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A. Zaytsev

Publications and source records attributed to A. Zaytsev.

9 recordsLinked to original sources

Improved Modelling of Detector Response Effects in Phonon-based Crystal Detectors used for Dark Matter Searches

Various dark matter search experiments employ phonon-based crystal detectors operated at cryogenic temperatures. Some of these detectors, including certain silicon detectors used by the SuperCDMS Collaboration, are able to achieve single-charge sensitivity when a voltage bias is applied across the detector. The total amount of phonon energy measured by such a detector is proportional to the number of electron-hole pairs created by the interaction. However, crystal impurities and surface effects can cause propagating charges to either become trapped inside the crystal or create additional unpaired charges, producing non-quantized measured energy as a result. A new analytical model for describing these detector response effects in phonon-based crystal detectors is presented. This model improves upon previous versions by demonstrating how the detector response, and thus the measured energy spectrum, is expected to differ depending on the source of events. We use this model to extract detector response parameters for SuperCDMS HVeV detectors, and illustrate how this robust modelling can help statistically discriminate between sources of events in order to improve the sensitivity of dark matter search experiments.

physics.ins-det

Predicting spatial distribution of Palmer Drought Severity Index

The probability of a drought for a particular region is crucial when making decisions related to agriculture. Forecasting this probability is critical for management and challenging at the same time. The prediction model should consider multiple factors with complex relationships across the region of interest and neighbouring regions. We approach this problem by presenting an end-to-end solution based on a spatio-temporal neural network. The model predicts the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) for subregions of interest. Predictions by climate models provide an additional source of knowledge of the model leading to more accurate drought predictions. Our model has better accuracy than baseline Gradient boosting solutions, as the $R^2$ score for it is $0.90$ compared to $0.85$ for Gradient boosting. Specific attention is on the range of applicability of the model. We examine various regions across the globe to validate them under different conditions. We complement the results with an analysis of how future climate changes for different scenarios affect the PDSI and how our model can help to make better decisions and more sustainable economics.

cs.LG

Design and Characterization of a Phonon-Mediated Cryogenic Particle Detector with an eV-Scale Threshold and 100 keV-Scale Dynamic Range

We present the design and characterization of a cryogenic phonon-sensitive 1-gram Si detector exploiting the Neganov-Trofimov-Luke effect to detect single-charge excitations. This device achieved 2.65(2)~eV phonon energy resolution when operated without a voltage bias across the crystal and a corresponding charge resolution of 0.03 electron-hole pairs at 100~V bias. With a continuous-readout data acquisition system and an offline optimum-filter trigger, we obtain a 9.2~eV threshold with a trigger rate of the order of 20~Hz. The detector's energy scale is calibrated up to 120~keV using an energy estimator based on the pulse area. The high performance of this device allows its application to different fields where excellent energy resolution, low threshold, and large dynamic range are required, including dark matter searches, precision measurements of coherent neutrino-nucleus scattering, and ionization yield measurements.

physics.ins-det

Differentiable Language Model Adversarial Attacks on Categorical Sequence Classifiers

An adversarial attack paradigm explores various scenarios for the vulnerability of deep learning models: minor changes of the input can force a model failure. Most of the state of the art frameworks focus on adversarial attacks for images and other structured model inputs, but not for categorical sequences models. Successful attacks on classifiers of categorical sequences are challenging because the model input is tokens from finite sets, so a classifier score is non-differentiable with respect to inputs, and gradient-based attacks are not applicable. Common approaches deal with this problem working at a token level, while the discrete optimization problem at hand requires a lot of resources to solve. We instead use a fine-tuning of a language model for adversarial attacks as a generator of adversarial examples. To optimize the model, we define a differentiable loss function that depends on a surrogate classifier score and on a deep learning model that evaluates approximate edit distance. So, we control both the adversability of a generated sequence and its similarity to the initial sequence. As a result, we obtain semantically better samples. Moreover, they are resistant to adversarial training and adversarial detectors. Our model works for diverse datasets on bank transactions, electronic health records, and NLP datasets.

cs.LG

Technical efficiency and inefficiency: SFA misspecification

The effect of external factors $z$ on technical inefficiency ($TI$) in stochastic frontier (SF) production models is often specified through the variance of inefficiency term $u$. In this setup the signs of marginal effects of $z$ on $TI$ and technical efficiency $TE$ identify how one should control $z$ to increase $TI$ or decrease $TE$. We prove that these signs for $TI$ and $TE$ are opposite for typical setups with normally distributed random error $v$ and exponentially or half-normally distributed $u$ for both conditional and unconditional cases. On the other hand, we give an example to show that signs of the marginal effects of $z$ on $TI$ and $TE$ may coincide, at least for some ranges of $z$. In our example, the distribution of $u$ is a mixture of two distributions, and the proportion of the mixture is a function of $z$. Thus if the real data comes from this mixture distribution, and we estimate model parameters with an exponential or half-normal distribution for $u$, the estimated efficiency and the marginal effect of $z$ on $TE$ would be wrong. Moreover, for a misspecified model, the rank correlations between the true and the estimated values of TE could be small and even negative for some subsamples of data. These results are demonstrated by simulations.

stat.ME

Sequence embeddings help to identify fraudulent cases in healthcare insurance

Fraud causes substantial costs and losses for companies and clients in the finance and insurance industries. Examples are fraudulent credit card transactions or fraudulent claims. It has been estimated that roughly $10$ percent of the insurance industry's incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses each year stem from fraudulent claims. The rise and proliferation of digitization in finance and insurance have lead to big data sets, consisting in particular of text data, which can be used for fraud detection. In this paper, we propose architectures for text embeddings via deep learning, which help to improve the detection of fraudulent claims compared to other machine learning methods. We illustrate our methods using a data set from a large international health insurance company. The empirical results show that our approach outperforms other state-of-the-art methods and can help make the claims management process more efficient. As (unstructured) text data become increasingly available to economists and econometricians, our proposed methods will be valuable for many similar applications, particularly when variables have a large number of categories as is typical for example of the International Classification of Disease (ICD) codes in health economics and health services.

cs.LG

Usage of multiple RTL features for Earthquake prediction

We construct a classification model that predicts if an earthquake with the magnitude above a threshold will take place at a given location in a time range 30-180 days from a given moment of time. A common approach is to use expert forecasts based on features like Region-Time-Length (RTL) characteristics. The proposed approach uses machine learning on top of multiple RTL features to take into account effects at various scales and to improve prediction accuracy. For historical data about Japan earthquakes 1992-2005 and predictions at locations given in this database the best model has precision up to ~ 0.95 and recall up to ~ 0.98.

stat.AP

Interpolation error of misspecified Gaussian process regression

An interpolation error is an integral of the squared error of a regression model over a domain of interest. We consider the interpolation error for the case of misspecified Gaussian process regression: used covariance function differs from the true one. We derive the interpolation error for an infinite grid design of experiments. In particular, we show that for Matern 1/2 covariance function poor estimation of parameters only slightly affects the quality of interpolation. Then we proceed to numerical experiments that consider the misspecification for the most common covariance functions including other Matern and squared exponential covariance functions. For them, the quality of estimates of parameters affects the interpolation error.

math.ST

Optimal Curves of Genus 3 over Finite Fields with Discriminant -19

In this work we study the properties of maximal and minimal curves of genus 3 over finite fields with discriminant -19. We prove that any such curve can be given by an explicit equation of certain form. Using these equations we obtain a table of maximal and minimal curves over finite fields with discriminant -19 of cardinality up to 997. We also show that existence of a maximal curve implies that there is no minimal curve and vice versa.

math.AG