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Adriano Kamimura Suzuki

Publications and source records attributed to Adriano Kamimura Suzuki.

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Generalized Neural Distributional Regression

We introduce the Generalized Neural Distributional Regression (GNDR) framework, which seamlessly embeds deep neural networks into the parameter space of classical probability distributions. To reconcile the inherent non-identifiability of deep architectures with maximum likelihood theory, we propose a two-step semi-parametric estimation procedure. By isolating the terminal prediction heads and treating the upstream network as a fixed, non-linear basis expansion, GNDR enables the extraction of analytical Fisher Information matrices. This facilitates rigorous uncertainty quantification, generating observation-specific confidence bands and tolerance intervals via the multivariate Delta method. We demonstrate the framework's versatility and superior distributional calibration across diverse data modalities, including overdispersed clinical counts, right-censored transcriptomic survival profiles under a mixture cure framework, and zero-truncated age distributions derived directly from unstructured facial images. The methodology is natively implemented in the open-source Python package \textit{thetaflow}.

stat.ML

Methods to Deal with Unknown Populational Minima during Parameter Inference

There is a myriad of phenomena that are better modelled with semi-infinite distribution families, many of which are studied in survival analysis. When performing inference, lack of knowledge of the populational minimum becomes a problem, which can be dealt with by making a good guess thereof, or by handcrafting a grid of initial parameters that will be useful for that particular problem. These solutions are fine when analyzing a single set of samples, but it becomes unfeasible when there are multiple datasets and a case-by-case analysis would be too time consuming. In this paper we propose methods to deal with the populational minimum in algorithmic, efficient and/or simple ways. Six methods are presented and analyzed, two of which have full theoretical support, but lack simplicity. The other four are simple and have some theoretical grounds in non-parametric results such as the law of iterated logarithm, and they exhibited very good results when it comes to maximizing likelihood and being able to recycle the grid of initial parameters among the datasets. With our results, we hope to ease the inference process for practitioners, and expect that these methods will eventually be included in software packages themselves.

stat.CO