arXiv subjects

A. K. Gorshenin

Publications and source records attributed to A. K. Gorshenin.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2019

On mixture representations for the generalized Linnik distribution and their applications in limit theorems

We present new mixture representations for the generalized Linnik distribution in terms of normal, Laplace, exponential and stable laws and establish the relationship between the mixing distributions in these representations. Based on these representations, we prove some limit theorems for a wide class of rather simple statistics constructed from samples with random sized including, e. g., random sums of independent random variables with finite variances and maximum random sums, in which the generalized Linnik distribution plays the role of the limit law. Thus we demonstrate that the scheme of geometric (or, in general, negative binomial) summation is far not the only asymptotic setting (even for sums of independent random variables) in which the generalized Linnik law appears as the limit distribution.

math.PR↗

arXiv2018

Statistical tests for extreme precipitation volumes

The approaches, based on the negative binomial model for the distribution of duration of the wet periods measured in days, are proposed to the definition of extreme precipitation. This model demonstrates excellent fit with real data and provides a theoretical base for the determination of asymptotic approximations to the distributions of the maximum daily precipitation volume within a wet period as well as the total precipitation volume over a wet period. The first approach to the definition (and determination) of extreme precipitation is based on the tempered Snedecor-Fisher distribution of the maximum daily precipitation. According to this approach, a daily precipitation volume is considered to be extreme, if it exceeds a certain (pre-defined) quantile of the tempered Snedecor--Fisher distribution. The second approach is based on that the total precipitation volume for a wet period has the gamma distribution. Hence, the hypothesis that the total precipitation volume during a certain wet period is extremely large can be formulated as the homogeneity hypothesis of a sample from the gamma distribution. Two equivalent tests are proposed for testing this hypothesis. Both of these tests deal with the relative contribution of the total precipitation volume for a wet period to the considered set (sample) of successive wet periods. Within the second approach it is possible to introduce the notions of relatively and absolutely extreme precipitation volumes. The results of the application of these tests to real data are presented yielding the conclusion that the intensity of wet periods with extreme large precipitation volume increases.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2017

On the asymptotic approximation to the probability distribution of extremal precipitation

Based on the negative binomial model for the duration of wet periods measured in days, an asymptotic approximation is proposed for the distribution of the maximum daily precipitation volume within a wet period. This approximation has the form of a scale mixture of the Frechet distribution with the gamma mixing distribution and coincides with the distribution of a positive power of a random variable having the Snedecor-Fisher distribution. The proof of this result is based on the representation of the negative binomial distribution as a mixed geometric (and hence, mixed Poisson) distribution and limit theorems for extreme order statistics in samples with random sizes having mixed Poisson distributions. Some analytic properties of the obtained limit distribution are described. In particular, it is demonstrated that under certain conditions the limit distribution is mixed exponential and hence, is infinitely divisible. It is shown that under the same conditions the limit distribution can be represented as a scale mixture of stable or Weibull or Pareto or folded normal laws. The corresponding product representations for the limit random variable can be used for its computer simulation. Several methods are proposed for the estimation of the parameters of the distribution of the maximum daily precipitation volume. The results of fitting this distribution to real data are presented illustrating high adequacy of the proposed model. The obtained mixture representations for the limit laws and the corresponding asymptotic approximations provide better insight into the nature of mixed probability ("Bayesian") models.

math.PR↗

arXiv2017

Statistical Analysis of Precipitation Events

In the present paper we demonstrate the results of a statistical analysis of some characteristics of precipitation events and propose a kind of a theoretical explanation of the proposed models in terms of mixed Poisson and mixed exponential distributions based on the information-theoretical entropy reasoning. The proposed models can be also treated as the result of following the popular Bayesian approach.

math.PR↗

arXiv2015

Statistical detection of movement activities in a human brain by separation of mixture distributions

One of most popular experimental techniques for investigation of brain activity is the so-called method of evoked potentials: the subject repeatedly makes some movements (by his/her finger) whereas brain activity and some auxiliary signals are recorded for further analysis. The key problem is the detection of points in the myogram which correspond to the beginning of the movements. The more precisely the points are detected, the more successfully the magnetoencephalogram is processed aiming at the identification of sensors which are closest to the activity areas. The paper proposes a statistical approach to this problem based on mixtures models which uses a specially modified method of moving separation of mixtures of probability distributions (MSM-method) to detect the start points of the finger's movements. We demonstrate the correctness of the new procedure and its advantages as compared with the method based on the notion of the myogram window variance.

stat.AP↗