Data Fusion and Aggregation Methods to Develop Composite Indexes for a Sustainable Future
Research on environmental risk modeling relies on numerous indicators to quantify the magnitude and frequency of extreme climate events, their ecological, economic, and social impacts, and the coping mechanisms that can reduce or mitigate their adverse effects. Index-based approaches significantly simplify the process of quantifying, comparing, and monitoring risks associated with other natural hazards, as a large set of indicators can be condensed into a few key performance indicators. Data fusion techniques are often used in conjunction with expert opinions to develop key performance indicators. This paper discusses alternative methods to combine data from multiple indicators, with an emphasis on their use-case scenarios, underlying assumptions, data requirements, advantages, and limitations. The paper demonstrates the application of these data fusion methods through examples from current risk and resilience models and simplified datasets. Simulations are conducted to identify their strengths and weaknesses under various scenarios. Finally, a real-life example illustrates how these data fusion techniques can be applied to inform policy recommendations in the context of drought resilience and sustainability.