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A. Lykov

Publications and source records attributed to A. Lykov.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

Uniformly Bounded Initial Chaos in Large System Often Intensifies Infinitely

We consider infinite harmonic chain with completely deterministic dynamics. Initial data are assumed absolutely bounded. Nevertheless maximum of the variables can grow infinitely in time. We give conditions for this phenomenon. It coincides with intuitive guess that the main condition for this growth is sufficient chaos in the initial conditions.

math-ph

Energy Growth of Infinite Harmonic Chain under Microscopic Random Influence

Infinite harmonic chains of point particles with finite range translation invariant interaction have considered. It is assumed that the only one particle influenced by the white noise. We studied microscopic and macroscopic behavior of the system's energies (potential, kinetic, total) when time goes to infinity. We proved that under quite general condition on interaction potential the energies grow linearly with time on macroscopic scale, and grow as $\ln(t)$ on microscopic scale. Moreover it is turned out that the system exhibit some equipartition properties in this non equilibrium settings.

math-ph

Investor's sentiment in multi-agent model of the continuous double auction

We introduce and treat rigorously a new multi-agent model of the continuous double auction or in other words the order book (OB). It is designed to explain collective behaviour of the market when new information affecting the market arrives. The novel feature of the model is two additional slow changing parameters, the so-called sentiment functions. These sentiment functions measure the conception of the fair price of two groups of investors, namely, bulls and bears. Our model specifies differential equations for the time evolution of sentiment functions and constitutes a nonlinear Markov process which exhibits long term correlations. We explain the intuition behind equations for sentiment functions and present numerical simulations which show that the behaviour of our model is similar to the behaviour of the real market. We also obtain a diffusion limit of the model, the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process with variable volatility. The volatility is proportional to the difference of opinions of bulls and bears about the fair price of a security. The paper is complimentary to our previous work where mathematical proofs are presented.

q-fin.TR

On Simulation of Various Effects in Consolidated Order Book

This paper consists of two parts. The first part is devoted to empirical analysis of consolidated order book (COB) for the index RTS futures. In the second part we consider Poissonian multi--agent model of the COB. By varying parameters of different groups of agents submitting orders to the book we are able to model various real life phenomenons. In particular we model the spread, the profile of the book and large price changes. Two different mechanisms of large price changes are considered in detail. One is the disbalance of liquidity in the COB and another is the disbalance of sell and buy orders in the order flow.

q-fin.TR

The AdaBoost Flow

We introduce a dynamical system which we call the AdaBoost flow. The flow is defined by a system of ODEs with control. We show that three algorithms of the AdaBoost family (i) the AdaBoost algorithm of Schapire and Freund (ii) the arc-gv algorithm of Breiman (iii) the confidence rated prediction of Schapire and Singer can be can be embedded in the AdaBoost flow. The nontrivial part of the AdaBoost flow equations coincides with the equations of dynamics of nonperiodic Toda system written in terms of spectral variables. We provide a novel invariant geometrical description of the AdaBoost algorithm as a gradient flow on a foliation defined by level sets of the potential function. We propose a new approach for constructing boosting algorithms as a continuous time gradient flow on measures defined by various metrics and potential functions. Finally we explain similarity of the AdaBoost algorithm with the Perelman's construction for the Ricci flow.

stat.ML