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Alain Hauser

Publications and source records attributed to Alain Hauser.

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High-dimensional consistency in score-based and hybrid structure learning

Main approaches for learning Bayesian networks can be classified as constraint-based, score-based or hybrid methods. Although high-dimensional consistency results are available for constraint-based methods like the PC algorithm, such results have not been proved for score-based or hybrid methods, and most of the hybrid methods have not even shown to be consistent in the classical setting where the number of variables remains fixed and the sample size tends to infinity. In this paper, we show that consistency of hybrid methods based on greedy equivalence search (GES) can be achieved in the classical setting with adaptive restrictions on the search space that depend on the current state of the algorithm. Moreover, we prove consistency of GES and adaptively restricted GES (ARGES) in several sparse high-dimensional settings. ARGES scales well to sparse graphs with thousands of variables and our simulation study indicates that both GES and ARGES generally outperform the PC algorithm.

math.ST

Jointly interventional and observational data: estimation of interventional Markov equivalence classes of directed acyclic graphs

In many applications we have both observational and (randomized) interventional data. We propose a Gaussian likelihood framework for joint modeling of such different data-types, based on global parameters consisting of a directed acyclic graph (DAG) and correponding edge weights and error variances. Thanks to the global nature of the parameters, maximum likelihood estimation is reasonable with only one or few data points per intervention. We prove consistency of the BIC criterion for estimating the interventional Markov equivalence class of DAGs which is smaller than the observational analogue due to increased partial identifiability from interventional data. Such an improvement in identifiability has immediate implications for tighter bounds for inferring causal effects. Besides methodology and theoretical derivations, we present empirical results from real and simulated data.

math.ST

Two Optimal Strategies for Active Learning of Causal Models from Interventional Data

From observational data alone, a causal DAG is only identifiable up to Markov equivalence. Interventional data generally improves identifiability; however, the gain of an intervention strongly depends on the intervention target, that is, the intervened variables. We present active learning (that is, optimal experimental design) strategies calculating optimal interventions for two different learning goals. The first one is a greedy approach using single-vertex interventions that maximizes the number of edges that can be oriented after each intervention. The second one yields in polynomial time a minimum set of targets of arbitrary size that guarantees full identifiability. This second approach proves a conjecture of Eberhardt (2008) indicating the number of unbounded intervention targets which is sufficient and in the worst case necessary for full identifiability. In a simulation study, we compare our two active learning approaches to random interventions and an existing approach, and analyze the influence of estimation errors on the overall performance of active learning.

stat.ME

Characterization and Greedy Learning of Interventional Markov Equivalence Classes of Directed Acyclic Graphs

The investigation of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) encoding the same Markov property, that is the same conditional independence relations of multivariate observational distributions, has a long tradition; many algorithms exist for model selection and structure learning in Markov equivalence classes. In this paper, we extend the notion of Markov equivalence of DAGs to the case of interventional distributions arising from multiple intervention experiments. We show that under reasonable assumptions on the intervention experiments, interventional Markov equivalence defines a finer partitioning of DAGs than observational Markov equivalence and hence improves the identifiability of causal models. We give a graph theoretic criterion for two DAGs being Markov equivalent under interventions and show that each interventional Markov equivalence class can, analogously to the observational case, be uniquely represented by a chain graph called interventional essential graph (also known as CPDAG in the observational case). These are key insights for deriving a generalization of the Greedy Equivalence Search algorithm aimed at structure learning from interventional data. This new algorithm is evaluated in a simulation study.

stat.ME