arXiv subjects

Adriana-Simona Mihaita

Publications and source records attributed to Adriana-Simona Mihaita.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Rapid Quantification of Outdoor Object Visibility in Urban Setting Using Connected-Vehicle Fields of View

Identifying locations that offer maximum visual exposure to passing vehicular traffic is a core problem in urban analytics, with applications spanning urban design, navigation, location-based services, and the placement of street-level assets. Traditional site selection methods often rely on static traffic counts or subjective assessments. This research introduces a data-driven methodology to objectively quantify location visibility by analyzing large-scale connected vehicle trajectory data within urban environments. We model the dynamic driver field-of-view using a forward-projected visibility area for each vehicle position derived from interpolated trajectories. By integrating this with building vertex locations extracted from OpenStreetMap, we quantify the cumulative visual exposure, or ``visibility count'', for thousands of potential points of interest along roadways. The core technical contribution involves the construction of a BallTree spatial index over building vertices. This enables highly efficient (O(logN) complexity) radius queries to determine which vertices fall within the viewing circles of millions of trajectory points across numerous trips, significantly outperforming brute-force geometric checks. Analysis reveals two key findings: 1) Visibility is highly concentrated, identifying distinct 'visual hotspots' receiving disproportionately high exposure compared to average locations. 2) The aggregated visibility counts across vertices conform to a Log-Normal distribution.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2025

Unmanned Aerial Vehicles Control in a Digital Twin: Exploring the Effect of Different Points of View on User Experience in Virtual Reality

Controlling Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) is a cognitively demanding task, with accidents often arising from insufficient situational awareness, inadequate training, and poor user experiences. Providing more intuitive and immersive visual feedback, particularly through Digital Twin technologies, offers new opportunities to enhance pilot awareness and overall experience quality. In this study, we investigate how different virtual points of view (POVs) influence user experience and performance during UAV piloting in Virtual Reality (VR), utilizing a digital twin that faithfully replicates the real-world flight environment. We developed a VR application that enables participants to control a physical DJI Mini 4 Pro drone while immersed in a digital twin with four distinct camera perspectives: Baseline View (static external), First-Person View, Chase View, and Third-Person View. Nineteen participants completed a series of ring-based obstacle courses from each perspective. In addition to objective flight data, we collected standardized subjective assessments of user experience, presence, workload, cybersickness, and situational awareness. Quantitative analyses revealed that the First-Person View was associated with significantly higher mental demand and effort, greater trajectory deviation, but smoother control inputs compared to the Third-Person and Chase perspectives. Complementing these findings, preference data indicated that the Third-Person View was most consistently favored, whereas the First-Person View elicited polarized reactions.

cs.HC↗

arXiv2025

Spatial Association Between Near-Misses and Accident Blackspots in Sydney, Australia: A Getis-Ord $G_i^*$ Analysis

Conventional road safety management is inherently reactive, relying on analysis of sparse and lagged historical crash data to identify hazardous locations, or crash blackspots. The proliferation of vehicle telematics presents an opportunity for a paradigm shift towards proactive safety, using high-frequency, high-resolution near-miss data as a leading indicator of crash risk. This paper presents a spatial-statistical framework to systematically analyze the concordance and discordance between official crash records and near-miss events within urban environment. A Getis-Ord statistic is first applied to both reported crashes and near-miss events to identify statistically significant local clusters of each type. Subsequently, Bivariate Local Moran's I assesses spatial relationships between crash counts and High-G event counts, classifying grid cells into distinct profiles: High-High (coincident risk), High-Low and Low-High. Our analysis reveals significant amount of Low-Crash, High-Near-Miss clusters representing high-risk areas that remain unobservable when relying solely on historical crash data. Feature importance analysis is performed using contextual Point of Interest data to identify the different infrastructure factors that characterize difference between spatial clusters. The results provide a data-driven methodology for transport authorities to transition from a reactive to a proactive safety management strategy, allowing targeted interventions before severe crashes occur.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2025

Automated Traffic Incident Response Plans using Generative Artificial Intelligence: Part 1 -- Building the Incident Response Benchmark

Traffic incidents remain a critical public safety concern worldwide, with Australia recording 1,300 road fatalities in 2024, which is the highest toll in 12 years. Similarly, the United States reports approximately 6 million crashes annually, raising significant challenges in terms of a fast reponse time and operational management. Traditional response protocols rely on human decision-making, which introduces potential inconsistencies and delays during critical moments when every minute impacts both safety outcomes and network performance. To address this issue, we propose a novel Incident Response Benchmark that uses generative artificial intelligence to automatically generate response plans for incoming traffic incidents. Our approach aims to significantly reduce incident resolution times by suggesting context-appropriate actions such as variable message sign deployment, lane closures, and emergency resource allocation adapted to specific incident characteristics. First, the proposed methodology uses real-world incident reports from the Performance Measurement System (PeMS) as training and evaluation data. We extract historically implemented actions from these reports and compare them against AI-generated response plans that suggest specific actions, such as lane closures, variable message sign announcements, and/or dispatching appropriate emergency resources. Second, model evaluations reveal that advanced generative AI models like GPT-4o and Grok 2 achieve superior alignment with expert solutions, demonstrated by minimized Hamming distances (averaging 2.96-2.98) and low weighted differences (approximately 0.27-0.28). Conversely, while Gemini 1.5 Pro records the lowest count of missed actions, its extremely high number of unnecessary actions (1547 compared to 225 for GPT-4o) indicates an over-triggering strategy that reduces the overall plan efficiency.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2024

An Experimental Study on Decomposition-Based Deep Ensemble Learning for Traffic Flow Forecasting

Traffic flow forecasting is a crucial task in intelligent transport systems. Deep learning offers an effective solution, capturing complex patterns in time-series traffic flow data to enable the accurate prediction. However, deep learning models are prone to overfitting the intricate details of flow data, leading to poor generalisation. Recent studies suggest that decomposition-based deep ensemble learning methods may address this issue by breaking down a time series into multiple simpler signals, upon which deep learning models are built and ensembled to generate the final prediction. However, few studies have compared the performance of decomposition-based ensemble methods with non-decomposition-based ones which directly utilise raw time-series data. This work compares several decomposition-based and non-decomposition-based deep ensemble learning methods. Experimental results on three traffic datasets demonstrate the superiority of decomposition-based ensemble methods, while also revealing their sensitivity to aggregation strategies and forecasting horizons.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Predicting the duration of traffic incidents for Sydney greater metropolitan area using machine learning methods

This research presents a comprehensive approach to predicting the duration of traffic incidents and classifying them as short-term or long-term across the Sydney Metropolitan Area. Leveraging a dataset that encompasses detailed records of traffic incidents, road network characteristics, and socio-economic indicators, we train and evaluate a variety of advanced machine learning models including Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT), Random Forest, LightGBM, and XGBoost. The models are assessed using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) for regression tasks and F1 score for classification tasks. Our experimental results demonstrate that XGBoost and LightGBM outperform conventional models with XGBoost achieving the lowest RMSE of 33.7 for predicting incident duration and highest classification F1 score of 0.62 for a 30-minute duration threshold. For classification, the 30-minute threshold balances performance with 70.84% short-term duration classification accuracy and 62.72% long-term duration classification accuracy. Feature importance analysis, employing both tree split counts and SHAP values, identifies the number of affected lanes, traffic volume, and types of primary and secondary vehicles as the most influential features. The proposed methodology not only achieves high predictive accuracy but also provides stakeholders with vital insights into factors contributing to incident durations. These insights enable more informed decision-making for traffic management and response strategies. The code is available by the link: https://github.com/Future-Mobility-Lab/SydneyIncidents

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Enhancing Traffic Incident Management with Large Language Models: A Hybrid Machine Learning Approach for Severity Classification

This research showcases the innovative integration of Large Language Models into machine learning workflows for traffic incident management, focusing on the classification of incident severity using accident reports. By leveraging features generated by modern language models alongside conventional data extracted from incident reports, our research demonstrates improvements in the accuracy of severity classification across several machine learning algorithms. Our contributions are threefold. First, we present an extensive comparison of various machine learning models paired with multiple large language models for feature extraction, aiming to identify the optimal combinations for accurate incident severity classification. Second, we contrast traditional feature engineering pipelines with those enhanced by language models, showcasing the superiority of language-based feature engineering in processing unstructured text. Third, our study illustrates how merging baseline features from accident reports with language-based features can improve the severity classification accuracy. This comprehensive approach not only advances the field of incident management but also highlights the cross-domain application potential of our methodology, particularly in contexts requiring the prediction of event outcomes from unstructured textual data or features translated into textual representation. Specifically, our novel methodology was applied to three distinct datasets originating from the United States, the United Kingdom, and Queensland, Australia. This cross-continental application underlines the robustness of our approach, suggesting its potential for widespread adoption in improving incident management processes globally.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks via Multi-Task Optimization for Traffic Density Prediction

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) are a newly emerging research frontier in machine learning, which incorporate certain physical laws that govern a given data set, e.g., those described by partial differential equations (PDEs), into the training of the neural network (NN) based on such a data set. In PINNs, the NN acts as the solution approximator for the PDE while the PDE acts as the prior knowledge to guide the NN training, leading to the desired generalization performance of the NN when facing the limited availability of training data. However, training PINNs is a non-trivial task largely due to the complexity of the loss composed of both NN and physical law parts. In this work, we propose a new PINN training framework based on the multi-task optimization (MTO) paradigm. Under this framework, multiple auxiliary tasks are created and solved together with the given (main) task, where the useful knowledge from solving one task is transferred in an adaptive mode to assist in solving some other tasks, aiming to uplift the performance of solving the main task. We implement the proposed framework and apply it to train the PINN for addressing the traffic density prediction problem. Experimental results demonstrate that our proposed training framework leads to significant performance improvement in comparison to the traditional way of training the PINN.

cs.NE↗

arXiv2022

Traffic disruption modelling with mode shift in multi-modal networks

A multi-modal transport system is acknowledged to have robust failure tolerance and can effectively relieve urban congestion issues. However, estimating the impact of disruptions across multi-transport modes is a challenging problem due to a dis-aggregated modelling approach applied to only individual modes at a time. To fill this gap, this paper proposes a new integrated modelling framework for a multi-modal traffic state estimation and evaluation of the disruption impact across all modes under various traffic conditions. First, we propose an iterative trip assignment model to elucidate the association between travel demand and travel behaviour, including a multi-modal origin-to-destination estimation for private and public transport. Secondly, we provide a practical multi-modal travel demand re-adjustment that takes the mode shift of the affected travellers into consideration. The pros and cons of the mode shift strategy are showcased via several scenario-based transport simulating experiments. The results show that a well-balanced mode shift with flexible routing and early announcements of detours so that travellers can plan ahead can significantly benefit all travellers by a delay time reduction of 46%, while a stable route assignment maintains a higher average traffic flow and the inactive mode-route choice help relief density under the traffic disruptions.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2022

Traffic Accident Risk Forecasting using Contextual Vision Transformers

Recently, the problem of traffic accident risk forecasting has been getting the attention of the intelligent transportation systems community due to its significant impact on traffic clearance. This problem is commonly tackled in the literature by using data-driven approaches that model the spatial and temporal incident impact, since they were shown to be crucial for the traffic accident risk forecasting problem. To achieve this, most approaches build different architectures to capture the spatio-temporal correlations features, making them inefficient for large traffic accident datasets. Thus, in this work, we are proposing a novel unified framework, namely a contextual vision transformer, that can be trained in an end-to-end approach which can effectively reason about the spatial and temporal aspects of the problem while providing accurate traffic accident risk predictions. We evaluate and compare the performance of our proposed methodology against baseline approaches from the literature across two large-scale traffic accident datasets from two different geographical locations. The results have shown a significant improvement with roughly 2\% in RMSE score in comparison to previous state-of-art works (SoTA) in the literature. Moreover, our proposed approach has outperformed the SoTA technique over the two datasets while only requiring 23x fewer computational requirements.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2022

Traffic incident duration prediction via a deep learning framework for text description encoding

Predicting the traffic incident duration is a hard problem to solve due to the stochastic nature of incident occurrence in space and time, a lack of information at the beginning of a reported traffic disruption, and lack of advanced methods in transport engineering to derive insights from past accidents. This paper proposes a new fusion framework for predicting the incident duration from limited information by using an integration of machine learning with traffic flow/speed and incident description as features, encoded via several Deep Learning methods (ANN autoencoder and character-level LSTM-ANN sentiment classifier). The paper constructs a cross-disciplinary modelling approach in transport and data science. The approach improves the incident duration prediction accuracy over the top-performing ML models applied to baseline incident reports. Results show that our proposed method can improve the accuracy by $60\%$ when compared to standard linear or support vector regression models, and a further $7\%$ improvement with respect to the hybrid deep learning auto-encoded GBDT model which seems to outperform all other models. The application area is the city of San Francisco, rich in both traffic incident logs (Countrywide Traffic Accident Data set) and past historical traffic congestion information (5-minute precision measurements from Caltrans Performance Measurement System).

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Incident duration prediction using a bi-level machine learning framework with outlier removal and intra-extra joint optimisation

Predicting the duration of traffic incidents is a challenging task due to the stochastic nature of events. The ability to accurately predict how long accidents will last can provide significant benefits to both end-users in their route choice and traffic operation managers in handling of non-recurrent traffic congestion. This paper presents a novel bi-level machine learning framework enhanced with outlier removal and intra-extra joint optimisation for predicting the incident duration on three heterogeneous data sets collected for both arterial roads and motorways from Sydney, Australia and San-Francisco, U.S.A. Firstly, we use incident data logs to develop a binary classification prediction approach, which allows us to classify traffic incidents as short-term or long-term. We find the optimal threshold between short-term versus long-term traffic incident duration, targeting both class balance and prediction performance while also comparing the binary versus multi-class classification approaches. Secondly, for more granularity of the incident duration prediction to the minute level, we propose a new Intra-Extra Joint Optimisation algorithm (IEO-ML) which extends multiple baseline ML models tested against several regression scenarios across the data sets. Final results indicate that: a) 40-45 min is the best split threshold for identifying short versus long-term incidents and that these incidents should be modelled separately, b) our proposed IEO-ML approach significantly outperforms baseline ML models in $66\%$ of all cases showcasing its great potential for accurate incident duration prediction. Lastly, we evaluate the feature importance and show that time, location, incident type, incident reporting source and weather at among the top 10 critical factors which influence how long incidents will last.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

How will electric vehicles affect traffic congestion and energy consumption: an integrated modelling approach

This paper explores the impact of electric vehicles (EVs) on traffic congestion and energy consumption by proposing an integrated bi-level framework comprising of: a) a dynamic micro-scale traffic simulation suitable for modelling current and hypothetical traffic and charging demand scenarios and b) a queue model for capturing the impact of fast charging station use, informed by traffic flows, travel distances, availability of charging infrastructure and estimated vehicle battery state of charge. To the best of our knowledge, this paper represents the first integrated analysis of potential traffic congestion and energy infrastructure impacts linked to EV uptake, based on real traffic flows and the placement and design of existing fast-charging infrastructure. Results showcase that the integrated queue-energy-transport modelling framework can predict correctly the limitations of the EV infrastructure as well as the traffic congestion evolution. The modelling approach identifies concrete pain points to be addressed in both traffic and energy management and planning. The code for this project can be found at : https://github.com/Future-Mobility-Lab/EV-charging-impact

eess.SY↗

arXiv2021

Boosted Genetic Algorithm using Machine Learning for traffic control optimization

Traffic control optimization is a challenging task for various traffic centers around the world and the majority of existing approaches focus only on developing adaptive methods under normal (recurrent) traffic conditions. Optimizing the control plans when severe incidents occur still remains an open problem, especially when a high number of lanes or entire intersections are affected. This paper aims at tackling this problem and presents a novel methodology for optimizing the traffic signal timings in signalized urban intersections, under non-recurrent traffic incidents. With the purpose of producing fast and reliable decisions, we combine the fast running Machine Learning (ML) algorithms and the reliable Genetic Algorithms (GA) into a single optimization framework. As a benchmark, we first start with deploying a typical GA algorithm by considering the phase duration as the decision variable and the objective function to minimize the total travel time in the network. We fine tune the GA for crossover, mutation, fitness calculation and obtain the optimal parameters. Secondly, we train various machine learning regression models to predict the total travel time of the studied traffic network, and select the best performing regressor which we further hyper-tune to find the optimal training parameters. Lastly, we propose a new algorithm BGA-ML combining the GA algorithm and the extreme-gradient decision-tree, which is the best performing regressor, together in a single optimization framework. Comparison and results show that the new BGA-ML is much faster than the original GA algorithm and can be successfully applied under non-recurrent incident conditions.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Graph modelling approaches for motorway traffic flow prediction

Traffic flow prediction, particularly in areas that experience highly dynamic flows such as motorways, is a major issue faced in traffic management. Due to increasingly large volumes of data sets being generated every minute, deep learning methods have been used extensively in the latest years for both short and long term prediction. However, such models, despite their efficiency, need large amounts of historical information to be provided, and they take a considerable amount of time and computing resources to train, validate and test. This paper presents two new spatial-temporal approaches for building accurate short-term prediction along a popular motorway in Sydney, by making use of the graph structure of the motorway network (including exits and entries). The methods are built on proximity-based approaches, denoted backtracking and interpolation, which uses the most recent and closest traffic flow information for each of the target counting stations along the motorway. The results indicate that for short-term predictions (less than 10 minutes into the future), the proposed graph-based approaches outperform state-of-the-art deep learning models, such as long-term short memory, convolutional neuronal networks or hybrid models.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2020

Traffic congestion anomaly detection and prediction using deep learning

Congestion prediction represents a major priority for traffic management centres around the world to ensure timely incident response handling. The increasing amounts of generated traffic data have been used to train machine learning predictors for traffic, however, this is a challenging task due to inter-dependencies of traffic flow both in time and space. Recently, deep learning techniques have shown significant prediction improvements over traditional models, however, open questions remain around their applicability, accuracy and parameter tuning. This paper brings two contributions in terms of: 1) applying an outlier detection an anomaly adjustment method based on incoming and historical data streams, and 2) proposing an advanced deep learning framework for simultaneously predicting the traffic flow, speed and occupancy on a large number of monitoring stations along a highly circulated motorway in Sydney, Australia, including exit and entry loop count stations, and over varying training and prediction time horizons. The spatial and temporal features extracted from the 36.34 million data points are used in various deep learning architectures that exploit their spatial structure (convolutional neuronal networks), their temporal dynamics (recurrent neuronal networks), or both through a hybrid spatio-temporal modelling (CNN-LSTM). We show that our deep learning models consistently outperform traditional methods, and we conduct a comparative analysis of the optimal time horizon of historical data required to predict traffic flow at different time points in the future. Lastly, we prove that the anomaly adjustment method brings significant improvements to using deep learning in both time and space.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2019

Motorway Traffic Flow Prediction using Advanced Deep Learning

Congestion prediction represents a major priority for traffic management centres around the world to ensure timely incident response handling. The increasing amounts of generated traffic data have been used to train machine learning predictors for traffic, however this is a challenging task due to inter-dependencies of traffic flow both in time and space. Recently, deep learning techniques have shown significant prediction improvements over traditional models, however open questions remain around their applicability, accuracy and parameter tuning. This paper proposes an advanced deep learning framework for simultaneously predicting the traffic flow on a large number of monitoring stations along a highly circulated motorway in Sydney, Australia, including exit and entry loop count stations, and over varying training and prediction time horizons. The spatial and temporal features extracted from the 36.34 million data points are used in various deep learning architectures that exploit their spatial structure (convolutional neuronal networks), their temporal dynamics (recurrent neuronal networks), or both through a hybrid spatio-temporal modelling (CNN-LSTM). We show that our deep learning models consistently outperform traditional methods, and we conduct a comparative analysis of the optimal time horizon of historical data required to predict traffic flow at different time points in the future.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2019

Trip Table Estimation and Prediction for Dynamic Traffic Assignment Applications

The study focuses on estimating and predicting time-varying origin to destination (OD) trip tables for a dynamic traffic assignment (DTA) model. A bi-level optimisation problem is formulated and solved to estimate OD flows from pre-existent demand matrix and historical traffic flow counts. The estimated demand is then considered as an input for a time series OD demand prediction model to support the DTA model for short-term traffic condition forecasting. Results show a high capability of the proposed OD demand estimation method to reduce the DTA model error through an iterative solution algorithm. Moreover, the applicability of the OD demand prediction approach is investigated for an incident analysis application for a major corridor in Sydney, Australia.

eess.SP↗