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Aaron Kolb

Publications and source records attributed to Aaron Kolb.

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The Design and Price of Influence

A sender with private preferences would like to influence a receiver's action by providing information through a statistical test. The technology for information production is controlled by a monopolist intermediary, who offers a menu of tests and prices to screen the sender's type. We characterize the intermediary's optimal screening menu and the associated distortions, which may benefit the receiver by increasing test informativeness. Because of these distortions, seemingly unfavorable changes in the prior belief may actually benefit the sender. In extensions, we study (i) a stronger intermediary who can commit to a ``coercive'' test to punish non-participation and (ii) a weaker intermediary who cannot control test design but can charge for access.

econ.TH

Signaling with Private Monitoring

We study dynamic signaling when the informed party does not observe the signals generated by her actions. A long-run player signals her type continuously over time to a myopic second player who privately monitors her behavior; in turn, the myopic player transmits his private inferences back through an imperfect public signal of his actions. Preferences are linear-quadratic and the information structure is Gaussian. We construct linear Markov equilibria using belief states up to the long-run player's $\textit{second-order belief}$. Because of the private monitoring, this state is an explicit function of the long-run player's past play. A novel separation effect then emerges through this second-order belief channel, altering the traditional signaling that arises when beliefs are public. Applications to models of leadership, reputation, and trading are examined.

econ.TH