arXiv subjects

Alaa Al Khourdajie

Publications and source records attributed to Alaa Al Khourdajie.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2025

Information Retrieval for Climate Impact

The purpose of the MANILA24 Workshop on information retrieval for climate impact was to bring together researchers from academia, industry, governments, and NGOs to identify and discuss core research problems in information retrieval to assess climate change impacts. The workshop aimed to foster collaboration by bringing communities together that have so far not been very well connected -- information retrieval, natural language processing, systematic reviews, impact assessments, and climate science. The workshop brought together a diverse set of researchers and practitioners interested in contributing to the development of a technical research agenda for information retrieval to assess climate change impacts.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2023

Climate uncertainty impacts on optimal mitigation pathways and social cost of carbon

Emissions pathways used in climate policy analysis are often derived from integrated assessment models. However, such emissions pathways do not typically include climate feedbacks on socioeconomic systems and by extension do not consider climate uncertainty in their construction. We use a well-known cost-benefit integrated assessment model, the Dynamic Integrated Climate-Economy (DICE) model, with its climate component replaced by the Finite-amplitude Impulse Response (FaIR) model (v2.1). The climate uncertainty in FaIR is sampled with an ensemble that is consistent with historically observed climate and Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessed ranges of key climate variables such as equilibrium climate sensitivity. Three scenarios are produced: a pathway similar to the "optimal welfare" scenario of DICE that has similar warming outcomes to current policies, and pathways that limit warming to "well-below" 2C and 1.5C with low overshoot, in line with Paris Agreement long-term temperature goals. Climate uncertainty alone is responsible for a factor of five variation (5-95% range) in the social cost of carbon in the 1.5C scenario. CO2 emissions trajectories resulting from the optimal level of emissions abatement in all pathways are also sensitive to climate uncertainty, with 2050 emissions ranging from -12 to +14 GtCO2/yr in the 1.5C scenario. Equilibrium climate sensitivity and the strength of present-day aerosol effective radiative forcing are strong determinants of social cost of carbon and mid-century CO2 emissions. This shows that narrowing climate uncertainty leads to more refined estimates for the social cost of carbon and provides more certainty about the optimal rate of emissions abatement. Including climate and climate uncertainty in integrated assessment model derived emissions scenarios would address a key missing feedback in scenario construction.

econ.GN↗

arXiv2022

Implementation of FAIR principles in the IPCC: The WGI AR6 Atlas repository

The Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has adopted the FAIR Guiding Principles. The Atlas chapter of Working Group I (WGI) is presented as a test case. Here, we describe the application of these principles in the Atlas, the challenges faced during its implementation, and those that remain for the future. We present the open source repository resulting from this process, which collects the code (including annotated Jupyter notebooks), data provenance, and some aggregated datasets underpinning the key figures in the Atlas chapter and its interactive companion (the Interactive Atlas), open to scrutiny by the scientific community and the general public. We describe the informal pilot review conducted on this repository to gather recommendations that led to significant improvements. Finally, a working example illustrates the use of the repository to produce customized regional information, extending the Interactive Atlas products and running the code interactively in a web browser using Jupyter notebooks. Atlas repository: doi:10.5281/zenodo.5171760.

physics.ao-ph↗