initial conditions generated with different orders of Lagrangian Perturbation theory, and adopting different simulation box sizes and mass resolution. Then, we quantify the effect of using different halo-finder algorithms, and how the resulting differences propagate to the cosmological constraints. In order to trace the violation of universality in the HMF, we also analyse simulations based on initial conditions characterised by scale-free power spectra with different spectral indexes, assuming both Einstein--de Sitter and standard $Λ$CDM expansion histories. Based on these results, we construct a fitting function for the HMF that we demonstrate to be sub-percent accurate in reproducing results from 9 different variants of the $Λ$CDM model including massive neutrinos cosmologies. The calibration systematic uncertainty is largely sub-dominant with respect to the expected precision of future mass-observation relations; with the only notable exception of the effect due to the halo finder, that could lead to biased cosmological inference.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

Euclid preparation. XXVII. Covariance model validation for the 2-point correlation function of galaxy clusters

Aims. We validate a semi-analytical model for the covariance of real-space 2-point correlation function of galaxy clusters. Methods. Using 1000 PINOCCHIO light cones mimicking the expected Euclid sample of galaxy clusters, we calibrate a simple model to accurately describe the clustering covariance. Then, we use such a model to quantify the likelihood analysis response to variations of the covariance, and investigate the impact of a cosmology-dependent matrix at the level of statistics expected for the Euclid survey of galaxy clusters. Results. We find that a Gaussian model with Poissonian shot-noise does not correctly predict the covariance of the 2-point correlation function of galaxy clusters. By introducing few additional parameters fitted from simulations, the proposed model reproduces the numerical covariance with 10 per cent accuracy, with differences of about 5 per cent on the figure of merit of the cosmological parameters $Ω_{\rm m}$ and $σ_8$. Also, we find that the cosmology-dependence of the covariance adds valuable information that is not contained in the mean value, significantly improving the constraining power of cluster clustering. Finally, we find that the cosmological figure of merit can be further improved by taking mass binning into account. Our results have significant implications for the derivation of cosmological constraints from the 2-point clustering statistics of the Euclid survey of galaxy clusters.

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arXiv2021

Quantum circuits with many photons on a programmable nanophotonic chip

Growing interest in quantum computing for practical applications has led to a surge in the availability of programmable machines for executing quantum algorithms. Present day photonic quantum computers have been limited either to non-deterministic operation, low photon numbers and rates, or fixed random gate sequences. Here we introduce a full-stack hardware-software system for executing many-photon quantum circuits using integrated nanophotonics: a programmable chip, operating at room temperature and interfaced with a fully automated control system. It enables remote users to execute quantum algorithms requiring up to eight modes of strongly squeezed vacuum initialized as two-mode squeezed states in single temporal modes, a fully general and programmable four-mode interferometer, and genuine photon number-resolving readout on all outputs. Multi-photon detection events with photon numbers and rates exceeding any previous quantum optical demonstration on a programmable device are made possible by strong squeezing and high sampling rates. We verify the non-classicality of the device output, and use the platform to carry out proof-of-principle demonstrations of three quantum algorithms: Gaussian boson sampling, molecular vibronic spectra, and graph similarity.

quant-ph↗

arXiv2021

Euclid: Effect of sample covariance on the number counts of galaxy clusters

Aims. We investigate the contribution of shot-noise and sample variance to the uncertainty of cosmological parameter constraints inferred from cluster number counts in the context of the Euclid survey. Methods. By analysing 1000 Euclid-like light-cones, produced with the PINOCCHIO approximate method, we validate the analytical model of Hu & Kravtsov 2003 for the covariance matrix, which takes into account both sources of statistical error. Then, we use such covariance to define the likelihood function that better extracts cosmological information from cluster number counts at the level of precision that will be reached by the future Euclid photometric catalogs of galaxy clusters. We also study the impact of the cosmology dependence of the covariance matrix on the parameter constraints. Results. The analytical covariance matrix reproduces the variance measured from simulations within the 10 per cent level; such difference has no sizeable effect on the error of cosmological parameter constraints at this level of statistics. Also, we find that the Gaussian likelihood with cosmology-dependent covariance is the only model that provides an unbiased inference of cosmological parameters without underestimating the errors.

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