arXiv subjects

Aleksander Lukashevich

Publications and source records attributed to Aleksander Lukashevich.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2024

A-Priori Reduction of Scenario Approximation for Automated Generation Control in High-Voltage Power Grids with Renewable Energy

Renewable energy sources (RES) are increasingly integrated into power systems to support the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals of decarbonization and energy security. However, their low inertia and high uncertainty pose challenges to grid stability and increase the risk of blackouts. Stochastic chance-constrained optimization, particularly data-driven methods, offers solutions but can be time-consuming, especially when handling multiple system snapshots. This paper addresses a dynamic joint chance-constrained Direct Current Optimal Power Flow (DC-OPF) problem with Automated Generation Control (AGC) to facilitate cost-effective power generation while ensuring that balance and security constraints are met. We propose an approach for a data-driven approximation that includes a priori sample reduction, maintaining solution reliability while reducing the size of the data-driven approximation. Both theoretical analysis and empirical results demonstrate the superiority of this approach in handling generation uncertainty, requiring up to twice less data while preserving solution reliability.

math.OC↗

arXiv2023

Climate Change Impact on Agricultural Land Suitability: An Interpretable Machine Learning-Based Eurasia Case Study

The United Nations has identified improving food security and reducing hunger as essential components of its sustainable development goals. As of 2021, approximately 828 million people worldwide are experiencing hunger and malnutrition, with numerous fatalities reported. Climate change significantly impacts agricultural land suitability, potentially leading to severe food shortages and subsequent social and political conflicts. To address this pressing issue, we have developed a machine learning-based approach to predict the risk of substantial land suitability degradation and changes in irrigation patterns. Our study focuses on Central Eurasia, a region burdened with economic and social challenges. This study represents a pioneering effort in utilizing machine learning methods to assess the impact of climate change on agricultural land suitability under various carbon emissions scenarios. Through comprehensive feature importance analysis, we unveil specific climate and terrain characteristics that exert influence on land suitability. Our approach achieves remarkable accuracy, offering policymakers invaluable insights to facilitate informed decisions aimed at averting a humanitarian crisis, including strategies such as the provision of additional water and fertilizers. This research underscores the tremendous potential of machine learning in addressing global challenges, with a particular emphasis on mitigating hunger and malnutrition.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

Importance sampling approach to chance-constrained DC optimal power flow

Despite significant economic and ecological effects, a higher level of renewable energy generation leads to increased uncertainty and variability in power injections, thus compromising grid reliability. In order to improve power grid security, we investigate a joint chance-constrained (CC) direct current (DC) optimal power flow (OPF) problem. The problem aims to find economically optimal power generation while guaranteeing that all power generation, line flows, and voltages simultaneously remain within their bounds with a pre-defined probability. Unfortunately, the problem is computationally intractable even if the distribution of renewables fluctuations is specified. Moreover, existing approximate solutions to the joint CC OPF problem are overly conservative, and therefore have less value for the operational practice. This paper proposes an importance sampling approach to the CC DC OPF problem, which yields better complexity and accuracy than current state-of-the-art methods. The algorithm efficiently reduces the number of scenarios by generating and using only the most important of them, thus enabling real-time solutions for test cases with up to several hundred buses.

math.OC↗