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Alessandra Silvestri

Publications and source records attributed to Alessandra Silvestri.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Principal reconstructed modes of dark energy and gravity

Recently, in [1], we presented the first combined non-parametric reconstruction of the three time-dependent functions that capture departures from the standard cosmological model, $Λ$CDM, in the expansion history and gravitational effects on matter and light from the currently available combination of the background and large scale structure data. The reconstruction was performed with and without a theory-informed prior, built on the general Horndeski class of scalar-tensor theories, that correlates the three functions. In this work, we perform a decomposition of the prior and posterior covariances of the three functions to determine the structure of the modes that are constrained by the data relative to the Horndeski prior. We find that the combination of all data can constrain 15 combined eigenmodes of the three functions with respect to the prior. We examine and interpret their features in view of the well-known tensions between datasets within the $Λ$CDM model. We also assess the bias introduced by the simplistic parameterizations commonly used in the literature for constraining deviations from GR on cosmological scales.

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A look at the Hubble speed from first principles

We introduce a novel way of measuring $H_0$ from a combination of independent geometrical datasets, with no need of calibration nor of the choice of a cosmological model. We build on the {\it distance duality relation} which sets the ratio of the luminosity and angular diameter distance to a fixed scaling in redshift for any metric theory of gravity with standard photon propagation and constitutes a founding block of any theory describing our Universe. Our method provides the unprecedented possibility of determining $H_0$ from first principles, unleashing the measurement of this fundamental constant from calibration and assumption of a cosmological model. We find $H_0=69.5 \pm 1.7$ km/s/Mpc at $68\%$ C.L. showing that the Hubble constant can be constrained at percent level with minimal assumptions.

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Constraining beyond $Λ$CDM models with 21cm intensity mapping forecast observations combined with latest CMB data

We explore constraints on dark energy and modified gravity with forecast 21cm intensity mapping measurements using the Effective Field Theory approach. We construct a realistic mock data set forecasting a low redshift 21cm signal power spectrum $P_{21}(z,k)$ measurement from the MeerKAT radio-telescope. We compute constraints on cosmological and model parameters through Monte Carlo Markov chain techniques, testing both the constraining power of $P_{21}(k)$ alone and its effect when combined with the latest Planck 2018 CMB data. We complement our analysis by testing the effects of tomography from an ideal mock data set of observations in multiple redshift bins. We conduct our analysis numerically with the codes EFTCAMB/EFTCosmoMC, which we extend by implementing a likelihood module fully integrated with original codes. We find that adding $P_{21}(k)$ to CMB data provides significantly tighter constraints on $Ω_ch^2$ and $H_0$, with a reduction of the error with respect to Planck results at the level of more than $60\%$. For the parameters describing beyond $Λ$CDM theories, we observe a reduction in the error with respect to the Planck constraints at the level of $\lesssim 10\%$. The improvement increases up to $\sim 35\%$ when we constrain the parameters using ideal, tomographic mock observations. We conclude that the power spectrum of the 21cm signal is sensitive to variations of the parameters describing the examined beyond $Λ$CDM models and, thus, $P_{21}(k)$ observations could help to constrain dark energy. The constraining power on such theories is improved significantly by tomography.

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Detecting Dark Energy Fluctuations with Gravitational Waves

Luminosity distance estimates from electromagnetic and gravitational wave sources are generally different in models of dynamical dark energy and gravity beyond the standard cosmological scenario. We show that this leaves a unique imprint on the angular power-spectrum of fluctuations of the luminosity distance of gravitational-wave observations which tracks inhomogeneities in the dark energy field. Exploiting the synergy in supernovae and gravitational wave distance measurements, we build a joint estimator that directly probes dark energy fluctuations, providing a conclusive evidence for their existence in case of detection. Moreover, such measurement would also allow to probe the running of the Planck mass. We discuss experimental requirements to detect these signals.

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Accurate precision Cosmology with redshift unknown gravitational wave sources

Gravitational waves can provide an accurate measurement of the luminosity distance to the source, but cannot provide the source redshift unless the degeneracy between mass and redshift can be broken. This makes it essential to infer the redshift of the source independently to measure the expansion history of the Universe. We show that by exploiting the clustering scale of the gravitational wave sources with galaxies of known redshift, we can infer the expansion history from redshift unknown gravitational wave sources. By using gravitational wave sources of unknown redshift that are detectable from the network of gravitational wave detectors with Advanced LIGO design sensitivity, we will be able to obtain accurate and precise measurements of the local Hubble constant, the expansion history of the universe, and the gravitational wave bias parameter, which captures the distribution of gravitational wave sources with respect to the redshift tracer distribution. While we showcase its application to low redshift gravitational waves, this technique will be applicable also to the high redshift gravitational wave sources detectable from Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA), Cosmic Explorer (CE), and Einstein Telescope (ET). Moreover, this method will also be applicable to samples of supernovae and fast radio bursts with unknown or photometric redshifts.

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Cosmology Intertwined III: $f σ_8$ and $S_8$

The standard $Λ$ Cold Dark Matter cosmological model provides a wonderful fit to current cosmological data, but a few tensions and anomalies became statistically significant with the latest data analyses. While these anomalies could be due to the presence of systematic errors in the experiments, they could also indicate the need for new physics beyond the standard model. In this Letter of Interest we focus on the tension of the Planck data with weak lensing measurements and redshift surveys, about the value of the matter energy density $Ω_m$, and the amplitude or rate of the growth of structure ($σ_8,fσ_8$). We list a few interesting models for solving this tension, and we discuss the importance of trying to fit with a single model a full array of data and not just one parameter at a time.

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Cosmology Intertwined II: The Hubble Constant Tension

The current cosmological probes have provided a fantastic confirmation of the standard $Λ$ Cold Dark Matter cosmological model, that has been constrained with unprecedented accuracy. However, with the increase of the experimental sensitivity a few statistically significant tensions between different independent cosmological datasets emerged. While these tensions can be in portion the result of systematic errors, the persistence after several years of accurate analysis strongly hints at cracks in the standard cosmological scenario and the need for new physics. In this Letter of Interest we will focus on the $4.4σ$ tension between the Planck estimate of the Hubble constant $H_0$ and the SH0ES collaboration measurements. After showing the $H_0$ evaluations made from different teams using different methods and geometric calibrations, we will list a few interesting new physics models that could solve this tension and discuss how the next decade experiments will be crucial.

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Cosmology Intertwined I: Perspectives for the Next Decade

The standard $Λ$ Cold Dark Matter cosmological model provides an amazing description of a wide range of astrophysical and astronomical data. However, there are a few big open questions, that make the standard model look like a first-order approximation to a more realistic scenario that still needs to be fully understood. In this Letter of Interest we will list a few important goals that need to be addressed in the next decade, also taking into account the current discordances present between the different cosmological probes, as the Hubble constant $H_0$ value, the $σ_8 - S_8$ tension, and the anomalies present in the Planck results. Finally, we will give an overview of upgraded experiments and next-generation space-missions and facilities on Earth, that will be of crucial importance to address all these questions.

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Cosmology Intertwined IV: The Age of the Universe and its Curvature

A precise measurement of the curvature of the Universe is of primeval importance for cosmology since it could not only confirm the paradigm of primordial inflation but also help in discriminating between different early Universe scenarios. The recent observations, while broadly consistent with a spatially flat standard $Λ$ Cold Dark Matter ($Λ$CDM) model, are showing tensions that still allow (and, in some cases, even suggest) a few percent deviations from a flat universe. In particular, the Planck Cosmic Microwave Background power spectra, assuming the nominal likelihood, prefer a closed universe at more than 99\% confidence level. While new physics could be in action, this anomaly may be the result of an unresolved systematic error or just a statistical fluctuation. However, since a positive curvature allows a larger age of the Universe, an accurate determination of the age of the oldest objects provides a smoking gun in confirming or falsifying the current flat $Λ$CDM model.

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First measurement of the Hubble parameter from bright binary black hole GW190521

The Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF) reported the event "ZTF19abanrhr" as a candidate electromagnetic (EM) counterpart at a redshift $z=0.438$ to the gravitational wave (GW) emission from the binary black hole merger GW190521. Assuming that ZTF19abanrhr is the {\it bona fide} EM counterpart to GW190521, and using the GW luminosity distance estimate from three different waveforms NRSur7dq4, SEOBNRv4PHM, and IMRPhenomPv3HM, we report a measurement of the Hubble constant $H_0= 50.4_{-19.5}^{+28.1}$ km/s/Mpc, $ 62.2_{-19.7}^{+29.5}$ km/s/Mpc, and $ 43.1_{-11.4}^{+24.6}$ km/s/Mpc (median along with $68\%$ credible interval) respectively after marginalizing over matter density $Ω_m$ (or dark energy equation of state $w_0$) assuming the flat LCDM (or wCDM) model. Combining our results with the binary neutron star event GW170817 with its redshift measurement alone, as well as with its inclination angle inferred from Very Large Baseline Interferometry (VLBI), we find $H_0= 67.6_{-4.2}^{+4.3}$ km/s/Mpc, $Ω_m= 0.47_{-0.27}^{+0.34}$, and $w_0= -1.17_{-0.57}^{+0.68}$ (median along with $68\%$ credible interval) providing the most stringent measurement on $H_0$ and the first estimation on $Ω_m$ and $w_0$ from bright standard siren. In the future, $1.3\%$ measurement of $H_0=68$ km/s/Mpc and $28\%$ measurement of $w_0=-1$ is possible from about $200$ GW190521-like sources.

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Strong Lensing Time Delay Constraints on Dark Energy: a Forecast

Measurements of time delays between multiple quasar images produced by strong lensing are reaching a sensitivity that makes them a promising cosmological probe. Future surveys will provide significantly more measurements, reaching unprecedented depth in redshift, making strong lensing time delay (SLTD) observations competitive with other background probes. We forecast constraints on the nature of dark energy from upcoming SLTD surveys, simulating future catalogues with different numbers of lenses distributed up to redshift $z\sim 1$ and focusing on cosmological parameters such as the Hubble constant $H_0$ and parametrisations of the dark energy equation of state. We also explore the impact of our ability to precisely model the lens mass profile and its environment, on the forecasted constraints. We find that in the most optimistic cases, SLTD will constrain $H_0$ at the level of $\sim 0.1\%$, while the CPL equation of state parameters, $w_0$ and $w_a$, can be determined with errors $σ_{w_0}\sim 0.05$ and $σ_{w_a}\sim 0.3$, respectively. Furthermore, we investigate the bias introduced when a wrong cosmological model is assumed for the analysis. We find that the value of $H_0$ could be biased up to $10 σ$, assuming a perfect knowledge of the lens profile, when a $Λ$CDM model is used to analyse data that really belong to a $w$CDM cosmology with $w=-0.9$. Based on these findings, we identify a consistency check of the assumed cosmological model in future SLTD surveys, by splitting the dataset in several redshift bins. Depending on the characteristics of the survey, this could provide a smoking gun for dark energy.

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Reconstruction of the Dark Energy equation of state from latest data: the impact of theoretical priors

We reconstruct the Equation of State of Dark Energy (EoS) from current data using a non-parametric approach where, rather than assuming a specific time evolution of this function, we bin it in time. We treat the transition between the bins with two different methods, i.e. a smoothed step function and a Gaussian Process reconstruction, investigating whether or not the two approaches lead to compatible results. Additionally, we include in the reconstruction procedure a correlation between the values of the EoS at different times in the form of a theoretical prior that takes into account a set of viability and stability requirements that one can impose on models alternative to $Λ$CDM. In such case, we necessarily specialize to broad, but specific classes of alternative models, i.e. Quintessence and Horndeski gravity. We use data coming from CMB, Supernovae and BAO surveys. We find an overall agreement between the different reconstruction methods used; with both approaches, we find a time dependence of the mean of the reconstruction, with different trends depending on the class of model studied. The constant EoS predicted by the $Λ$CDM model falls anyway within the $1σ$ bounds of our analysis.

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Generalized Brans-Dicke theories in light of evolving dark energy

The expansion history of the Universe reconstructed from a combination of recent data indicates a preference for a changing Dark Energy (DE) density. Moreover, the DE density appears to be increasing with cosmic time, with its equation of state being below -1 on average, and possibly crossing the so-called phantom divide. Scalar-tensor theories, in which the scalar field mediates a force between matter particles, offer a natural framework in which the effective DE equation of state can be less than -1 and cross the phantom barrier. We consider the generalized Brans-Dicke (GBD) class of scalar-tensor theories and reconstruct their Lagrangian given the effective DE density extracted from recent data. Then, given the reconstructed Lagrangian, we solve for the linear perturbations and investigate the characteristic signatures of these reconstructed GBD in the cosmological observables, such as the cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropy, the galaxy number counts, and their cross-correlations. In particular, we demonstrate that the Integrated Sachs-Wolfe (ISW) effect probed by the cross-correlation of CMB with the matter distribution can rule out scalar-tensor theories as the explanation of the observed DE dynamics independently from the laboratory and solar system fifth force constraints.

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The role of the tachyonic instability in Horndeski gravity

The tachyonic instability is associated with the unboundedness of the Hamiltonian from below and results in an unstable low-$k$ regime. In the cosmological exploration of modified gravity, it is seldom taken into account, with more focus given to the popular no-ghost and no-gradient conditions. The latter though are intrinsically high-$k$ statements. Here we combine all three conditions into a full set of requirements that we show to guarantee stability on the whole range of cosmological scales. We then explore the impact of the different conditions on the parameter space of scalar-tensor gravity, with particular emphasis on the no-tachyon one. We focus on Horndeski gravity and also consider separately the two subclasses of $f(R)$ and Generalized Brans Dicke theories. We identify several interesting features, for instance in the parameter space of designer $f(R)$ on a $w$CDM background, shedding light on previous findings. When looking at the phenomenological functions $Σ$ and $μ$, associated to the weak lensing and clustering potential respectively, we find that in the case of Generalized Brans Dicke the no-tachyon condition clearly cuts models with $μ\,,\,Σ>1$. This effect is less prevalent in the Horndeski case due to the larger amount of free functions in the theory.

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MGCAMB with massive neutrinos and dynamical dark energy

We present a major upgrade of MGCAMB, a patch for the Einstein-Boltzmann solver CAMB used for phenomenological tests of general relativity against cosmological datasets. This new version is compatible with the latest CosmoMC code and includes a consistent implementation of massive neutrinos and dynamical dark energy. The code has been restructured to make it easier to modify to fit the custom needs of specific users. To illustrate the capabilities of the code, we present joint constraints on the modified growth, massive neutrinos and the dark energy equation of state from the latest cosmological observations, including the recent galaxy counts and weak lensing measurements from the Dark Energy Survey, and find a good consistency with the ΛCDM model.

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Phenomenology of Large Scale Structure in scalar-tensor theories: joint prior covariance of $w_{\textrm{DE}}$, $Σ$ and $μ$ in Horndeski

Ongoing and upcoming cosmological surveys will significantly improve our ability to probe the equation of state of dark energy, $w_{\rm DE}$, and the phenomenology of Large Scale Structure. They will allow us to constrain deviations from the $Λ$CDM predictions for the relations between the matter density contrast and the weak lensing and the Newtonian potential, described by the functions $Σ$ and $μ$, respectively. In this work, we derive the theoretical prior for the joint covariance of $w_{\rm DE}$, $Σ$ and $μ$, expected in general scalar-tensor theories with second order equations of motion (Horndeski gravity), focusing on their time-dependence at certain representative scales. We employ Monte-Carlo methods to generate large ensembles of statistically independent Horndeski models, focusing on those that are physically viable and in broad agreement with local tests of gravity, the observed cosmic expansion history and the measurement of the speed of gravitational waves from a binary neutron star merger. We identify several interesting features and trends in the distribution functions of $w_{\rm DE}$, $Σ$ and $μ$, as well as in their covariances; we confirm the high degree of correlation between $Σ$ and $μ$ in scalar-tensor theories. The derived prior covariance matrices will allow us to reconstruct jointly $w_{\rm DE}$, $Σ$ and $μ$ in a non-parametric way.

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The splashback radius in symmetron gravity

The splashback radius $r_\mathrm{sp}$ has been identified in cosmological $N$-body simulations as an important scale associated with gravitational collapse and the phase-space distribution of recently accreted material. We employ a semi-analytical approach to study the spherical collapse of dark matter haloes in symmetron gravity and provide insights into how the phenomenology of splashback is affected. The symmetron is a scalar-tensor theory of gravity which exhibits a screening mechanism whereby higher-density regions are screened from the effects of a fifth force. In this model, we find that, as over-densities grow over cosmic time, the inner region becomes heavily screened. In particular, we identify a sector of the parameter space for which material currently sitting at $r_\mathrm{sp}$ has followed, during the collapse, the formation of this screened region. As a result, we find that for this part of the parameter space the splashback radius is maximally affected by the symmetron force and we predict changes in $r_\mathrm{sp}$ up to around $10\%$ compared to its General Relativity value. Because this margin is within the precision of present splashback experiments, we expect this feature to soon provide constraints for symmetron gravity on previously unexplored scales.

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Do current cosmological observations rule out all Covariant Galileons?

We revisit the cosmology of Covariant Galileon gravity in view of the most recent cosmological data sets, including weak lensing. As a higher derivative theory, Covariant Galileon models do not have a $Λ$CDM limit and predict a very different structure formation pattern compared with the standard $Λ$CDM scenario. Previous cosmological analyses suggest that this model is marginally disfavoured, yet can not be completely ruled out. In this work we use a more recent and extended combination of data, and we allow for more freedom in the cosmology, by including a massive neutrino sector with three different mass hierarchies. We use the Planck measurements of Cosmic Microwave Background temperature and polarization; Baryonic Acoustic Oscillations measurements by BOSS DR12; local measurements of $H_0$; the joint light-curve analysis supernovae sample; and, for the first time, weak gravitational lensing from the KiDS collaboration. We find, that in order to provide a reasonable fit, a non-zero neutrino mass is indeed necessary, but we do not report any sizable difference among the three neutrino hierarchies. Finally, the comparison of the Bayesian Evidence to the $Λ$CDM one shows that in all the cases considered, Covariant Galileon models are statistically ruled out by cosmological data.

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