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Alan A. Cohen

Publications and source records attributed to Alan A. Cohen.

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Governance as a complex, networked, democratic, satisfiability problem

Democratic governments comprise a subset of a population whose goal is to produce coherent decisions, solving societal challenges while respecting the will of the people. New governance frameworks represent this as a social network rather than as a hierarchical pyramid with centralized authority. But how should this network be structured? We model the decisions a population must make as a satisfiability problem and the structure of information flow involved in decision-making as a social hypergraph. This framework allows to consider different governance structures, from dictatorships to direct democracy. Between these extremes, we find a regime of effective governance where small overlapping decision groups make specific decisions and share information. Effective governance allows even incoherent or polarized populations to make coherent decisions at low coordination costs. Beyond simulations, our conceptual framework can explore a wide range of governance strategies and their ability to tackle decision problems that challenge standard governments.

physics.soc-ph

Quantile Graph Discovery through QuACC: Quantile Association via Conditional Concordance

Graphical structure learning is an effective way to assess and visualize cross-biomarker dependencies in biomedical settings. Standard approaches to estimating graphs rely on conditional independence tests that may not be sensitive to associations that manifest at the tails of joint distributions, i.e., they may miss connections among variables that exhibit associations mainly at lower or upper quantiles. In this work, we propose a novel measure of quantile-specific conditional association called QuACC: Quantile Association via Conditional Concordance. For a pair of variables and a conditioning set, QuACC quantifies agreement between the residuals from two quantile regression models, which may be linear or more complex, e.g., quantile forests. Using this measure as the basis for a test of null (quantile) association, we introduce a new class of quantile-specific graphical models. Through simulation we show our method is powerful for detecting dependencies under dependencies that manifest at the tails of distributions. We apply our method to biobank data from All of Us and identify quantile-specific patterns of conditional association in a multivariate setting.

stat.ME