SearcharxivSearch

arXiv subjects

Agatha Sacramento Rodrigues

Publications and source records attributed to Agatha Sacramento Rodrigues.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Modeling cure fraction with frailty term in latent risk: a Bayesian approach

In this paper, we propose a flexible cure rate model with frailty term in latent risk, which is obtained by incorporating a frailty term in risk function of latent competing causes. The number of competing causes of the event of interest follows negative binomial distribution and the frailty variable follows power variance function distribution, in which includes other frailty models such as gamma, positive stable and inverse Gaussian frailty models as special cases. The proposed model takes into account the presence of covariates and right-censored survival data suitable for populations with a cure rate. Besides, it allows quantifying the degree of unobserved heterogeneity induced by unobservable risk factors, in which is important to explain the survival time. Once the posterior distribution has not close form, Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations are considered for estimation procedure. We performed several simulation studies and the practical relevance of the proposed model is demonstrated in a real data set.

stat.AP

Reliability of components of coherent systems: estimates in presence of masked data

The reliability of a system of components depends on reliability of each component. Thus, the initial statistical work should be the estimation of the reliability of each component of the system. This is not an easy task because when the system fails, the failure time of a given component can not be observed, that is, censored data. Rodrigues et al. (2017) presented a solution for reliability estimation of components when it is avaliable the system failure time and the status of each component at the time of system failure (if it had failed before, after or it is responsible for system failure). However, there are situations it may be difficult to identify the status of components at the moment of system failure. Such cases are systems with masked causes of failure. Since parallel and series systems are the simplest systems, innumerous alternative solutions for these two systems have been appeared in the literature. To the best of our knowledge, this seems to be the first work that considers the general case of coherent systems. The three-parameter Weibull distribution is considered as the component failure time model. Identically distributed failure times is not required restrictions. Furthermore, there is no restriction on the subjective choice of prior distributions but preference has been given to continuous prior distributions; these priors represent well the nuances of the environment that the system operates. The statistical work of obtaining quantities of the posterior distribution is supported by the Metropolis within Gibbs algorithm. With several simulations, the excellent performance of the model was evaluated. We also consider a computer hard-drives real dataset in order to present the practical relevance of the proposed model.

stat.ME