arXiv subjects

A. Rico

Publications and source records attributed to A. Rico.

10 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Profile Analysis of the Multiwavelength 2.1-year Oscillations of PG 1553+113

We investigate the morphology of the oscillation profiles of the blazar PG~1553+113 in relation to its well-known $\sim$2.1 yr periodicity. We identify individual cycles in the $\gamma$-ray, X-ray, UV, and optical light curves and characterize their temporal profiles using analytical models for single- and multi-peaked events. We find that the oscillations are generally described by a broad activity envelope with shorter-timescale substructure, showing that the $\sim$2.1 yr signal is not a strictly sinusoidal or self-similar modulation. The internal morphology varies across cycles and energy bands. This is particularly evident in X-rays, where all analyzed cycles show a strong formal preference for multi-component profiles, unlike the $\gamma$-ray band, where several cycles admit statistically comparable empirical descriptions. The contemporaneous MWL oscillations show broadly aligned activity episodes, but the timing and relative amplitudes of secondary components are not systematically repeated. This suggests that a common long-term modulation affects the broadband emission, while additional local or energy-dependent processes shape individual cycles. Such a picture is compatible with a geometric, jet-related contribution to the broad recurrent envelope, with intrinsic variability superimposed on it. We also identify new cycles with a dominant peak accompanied by weaker twin-peak-like features, similar to structures previously discussed in a supermassive black hole binary scenario for PG~1553+113. Although our results do not provide definitive evidence for this interpretation, the recurrence of comparable morphologies in newly analyzed cycles keeps this scenario viable.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

Gamma-Ray Periodicity in Jetted AGN: Revisiting Periodicity Candidates with >17 years of Fermi-LAT Data

We reanalyze previously reported gamma-ray periodicity candidates in jetted active galactic nuclei using more than 17 years of Fermi-LAT observations. The updated data provide a robust test of whether earlier results correspond to persistent periodic behavior, to transient quasi-periodic oscillations (QPOs), or to fluctuations produced by stochastic variability. We apply complementary timing methods, including the Generalized Lomb-Scargle periodogram, Phase Dispersion Minimization, and Singular Spectrum Analysis, and estimate the test statistics using artificial light curves generated from different variability models, including simple and bending power-law power spectral densities, as well as ARIMA and ARFIMA autoregressive models. We find that most previously proposed candidates in literature are not confirmed when the longer baseline is considered, indicating that many reported periods were likely driven by limited temporal coverage and red-noise variability or transient QPO-like features rather than persistent periodic behavior. Only eight sources retain hints of periodic behavior at the >2sigma local test statistics. Among them, PG 1553+113 and S5 1044+71 remain the most significant cases, with local test statistics above 3sigma, and with a global significance consistent with ~0sigma (because of the large trial factor). In addition, we assess predictions from previous studies as an independent test of the proposed periods and find that some are consistent with the new observations.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

Testing X-ray Periodicity and Long-Term Trend in PG 1553+113 via Targeted Swift-XRT Monitoring

PG~1553+113 is the blazar with the most-significantly detected periodic patter in its multiwavelength (MWL) emission, making it one of the most promising candidates for hosting a supermassive black hole binary. However, the presence of this periodic behavior in the X-ray band remains under debate, largely due to the lack of continuous monitoring. This has led to differing conclusions in previous studies. In addition, we aim to examine whether the recently identified linear long-term trends in the gamma-ray and optical bands also exist in the X-ray regime. Here, we evaluate the 2.1-year period in the X-ray light curve of PG 1553+113 using two dedicated monitoring campaigns with Swift-XRT and UVOT, guided by predictions of future oscillation phases. We also examine whether the long-term trend is present in X-rays, the potential periodic behavior of the X-ray power-law photon index, and its potential correlation to the X-ray flux. As a result, we find tentative evidence for a correlation between the predicted high-emission states in the gamma-ray band and those observed in the X-ray and UV bands. Therefore, we do not find a strong evidence of the same periodic pattern in X-ray. In addition, we find that the X-ray light curve is consistent with the presence of a long-term linear trend, in agreement with those previously reported in gamma-ray, optical, and radio. Overall, these results indicate that the X-ray emission is likely to share the same long-term behavior observed in the gamma-ray and optical bands. Nevertheless, the pronounced stochastic variability that characterizes the X-ray light curve limits our ability to draw firm conclusions regarding the presence of the periodic behavior.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

Distortions in Periodicity Analysis of Blazars II: The Impact of Gaps

Time series analysis is fundamental to characterizing the variability inherent in multi-wavelength emissions from blazars. However, a major observational challenge lies in the need for well-sampled, temporally uniform data, which is often hindered by irregular sampling and data gaps. These gaps can significantly affect the reliability and accuracy of methods used to probe source variability. This paper investigates the impact of such observational gaps on time series analysis of blazar emissions. To do so, we systematically evaluate how these gaps alter observed variability patterns, mask genuine periodic signals, and introduce false periodicity detections. This evaluation is conducted using both simulated and real observational data. We assess a range of widely used time series analysis methods, including the Lomb-Scargle periodogram, Phase Dispersion Minimization, and the recently proposed Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA). Our results demonstrate a clear and significant degradation in period detection reliability when the percentage of gaps exceeds 50\%. In such cases, the period-significance relationship becomes increasingly distorted, often leading to misleading results. Among the tested methods, SSA stands out for its ability to yield consistent and robust detections despite high data incompleteness. Additionally, the analyzed methods tend to identify artificial periodicities of around one year, likely due to seasonal sampling effects, which can result in false positives if not carefully recognized. Finally, the periods detected with $\geq$3$\sigma$ confidence are unlikely to result from stochastic processes or from the presence of gaps in the analyzed time series.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

Extensive Analysis of gamma-Ray Periodicity in Jetted AGN from the 4FGL Catalog Using Fermi-LAT Observations

The quest to uncover periodic patterns within the $\gamma$-ray emissions of jetted active galactic nuclei (AGN) has recently emerged as a focal point in astrophysics. One of the primary challenges has been the necessity for prolonged exposures in the $\gamma$-ray energy band. In our investigation, we leverage 12 years' worth of observations from the \textit{Fermi}-LAT to systematically explore periodicity across 1492 jetted AGN cataloged in 4FGL, representing the largest sample analyzed to date. Our analysis involves a robust pipeline employing nine distinct techniques designed to detect potential periodic emissions within their $\gamma$ rays. We note that 24 objects with previous hints of periodicity are deliberately excluded in the present work since they were reanalyzed in a dedicated paper using a similar methodology. Using this thorough approach, we do not find any evidence for periodic signals in the 1492 jetted AGN $\gamma$-ray light curves analyzed here.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

Transient QPOs of Fermi-LAT blazars with Linearly Multiplicative Oscillations

We present a study on the detection and characterization of transient quasi-periodic oscillations (QPOs) in the $\gamma$-ray emission of blazars 4C +31.03, MG1 J123931+0443, and PKS 1622$-$253. Using light curves derived from \textit{Fermi} Large Area Telescope data, we investigate oscillatory patterns characterized by periodic multiplicative amplitudes that vary linearly over time. By segmenting the light curves into increasing and decreasing trends, we analyze each segment independently, allowing for precise measurements of both the periodicity and long-term variations. To interpret these QPOs, we explore various theoretical scenarios that could explain their origin and underlying physical mechanisms. The variability observed in 4C~+31.03 is more consistent with a stochastic process, whereas the periods estimated for MG1~J123931+0443 and PKS~1622$-$253 align with the precessional dynamics expected from binary supermassive black hole systems. However, the current results remain tentative and do not allow for a definitive conclusion.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

Transient QPOs of Fermi-LAT blazars under the Curved Jet Model

This study explores transient quasi-periodic oscillations (QPOs) in the $\gamma$-ray emission of two blazars, PMN J0531$-$4827 and PKS 1502+106, using over a decade of Fermi Large Area Telescope observations. The analysis focuses on identifying QPO signatures in their long-term light curves and interpreting the variability through a curved jet model, which predicts multiplicative oscillations with exponentially decaying amplitudes. We develop an analysis methodology to characterize the QPO and the specific properties of the amplitude of such QPOs. The findings offer insights into the dynamic processes driving relativistic jet evolution and their potential connections to underlying mechanisms, such as binary systems or other phenomena influencing the observed characteristics of these blazars.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

Search for Kink Events in Variable Fermi-LAT Blazars

This study explores the detection of Quasi-Periodic Oscillations (QPOs) in blazars as a method to identify kink events within their jets, utilizing both $\gamma$-ray and polarized light observations. Focusing on a sample of 9 blazars, we analyze $\gamma$-ray light curves to identify significant QPOs. In addition to $\gamma$-ray data, we incorporated polarized light data corresponding to the same temporal segments to cross-validate the presence of QPOs. However, the limited availability of comprehensive polarized data restricted our ability to perform a thorough analysis across all datasets. Despite these limitations, our analysis reveals a segment where QPOs in polarized light coincided with those observed in $\gamma$-rays, providing preliminary evidence supporting the kink origin of these oscillations.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

Systematic Search for Long-Term Trends in Fermi-LAT Jetted Active Galactic Nuclei

Jetted Active Galactic Nuclei (AGN) exhibit variability across a wide range of time scales. Traditionally, this variability can often be modeled well as a stochastic process. However, in certain cases, jetted AGN variability displays regular patterns, enabling us to conduct investigations aimed at understanding its origins. Additionally, a novel type of variability has emerged in jetted AGN lightcurves, specifically, the observation of a long-term trend characterized by a linear increase of the flux with time in blazars such as PG 1553+113, which is among the objects most likely to display periodic behavior. In this paper, we present the results of a systematic search for long-term trends, spanning $\approx$10\, years, utilizing 12 years of Fermi-LAT observations. The study is focused on detecting the presence of linear or quadratic long-term trends in a sample of 3308 jetted AGN. Our analysis has identified 40 jetted AGN that exhibit long-term trends, each with distinct properties, which we also characterize in this study. These long-term trends may originate from the dynamics of a supermassive black hole binary system, or they could be the result of intrinsic phenomena within the jet itself. Our findings can help in addressing questions pertaining to the astrophysical origins of variability and periodicity within jetted AGN.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2022

Search for Periodic Variability in $\gamma$-ray Blazars Using \textit{Fermi}-LAT

Blazars are known to exhibit variability across a broad range of timescales. This behavior can include periodicity in their $\gamma$-ray emission, whose clear detection remains an ongoing challenge, partly due to the inherent stochasticity of the processes involved and also the lack of adequately well-sampled light curves. In this study, we perform a systematic search for periodicity in a selected sample of 24 $\gamma$-ray blazars using twelve years of Fermi-LAT data. The sample comprises the most promising candidates selected from a previous study, extending the light curves by three additional years, expanding the analyzed energy range from $>$1~GeV to $>$0.1~GeV to improve photon statistics, and enhancing the time-series analysis methodology. We incorporate upper-limit flux points in the analysis rather than discarding them, thereby preserving the temporal structure in the light curves. A suite of seven complementary time-series analysis methods is employed to ensure statistical robustness, including autoregressive models, representing a methodological advancement over the prior work. A further improvement is the explicit estimation of the look-elsewhere effect, which allows us to assess the global significance of any detected signals. The study is also supported by additional statistical treatments employed to minimize false detections and strengthen the reliability of the results. Our analysis reveals a hint of periodicity in PG 1553+113 with a global significance of $\approx$1.8$\sigma$. For the remaining sources in the sample, the re-evaluation of previously reported periodicities indicates that they are statistically consistent with arising from stochastic variability.

astro-ph.HE↗