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Adam Jensen

Publications and source records attributed to Adam Jensen.

6 recordsLinked to original sources

SolarBench: A global solar energy nowcasting benchmark

As the share of solar power grows, nowcasting weather-driven solar variability becomes critical for reliable energy system operation. State-of-the-art approaches increasingly apply deep learning to sky camera and geostationary satellite observations, but fragmented datasets and inconsistent evaluation make it difficult to determine whether reported improvements generalize across climates, cloud regimes, and photovoltaic (PV) systems. Here we introduce SolarBench, an open global benchmark for image-based solar nowcasting. SolarBench harmonizes more than six million sky and satellite images from 11 diverse sites spanning a decade, together with irradiance or PV output and auxiliary atmospheric data. An accompanying toolbox supports reproducible data access, processing, model development, and evaluation. Using SolarBench, we benchmark representative models and reveal a gap between average forecasting accuracy and the ability to capture rapid solar fluctuations. We further quantify predictability across cloud regimes and demonstrate data-efficient adaptation to new PV systems. SolarBench provides an extensible foundation for fair comparison and methodological innovation in solar nowcasting.

cs.CV

WASP-12b Exhibits Persistent In-Transit H$\alpha$ Absorption

High-resolution H$\alpha$ and He 10830 {\AA} transit spectroscopy can trace the extended upper atmospheres of exoplanets, typically revealing excess in-transit absorption that occurs in the planet's rest frame. However, hydrodynamical simulations predict that absorption should not strictly follow the planet's orbital motion if gas quickly escapes the planetary Roche lobe and shears into tidal tails. The ultra-hot Jupiter WASP-12b fills an exceptionally large fraction of its Roche lobe ($R_p/R_\mathrm{Roche} = 0.55$), and in this paper we present evidence for tidally-modulated outflow kinematics on this unique planet. We observed a transit of WASP-12b with MMT/Hectochelle and found an excess H$\alpha$ absorption of $3.29^{+0.35}_{-0.36}\%$ (9.3$\sigma$) during the transit and extending at least 30~min post-egress. The signal does not follow the planet's orbital motion and instead appears largely in the stellar rest frame, similar to the extended helium outflows in HAT-P-32b and HAT-P-67b, and is slightly redshifted ($+5.4_{-1.7}^{+1.5}$ km s$^{-1}$). We demonstrate that a similar signal appears across previous high-sensitivity observations dating back to 2012 once the atypical signal kinematics and baseline self-subtraction are taken into account. Finally, we present a three-dimensional Athena++ model of WASP-12b's outflowing atmosphere that simultaneously exhibits the observed extended morphology and lack of planet-aligned velocity gradient. Our study highlights the necessity of three-dimensional simulations for interpreting absorption lines formed in strong outflows, where gas may not simply follow the planet's Doppler signature.

astro-ph.EP

PEPSI's non-detection of escaping hydrogen and metal lines adds to the enigma of WASP-12 b

WASP-12 b is an ultra-hot Jupiter (UHJ) of special interest for atmospheric studies since it is on an inspiraling orbit in an extreme environment of intense radiation and circumstellar gas. Previously claimed detections of active mass loss from this planet are controversial across the literature. To address this controversy, we obtain two new transit observations of WASP-12 b with the optical high-resolution PEPSI spectrograph on the Large Binocular Telescope. Contrary to previous work, we do not observe planetary H$\alpha$ absorption and rule out the amplitude of previously reported detections. Our non-detection may be limited by the sensitivity of our data or could indicate weaker mass loss than suggested by previous studies. We conduct injection-recovery experiments to place constraints on the radial extent of WASP-12 b's escaping atmosphere as probed by Balmer lines, but find that our data do not have the sensitivity to probe down to the planet's Roche Lobe. Using physically motivated models of atmospheric escape, we explore upper limit constraints on the planet's mass-loss rate and deem the data quality in the wavelength regime of Balmer lines insufficient to determine a physically meaningful constraint. We also conduct a spectral survey of other optical absorbers to trace atmospheric circulation but detect no additional absorption. We conclude that previous claims of H$\alpha$ absorption from the atmosphere of WASP-12 b should be reevaluated. Given the anticipated line strength of Balmer/optical features, observing the atmosphere of this faint target will require stacking more observations even with the largest telescope facilities available.

astro-ph.EP

Time-resolved rotational velocities in the upper atmosphere of WASP-33 b

While steady empirical progress has been made in understanding the structure and composition of hot planet atmospheres, direct measurements of velocity signatures, including winds, rotation, and jets, have lagged behind. Quantifying atmospheric dynamics of hot planets is critical to a complete understanding of their atmospheres and such measurements may even illuminate other planetary properties, such as magnetic field strengths. In this manuscript we present the first detection of the Balmer lines H$\alpha$ and H$\beta$ in the atmosphere of the ultra-hot Jupiter WASP-33 b. Using atmospheric models which include the effects of atmospheric dynamics, we show that the shape of the average Balmer line transmission spectrum is consistent with rotational velocities in the planet's thermosphere of $v_\text{rot} = 10.1^{+0.8}_{-1.0}$ km s$^{-1}$. We also measure a low-significance day-to-night side velocity shift of $-4.6^{+3.4}_{-3.4}$ km s$^{-1}$ in the transmission spectrum which is naturally explained by a global wind across the planet's terminator. In a separate analysis the time-resolved velocity centroids of individual transmission spectra show unambiguous evidence of rotation, with a best-fit velocity of $10.0^{+2.4}_{-2.0}$ km s$^{-1}$, consistent with the value of $v_\text{rot}$ derived from the shape of the average Balmer line transmission spectrum. Our observations and analysis confirm the power of high signal-to-noise, time-resolved transmission spectra to measure the velocity structures in exoplanet atmospheres. The large rotational and wind velocities we measure highlight the need for more detailed 3D global climate simulations of the rarefied upper-atmospheres of ultra-hot gas giants.

astro-ph.EP

Exoplanet Diversity in the Era of Space-based Direct Imaging Missions

This whitepaper discusses the diversity of exoplanets that could be detected by future observations, so that comparative exoplanetology can be performed in the upcoming era of large space-based flagship missions. The primary focus will be on characterizing Earth-like worlds around Sun-like stars. However, we will also be able to characterize companion planets in the system simultaneously. This will not only provide a contextual picture with regards to our Solar system, but also presents a unique opportunity to observe size dependent planetary atmospheres at different orbital distances. We propose a preliminary scheme based on chemical behavior of gases and condensates in a planet's atmosphere that classifies them with respect to planetary radius and incident stellar flux.

astro-ph.EP

The Abundance of Interstellar Fluorine and Its Implications

We report results from a survey of neutral fluorine (F I) in the interstellar medium. Data from the Far Ultraviolet Spectroscopic Explorer (FUSE) were used to analyze 26 lines of sight lying both in the galactic disk and halo, including lines to Wolf-Rayet stars and through known supernova remnants. The equivalent widths of fluorine resonance lines at 951.871 A and 954.827 A were measured or assigned upper limits and combined with a nitrogen curve of growth to obtain F I column densities. These column densities were then used to calculate fluorine depletions. Comparisons are made to the previous study of F I by Federman et al. (2005) and implications for F I formation and depletion are discussed.

astro-ph