arXiv subjects

Adrian Liu

Publications and source records attributed to Adrian Liu.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

arXiv2022

HERA Phase I Limits on the Cosmic 21-cm Signal: Constraints on Astrophysics and Cosmology During the Epoch of Reionization

Recently, the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA) collaboration has produced the experiment's first upper limits on the power spectrum of 21-cm fluctuations at z~8 and 10. Here, we use several independent theoretical models to infer constraints on the intergalactic medium (IGM) and galaxies during the epoch of reionization (EoR) from these limits. We find that the IGM must have been heated above the adiabatic cooling threshold by z~8, independent of uncertainties about the IGM ionization state and the nature of the radio background. Combining HERA limits with galaxy and EoR observations constrains the spin temperature of the z~8 neutral IGM to 27 K < T_S < 630 K (2.3 K < T_S < 640 K) at 68% (95%) confidence. They therefore also place a lower bound on X-ray heating, a previously unconstrained aspects of early galaxies. For example, if the CMB dominates the z~8 radio background, the new HERA limits imply that the first galaxies produced X-rays more efficiently than local ones (with soft band X-ray luminosities per star formation rate constrained to L_X/SFR = { 10^40.2, 10^41.9 } erg/s/(M_sun/yr) at 68% confidence), consistent with expectations of X-ray binaries in low-metallicity environments. The z~10 limits require even earlier heating if dark-matter interactions (e.g., through millicharges) cool down the hydrogen gas. Using a model in which an extra radio background is produced by galaxies, we rule out (at 95% confidence) the combination of high radio and low X-ray luminosities of L_{r,ν}/SFR > 3.9 x 10^24 W/Hz/(M_sun/yr) and L_X/SFR<10^40 erg/s/(M_sun/yr). The new HERA upper limits neither support nor disfavor a cosmological interpretation of the recent EDGES detection. The analysis framework described here provides a foundation for the interpretation of future HERA results.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

Direct Optimal Mapping for 21cm Cosmology: A Demonstration with the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array

Motivated by the desire for wide-field images with well-defined statistical properties for 21cm cosmology, we implement an optimal mapping pipeline that computes a maximum likelihood estimator for the sky using the interferometric measurement equation. We demonstrate this direct optimal mapping with data from the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization (HERA) Phase I observations. After validating the pipeline with simulated data, we develop a maximum likelihood figure-of-merit for comparing four sky models at 166MHz with a bandwidth of 100kHz. The HERA data agree with the GLEAM catalogs to <10%. After subtracting the GLEAM point sources, the HERA data discriminate between the different continuum sky models, providing most support for the model of Byrne et al. 2021. We report the computation cost for mapping the HERA Phase I data and project the computation for the HERA 320-antenna data; both are feasible with a modern server. The algorithm is broadly applicable to other interferometers and is valid for wide-field and non-coplanar arrays.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

Report of the Topical Group on Cosmic Frontier 5 Dark Energy and Cosmic Acceleration: Cosmic Dawn and Before for Snowmass 2021

This report summarizes the envisioned research activities as gathered from the Snowmass 2021 CF5 working group concerning Dark Energy and Cosmic Acceleration: Cosmic Dawn and Before. The scientific goals are to study inflation and to search for new physics through precision measurements of relic radiation from the early universe. The envisioned research activities for this decade (2025-35) are constructing and operating major facilities and developing critical enabling capabilities. The major facilities for this decade are the CMB-S4 project, a new Stage-V spectroscopic survey facility, and existing gravitational wave observatories. Enabling capabilities include aligning and investing in theory, computation and model building, and investing in new technologies needed for early universe studies in the following decade (2035+).

hep-ex↗

arXiv2022

Towards Understanding How Machines Can Learn Causal Overhypotheses

Recent work in machine learning and cognitive science has suggested that understanding causal information is essential to the development of intelligence. The extensive literature in cognitive science using the ``blicket detector'' environment shows that children are adept at many kinds of causal inference and learning. We propose to adapt that environment for machine learning agents. One of the key challenges for current machine learning algorithms is modeling and understanding causal overhypotheses: transferable abstract hypotheses about sets of causal relationships. In contrast, even young children spontaneously learn and use causal overhypotheses. In this work, we present a new benchmark -- a flexible environment which allows for the evaluation of existing techniques under variable causal overhypotheses -- and demonstrate that many existing state-of-the-art methods have trouble generalizing in this environment. The code and resources for this benchmark are available at https://github.com/CannyLab/casual_overhypotheses.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

A galaxy-free phenomenological model for the 21-cm power spectrum during reionization

Upper limits from the current generation of interferometers targeting the 21-cm signal from high redshifts have recently begun to rule out physically realistic, though still extreme, models of the Epoch of Reionization (EoR). While inferring the detailed properties of the first galaxies is one of the most important motivations for measuring the high-$z$ 21-cm signal, they can also provide useful constraints on the properties of the intergalactic medium (IGM). Motivated by this, we build a simple, phenomenological model for the 21-cm power spectrum that works directly in terms of IGM properties, which bypasses the computationally expensive 3-D semi-numerical modeling generally employed in inference pipelines and avoids explicit assumptions about galaxy properties. The key simplifying assumptions are that (i) the ionization field is binary, and composed of spherical bubbles with an abundance described well by a parametric bubble size distribution, and (ii) that the spin temperature of the ``bulk'' IGM outside bubbles is uniform. Despite the simplicity of the model, the mean ionized fraction and spin temperature of the IGM recovered from mock 21-cm power spectra generated with \textsc{21cmfast} are generally in good agreement with the true input values. This suggests that it is possible to obtain comparable constraints on the IGM using models with very different assumptions, parameters, and priors. Our approach will thus be complementary to semi-numerical models as upper limits continue to improve in the coming years.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

Signatures of reionization feedback in the near-infrared background

The reionization of the intergalactic medium at redshifts $z\gtrsim 6$ is expected to have a lasting impact on galaxies residing in low-mass dark matter halos. Unable to accrete or retain gas photo-heated to temperatures $T \gtrsim 10^4$ K, the star formation histories of faint galaxies in the early Universe are expected to decline as they exhaust their gas supply, resulting in a turn-over in the galaxy luminosity function (LF) and a potential solution to the missing satellites problem in the local group. Unfortunately, there are several challenges to constraining `reionization feedback' empirically, most notably that galaxies in low-mass halos are intrinsically faint, and that there are other physical mechanisms capable of inducing a turn-over in the LF. In this work, we investigate a new signature of reionization feedback that is in principle distinct from other processes: as faint galaxies are quenched by reionization, their stellar populations passively age and grow redder while the brighter galaxies nearby continue to form stars at an increasing rate and so remain relatively blue. We find that this contrast, between quenched and un-quenched galaxies induces a scale and colour-dependent signature in the present-day near-infrared background comparable to the expected sensitivity of NASA's upcoming SPHEREx mission. Whereas models with pure mass suppression largely affect the signal at wavelengths $\lesssim 2 μ\rm{m}$, $\sim 5$%-level differences in the background persist out to $\sim 5 μ\rm{m}$ for reionization feedback models. Finally, the power spectra of intensity ratio maps exhibit larger variations, and may thus be a promising target for future analyses.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2022

Automated Detection of Antenna Malfunctions in Large-N Interferometers: A Case Study with the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array

We present a framework for identifying and flagging malfunctioning antennas in large radio interferometers. We outline two distinct categories of metrics designed to detect outliers along known failure modes of large arrays: cross-correlation metrics, based on all antenna pairs, and auto-correlation metrics, based solely on individual antennas. We define and motivate the statistical framework for all metrics used, and present tailored visualizations that aid us in clearly identifying new and existing systematics. We implement these techniques using data from 105 antennas in the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA) as a case study. Finally, we provide a detailed algorithm for implementing these metrics as flagging tools on real data sets.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2022

Snowmass2021 Cosmic Frontier White Paper: 21cm Radiation as a Probe of Physics Across Cosmic Ages

The 21cm line refers to a forbidden transition in neutral hydrogen associated with alignment of spins of the proton and electron. It is a very low energy transition that is emitted whenever there is neutral hydrogen in the Universe. Since baryons are mostly (~75%) hydrogen, one can in principle detect this emission throughout much of the history of the Universe. The dominant emission mechanism is different across cosmic ages. Before the photons decouple from matter, hydrogen is in an ionized state and does not emit in 21cm. After recombination and during the Dark Ages, at z ~ 30-1000, the 21cm emission is associated with density fluctuations in the neutral hydrogen medium. After the first stars turn on and galaxies begin to form, the 21cm emission traces bubbles of ionized hydrogen in the sea of the neutral medium. This epoch, spanning z ~ 6-30, is often referred to as cosmic dawn and the Epoch of Reionization (EoR). At redshifts below z<6, the intergalactic medium is largely ionized, but pockets of self-shielded neutral gas form in dense galactic environments and 21cm emission traces the distribution of galaxies. The vastly different emission mechanisms allow us to probe very different physics at different redshifts, corresponding to different observational frequencies. The instrumental challenges, namely building very sensitive and exquisitely calibrated radio telescopes, however, share many commonalities across frequency bands. The potential of the 21cm probe has been recognized by the Decadal Survey of Astronomy & Astrophysics, whose Panel on Cosmology identified the Dark Ages as its sole discovery area. We argue that HEP should recognize the potential of 21cm as a probe of fundamental physics across many axes and invest in the technology development that will enable full exploitation of this rich technique.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

Joint constraints on reionization: a framework for combining the global 21cm signal and the kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich effect

Recent measurements from the CMB and from high-redshift galaxy observations have placed rough constraints on the midpoint and duration of the Epoch of Reionization. Detailed measurements of the ionization history remain elusive, although two proposed probes show great promise for this purpose: the 21cm global signal and the kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) effect. We formally confirm the common assumption that these two probes are highly complementary, with the kSZ being more sensitive to extended ionization histories and the global signal to rapidly evolving ones. We do so by performing a Karhunen-Loève (KL) transformation, which casts the data in a basis designed to emphasize the information content of each probe. We find that reconstructing the ionization history using both probes gives significantly more precise results than individual constraints, although carefully chosen, physically motivated priors play a crucial part in obtaining a bias-free reconstruction. Additionally, in the KL basis, measurements from one probe can be used to detect the presence of residual systematics in the other, providing a safeguard against systematics that would go undetected when data from each probe is analyzed in isolation. Once detected, the modes contaminated by systematics can be discarded from the data analysis to avoid biases in reconstruction.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

Learning Causal Overhypotheses through Exploration in Children and Computational Models

Despite recent progress in reinforcement learning (RL), RL algorithms for exploration still remain an active area of research. Existing methods often focus on state-based metrics, which do not consider the underlying causal structures of the environment, and while recent research has begun to explore RL environments for causal learning, these environments primarily leverage causal information through causal inference or induction rather than exploration. In contrast, human children - some of the most proficient explorers - have been shown to use causal information to great benefit. In this work, we introduce a novel RL environment designed with a controllable causal structure, which allows us to evaluate exploration strategies used by both agents and children in a unified environment. In addition, through experimentation on both computation models and children, we demonstrate that there are significant differences between information-gain optimal RL exploration in causal environments and the exploration of children in the same environments. We conclude with a discussion of how these findings may inspire new directions of research into efficient exploration and disambiguation of causal structures for RL algorithms.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

The Correlation Calibration of PAPER-64 data

Observation of redshifted 21-cm signal from the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) is challenging due to contamination from the bright foreground sources that exceed the signal by several orders of magnitude. The removal of this very high foreground relies on accurate calibration to keep the intrinsic property of the foreground with frequency. Commonly employed calibration techniques for these experiments are the sky model-based and the redundant baseline-based calibration approaches. However, the sky model-based and redundant baseline-based calibration methods could suffer from sky-modeling error and array redundancy imperfection issues, respectively. In this work, we introduce the hybrid correlation calibration ("CorrCal") scheme, which aims to bridge the gap between redundant and sky-based calibration by relaxing redundancy of the array and including sky information into the calibration formalisms. We demonstrate the slight improvement of power spectra, about $-6\%$ deviation at the bin right on the horizon limit of the foreground wedge-like structure, relative to the power spectra before the implementation of "CorrCal" to the data from the Precision Array for Probing the Epoch of Reionization (PAPER) experiment, which was otherwise calibrated using redundant baseline calibration. This small improvement of the foreground power spectra around the wedge limit could be suggestive of reduced spectral structure in the data after "CorrCal" calibration, which lays the foundation for future improvement of the calibration algorithm and implementation method.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2021

A Real Time Processing System for Big Data in Astronomy: Applications to HERA

As current- and next-generation astronomical instruments come online, they will generate an unprecedented deluge of data. Analyzing these data in real time presents unique conceptual and computational challenges, and their long-term storage and archiving is scientifically essential for generating reliable, reproducible results. We present here the real-time processing (RTP) system for the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA), a radio interferometer endeavoring to provide the first detection of the highly redshifted 21 cm signal from Cosmic Dawn and the Epoch of Reionization by an interferometer. The RTP system consists of analysis routines run on raw data shortly after they are acquired, such as calibration and detection of radio-frequency interference (RFI) events. RTP works closely with the Librarian, the HERA data storage and transfer manager which automatically ingests data and transfers copies to other clusters for post-processing analysis. Both the RTP system and the Librarian are public and open source software, which allows for them to be modified for use in other scientific collaborations. When fully constructed, HERA is projected to generate over 50 terabytes (TB) of data each night, and the RTP system enables the successful scientific analysis of these data.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2021

First Results from HERA Phase I: Upper Limits on the Epoch of Reionization 21 cm Power Spectrum

We report upper-limits on the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) 21 cm power spectrum at redshifts 7.9 and 10.4 with 18 nights of data ($\sim36$ hours of integration) from Phase I of the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA). The Phase I data show evidence for systematics that can be largely suppressed with systematic models down to a dynamic range of $\sim10^9$ with respect to the peak foreground power. This yields a 95% confidence upper limit on the 21 cm power spectrum of $Δ^2_{21} \le (30.76)^2\ {\rm mK}^2$ at $k=0.192\ h\ {\rm Mpc}^{-1}$ at $z=7.9$, and also $Δ^2_{21} \le (95.74)^2\ {\rm mK}^2$ at $k=0.256\ h\ {\rm Mpc}^{-1}$ at $z=10.4$. At $z=7.9$, these limits are the most sensitive to-date by over an order of magnitude. While we find evidence for residual systematics at low line-of-sight Fourier $k_\parallel$ modes, at high $k_\parallel$ modes we find our data to be largely consistent with thermal noise, an indicator that the system could benefit from deeper integrations. The observed systematics could be due to radio frequency interference, cable sub-reflections, or residual instrumental cross-coupling, and warrant further study. This analysis emphasizes algorithms that have minimal inherent signal loss, although we do perform a careful accounting in a companion paper of the small forms of loss or bias associated with the pipeline. Overall, these results are a promising first step in the development of a tuned, instrument-specific analysis pipeline for HERA, particularly as Phase II construction is completed en route to reaching the full sensitivity of the experiment.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2021

Effects of model incompleteness on the drift-scan calibration of radio telescopes

Precision calibration poses challenges to experiments probing the redshifted 21-cm signal of neutral hydrogen from the Cosmic Dawn and Epoch of Reionization (z~30-6). In both interferometric and global signal experiments, systematic calibration is the leading source of error. Though many aspects of calibration have been studied, the overlap between the two types of instruments has received less attention. We investigate the sky based calibration of total power measurements with a HERA dish and an EDGES style antenna to understand the role of auto-correlations in the calibration of an interferometer and the role of sky in calibrating a total power instrument. Using simulations we study various scenarios such as time variable gain, incomplete sky calibration model, and primary beam model. We find that temporal gain drifts, sky model incompleteness, and beam inaccuracies cause biases in the receiver gain amplitude and the receiver temperature estimates. In some cases, these biases mix spectral structure between beam and sky resulting in spectrally variable gain errors. Applying the calibration method to the HERA and EDGES data, we find good agreement with calibration via the more standard methods. Although instrumental gains are consistent with beam and sky errors similar in scale to those simulated, the receiver temperatures show significant deviations from expected values. While we show that it is possible to partially mitigate biases due to model inaccuracies by incorporating a time-dependent gain model in calibration, the resulting errors on calibration products are larger and more correlated. Completely addressing these biases will require more accurate sky and primary beam models.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2021

The importance of galaxy formation histories in models of reionization

Upcoming galaxy surveys and 21-cm experiments targeting high redshifts $z\gtrsim 6$ are highly complementary probes of galaxy formation and reionization. However, in order to expedite the large volume simulations relevant for 21-cm observations, many models of galaxies within reionization codes are entirely subgrid and/or rely on halo abundances only. In this work, we explore the extent to which resolving and modeling individual galaxy formation histories affects predictions both for the galaxy populations detectable by upcoming surveys and the signatures of reionization accessible to upcoming 21-cm experiments. We find that a common approach, in which galaxy luminosity is assumed to be a function of halo mass only, is biased with respect to models in which galaxy properties are evolved through time via semi-analytic modeling and thus reflective of the diversity of assembly histories that naturally arise in $N$-body simulations. The diversity of galaxy formation histories also results in scenarios in which the brightest galaxies do \textit{not} always reside in the centers of large ionized regions, as there are often relatively low-mass halos undergoing dramatic, but short-term, growth. This has clear implications for attempts to detect or validate the 21-cm background via cross correlation. Finally, we show that a hybrid approach -- in which only halos hosting galaxies bright enough to be detected in surveys are modeled in detail, with the rest modeled as an unresolved field of halos with abundance related to large-scale overdensity -- is a viable way to generate large-volume `simulations` well-suited to wide-area surveys and current-generation 21-cm experiments targeting relatively large $k \lesssim 1 \ h \ \text{Mpc}^{-1}$ scales.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2021

Methods of Error Estimation for Delay Power Spectra in $21\,\textrm{cm}$ Cosmology

Precise measurements of the 21 cm power spectrum are crucial for understanding the physical processes of hydrogen reionization. Currently, this probe is being pursued by low-frequency radio interferometer arrays. As these experiments come closer to making a first detection of the signal, error estimation will play an increasingly important role in setting robust measurements. Using the delay power spectrum approach, we have produced a critical examination of different ways that one can estimate error bars on the power spectrum. We do this through a synthesis of analytic work, simulations of toy models, and tests on small amounts of real data. We find that, although computed independently, the different error bar methodologies are in good agreement with each other in the noise-dominated regime of the power spectrum. For our preferred methodology, the predicted probability distribution function is consistent with the empirical noise power distributions from both simulated and real data. This diagnosis is mainly in support of the forthcoming HERA upper limit, and also is expected to be more generally applicable.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2021

Lyman Alpha Emitters and the 21cm Power Spectrum as Probes of Density-Ionization Correlation in the Epoch of Reionization

Due to the large cross section of Ly$α$ photons with hydrogen, Lyman Alpha Emitters (LAEs) are sensitive to the presence of neutral hydrogen in the intergalactic medium (IGM) during the Epoch of Reionization (EoR): the period in the Universe's history where neutral hydrogen in the IGM is ionized. The correlation of the ionized regions in the IGM with respect to the underlying intrinsic LAEs has a pronounced effect on the number of observed LAEs and their apparent clustering. As a result, observations of LAEs during the EoR can be used as a probe of the EoR morphology. Here we build on previous works where we parametrize the density-ionisation correlation during the EoR, and study how the observed number density and angular correlation function (ACF) of LAEs depends on this parametrization. Using Subaru measurements of the number density of LAEs and their ACF at z = 6.6, we place constraints on the EoR morphology. We find that measurements of LAEs at z = 6.6 alone cannot distinguish between different density-ionization models at $68\%$ credibility. However, adding information regarding the number density, and ACF, of LAEs at $z = 6.6$ to 21cm power spectrum measurements using the hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA) at the midpoint of reionization can rule out uncorrelated and outside-in reionization at $99\%$ credibility.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2021

Systematic uncertainties in models of the cosmic dawn

Models of the reionization and reheating of the intergalactic medium (IGM) at redshifts $z \gtrsim 6$ continue to grow more sophisticated in anticipation of near-future 21-cm, cosmic microwave background, and galaxy survey measurements. However, there are many potential sources of systematic uncertainty in models that could bias and/or degrade upcoming constraints if left unaccounted for. In this work, we examine three commonly-ignored sources of uncertainty in models for the mean reionization and thermal histories of the IGM: the underlying cosmology, halo mass function (HMF), and choice of stellar population synthesis (SPS) model. We find that cosmological uncertainties affect the Thomson scattering optical depth at the few percent level and the amplitude of the global 21-cm signal at the $\sim$5-10 mK level. The differences brought about by choice of HMF and SPS models are more dramatic, comparable to the $1 σ$ error-bar on $τ_e$ and a $\sim 20$ mK effect on the global 21-cm signal amplitude. Finally, we jointly fit galaxy luminosity functions and global 21-cm signals for all HMF/SPS combinations and find that (i) doing so requires additional free parameters to compensate for modeling systematics and (ii) the spread in constraints on parameters of interest for different HMF and SPS choices, assuming $5$ mK noise in the global signal, is comparable to those obtained when adopting the "true" HMF and SPS with $\gtrsim 20$ mK errors. Our work highlights the need for dedicated efforts to reduce modeling uncertainties in order to enable precision inference with future datasets.

astro-ph.CO↗