arXiv subjects

Alessandro Melchiorri

Publications and source records attributed to Alessandro Melchiorri.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

arXiv2020

Cosmology Intertwined III: $f σ_8$ and $S_8$

The standard $Λ$ Cold Dark Matter cosmological model provides a wonderful fit to current cosmological data, but a few tensions and anomalies became statistically significant with the latest data analyses. While these anomalies could be due to the presence of systematic errors in the experiments, they could also indicate the need for new physics beyond the standard model. In this Letter of Interest we focus on the tension of the Planck data with weak lensing measurements and redshift surveys, about the value of the matter energy density $Ω_m$, and the amplitude or rate of the growth of structure ($σ_8,fσ_8$). We list a few interesting models for solving this tension, and we discuss the importance of trying to fit with a single model a full array of data and not just one parameter at a time.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2020

Cosmology Intertwined II: The Hubble Constant Tension

The current cosmological probes have provided a fantastic confirmation of the standard $Λ$ Cold Dark Matter cosmological model, that has been constrained with unprecedented accuracy. However, with the increase of the experimental sensitivity a few statistically significant tensions between different independent cosmological datasets emerged. While these tensions can be in portion the result of systematic errors, the persistence after several years of accurate analysis strongly hints at cracks in the standard cosmological scenario and the need for new physics. In this Letter of Interest we will focus on the $4.4σ$ tension between the Planck estimate of the Hubble constant $H_0$ and the SH0ES collaboration measurements. After showing the $H_0$ evaluations made from different teams using different methods and geometric calibrations, we will list a few interesting new physics models that could solve this tension and discuss how the next decade experiments will be crucial.

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arXiv2020

Cosmology Intertwined I: Perspectives for the Next Decade

The standard $Λ$ Cold Dark Matter cosmological model provides an amazing description of a wide range of astrophysical and astronomical data. However, there are a few big open questions, that make the standard model look like a first-order approximation to a more realistic scenario that still needs to be fully understood. In this Letter of Interest we will list a few important goals that need to be addressed in the next decade, also taking into account the current discordances present between the different cosmological probes, as the Hubble constant $H_0$ value, the $σ_8 - S_8$ tension, and the anomalies present in the Planck results. Finally, we will give an overview of upgraded experiments and next-generation space-missions and facilities on Earth, that will be of crucial importance to address all these questions.

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arXiv2020

Cosmology Intertwined IV: The Age of the Universe and its Curvature

A precise measurement of the curvature of the Universe is of primeval importance for cosmology since it could not only confirm the paradigm of primordial inflation but also help in discriminating between different early Universe scenarios. The recent observations, while broadly consistent with a spatially flat standard $Λ$ Cold Dark Matter ($Λ$CDM) model, are showing tensions that still allow (and, in some cases, even suggest) a few percent deviations from a flat universe. In particular, the Planck Cosmic Microwave Background power spectra, assuming the nominal likelihood, prefer a closed universe at more than 99\% confidence level. While new physics could be in action, this anomaly may be the result of an unresolved systematic error or just a statistical fluctuation. However, since a positive curvature allows a larger age of the Universe, an accurate determination of the age of the oldest objects provides a smoking gun in confirming or falsifying the current flat $Λ$CDM model.

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arXiv2020

What is the amplitude of the Gravitational Waves background expected in the Starobinsky model ?

The inflationary model proposed by Starobinski in 1979 predicts an amplitude of the spectrum of primordial gravitational waves, parametrized by the tensor to scalar ratio, of $r=0.0037$ in case of a scalar spectral index of $n_S=0.965$. This amplitude is currently used as a target value in the design of future CMB experiments with the ultimate goal of measuring it at more than five standard deviations. Here we evaluate how stable are the predictions of the Starobinski model on $r$ considering the experimental uncertainties on $n_S$ and the assumption of $Λ$CDM. We also consider inflationary models where the $R^2$ term in Starobinsky action is generalized to a $R^{2p}$ term with index $p$ close to unity. We found that current data place a lower limit of $r>0.0013$ at $95 \%$ C.L. for the classic Starobinski model, and predict also a running of the scalar index different from zero at more than three standard deviation in the range $dn/dlnk=-0.0006_{-0.0001}^{+0.0002}$. A level of gravitational waves of $r\sim0.001$ is therefore possible in the Starobinski scenario and it will not be clearly detectable by future CMB missions as LiteBIRD and CMB-S4. When assuming a more general $R^{2p}$ inflation we found no expected lower limit on $r$, and a running consistent with zero. We found that current data are able to place a tight constraints on the index of $R^{2p}$ models at $95\%$ C.L. i.e. $p= 0.99^{+0.02}_{-0.03}$.

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arXiv2020

Interacting dark energy in the early 2020s: a promising solution to the $H_0$ and cosmic shear tensions

We examine interactions between dark matter and dark energy in light of the latest cosmological observations, focusing on a specific model with coupling proportional to the dark energy density. Our data includes Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) measurements from the Planck 2018 legacy data release, late-time measurements of the expansion history from Baryon Acoustic Oscillations (BAO) and Supernovae Type Ia (SNeIa), galaxy clustering and cosmic shear measurements from the Dark Energy Survey Year 1 results, and the 2019 local distance ladder measurement of the Hubble constant $H_0$ from the Hubble Space Telescope. Considering Planck data both in combination with BAO or SNeIa data reduces the $H_0$ tension to a level which could possibly be compatible with a statistical fluctuation. The very same model also significantly reduces the $Ω_{\rm m}-σ_8$ tension between CMB and cosmic shear measurements. Interactions between the dark sectors of our Universe remain therefore a promising joint solution to these persisting cosmological tensions.

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arXiv2020

$H_0$ Ex Machina: Vacuum Metamorphosis and Beyond $H_0$

We do not solve tensions with concordance cosmology; we do obtain $H_0\approx 74\,$km/s/Mpc from CMB+BAO+SN data in our model, but that is not the point. Discrepancies in Hubble constant values obtained by various astrophysical probes should not be viewed in isolation. While one can resolve at least some of the differences through either an early time transition or late time transition in the expansion rate, these introduce other changes. We advocate a holistic approach, using a wide variety of cosmic data, rather than focusing on one number, $H_0$. Vacuum metamorphosis, a late time transition physically motivated by quantum gravitational effects and with the same number of parameters as \lcdm, can successfully give a high $H_0$ value from cosmic microwave background data but fails when combined with multiple distance probes. We also explore the influence of spatial curvature, and of a conjoined analysis of cosmic expansion and growth.

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arXiv2020

Addendum to: Global constraints on absolute neutrino masses and their ordering

We revisit our previous work [Phys. Rev. D 95, 096014 (2017)] where neutrino oscillation and nonoscillation data were analyzed in the standard framework with three neutrino families, in order to constrain their absolute masses and to probe their ordering (either normal, NO, or inverted, IO). We include updated oscillation results to discuss best fits and allowed ranges for the two squared mass differences $δm^2$ and $Δm^2$, the three mixing angles $θ_{12}$, $θ_{23}$ and $θ_{13}$, as well as constraints on the CP-violating phase $δ$, plus significant indications in favor of NO vs IO at the level of $Δχ^2=10.0$. We then consider nonoscillation data from beta decay, from neutrinoless double beta decay (if neutrinos are Majorana), and from various cosmological input variants (in the data or the model) leading to results dubbed as default, aggressive, and conservative. In the default option, we obtain from nonoscillation data an extra contribution $Δχ^2 = 2.2$ in favor of NO, and an upper bound on the sum of neutrino masses $Σ< 0.15$ eV at $2σ$; both results - dominated by cosmology - can be strengthened or weakened by using more aggressive or conservative options, respectively. Taking into account such variations, we find that the combination of all (oscillation and nonoscillation) neutrino data favors NO at the level of $3.2-3.7σ$, and that $Σ$ is constrained at the $2σ$ level within $Σ< 0.12-0.69$ eV. The upper edge of this allowed range corresponds to an effective $β$-decay neutrino mass $m_β= Σ/3 = 0.23$ eV, at the sensitivity frontier of the KATRIN experiment.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2020

Non-minimal dark sector physics and cosmological tensions

We explore whether non-standard dark sector physics might be required to solve the existing cosmological tensions. The properties we consider in combination are an interaction between the dark matter and dark energy components, and a dark energy equation of state $w$ different from that of the canonical cosmological constant $w=-1$. In principle, these two parameters are independent. In practice, to avoid early-time, superhorizon instabilities, their allowed parameter spaces are correlated. We analyze three classes of extended interacting dark energy models in light of the 2019 Planck CMB results and Cepheid-calibrated local distance ladder $H_0$ measurements of Riess et al. (R19), as well as recent BAO and SNeIa distance data. We find that in quintessence coupled dark energy models, where $w > -1$, the evidence for a non-zero coupling between the two dark sectors can surpass the $5σ$ significance. On the other hand, in phantom coupled dark energy models, there is no such preference for a non-zero dark sector coupling. All the models we consider significantly raise the value of the Hubble constant easing the $H_0$ tension. The addition of low-redshift BAO and SNeIa measurements leaves some residual tension with R19 but at a level that could be justified by a statistical fluctuation. Bayesian evidence considerations mildly disfavour both the coupled quintessence and phantom models, while mildly favouring a coupled vacuum scenario, even when late-time datasets are considered. We conclude that non-minimal dark energy cosmologies, such as coupled quintessence, phantom, or vacuum models, are still an interesting route towards softening existing cosmological tensions, even when low-redshift datasets and Bayesian evidence considerations are taken into account. (abstract severely abridged)

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arXiv2019

Cosmological constraints in extended parameter space from the Planck 2018 Legacy release

We present new constraints on extended cosmological scenarios using the recent data from the Planck 2018 Legacy release. In addition to the six parameters of the standard LCDM model, we also simultaneously vary the dark energy equation of state, the neutrino mass, the neutrino effective number, the running of the spectral index and the lensing amplitude $A_L$. We confirm that a resolution of the Hubble tension is given by a dark energy equation of state with w<-1, ruling out quintessence models at high statistical significance. This solution is, however, not supported by BAO and Pantheon data. We find no evidence for evolving dark energy, i.e. $w_a \neq 0$. The neutrino effective number is always in agreement with the expectations of the standard model based on three active neutrinos. The running of the spectral index also is always consistent with zero. Despite the increase in the number of parameters, the $A_L$ lensing anomaly is still present at more than two standard deviations. The $A_L$ anomaly significantly affects the bounds on the neutrino mass that can be larger by a factor four with respect to those derived under standard $Λ$CDM. While the lensing data reduces the evidence for $A_L>1$, the inclusion of BAO and Pantheon increase its statistical significance.

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arXiv2019

Planck evidence for a closed Universe and a possible crisis for cosmology

The recent Planck Legacy 2018 release has confirmed the presence of an enhanced lensing amplitude in CMB power spectra compared to that predicted in the standard $Λ$CDM model. A closed universe can provide a physical explanation for this effect, with the Planck CMB spectra now preferring a positive curvature at more than $99 \%$ C.L. Here we further investigate the evidence for a closed universe from Planck, showing that positive curvature naturally explains the anomalous lensing amplitude and demonstrating that it also removes a well-known tension within the Planck data set concerning the values of cosmological parameters derived at different angular scales. We show that since the Planck power spectra prefer a closed universe, discordances higher than generally estimated arise for most of the local cosmological observables, including BAO. The assumption of a flat universe could, therefore, mask a cosmological crisis where disparate observed properties of the Universe appear to be mutually inconsistent. Future measurements are needed to clarify whether the observed discordances are due to undetected systematics, or to new physics, or simply are a statistical fluctuation.

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arXiv2019

Cosmic Birefringence Test of the Hubble Tension

An early dark energy component consisting of a cosmic pseudo Nambu-Goldstone boson has been recently proposed to resolve the Hubble tension -- the four-sigma discrepancy between precision measurements of the expansion rate of the universe. Here we point out that such an axion-like component may be expected to couple to electromagnetism by a Chern-Simons term, and will thereby induce an anisotropic cosmic birefringence signal in the polarization of the cosmic microwave background (CMB). We show that observations of the rotation-angle power spectrum and cross-correlation with CMB temperature anisotropy can confirm the presence of this early dark energy component. Future CMB data as expected from the CMB-S4 experiment will improve sensitivity to this effect by two orders of magnitude and help in discriminating between different Hubble tension scenarios.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2019

Cosmic Microwave Background constraints on non-minimal couplings in inflationary models with power law potentials

Inflationary models with power-law potentials are starting to be severely constrained by the recent measurements of Cosmic Microwave Background anisotropies provided by the Planck Satellite and by the BICEP2 telescope. In particular, models with power-law potentials $V(φ)\propto φ^n$ with $n \ge 2$ are strongly disfavored by present data since they predict a sizable contribution of gravitational waves with a tensor/scalar ratio of $r\sim0.15$ that is at odds with current limits. A non-minimal coupling to gravity has been proposed as a physical mechanism to lower the predictions for $r$. In this paper we further investigate the issue, presenting constraints on non-minimal couplings from current CMB data under the assumption of power-law potentials. We found that models with $n>2$ show a statistically significant indication (above $95 \%$ C.L.) for a non minimal coupling. Non minimal coupling is also preferred by models with $n<2$ albeit just at about $68 \%$ C.L.. Interestingly, all the models considered show a non-zero running of the spectral index, $ n_{\rm run}$, consistent with the 2018 Planck release value of $-0.007 \pm 0.0068$. We point out how future accurate measurement of $ n_{\rm run}$ would be necessary to significantly constraint these models and eventually rule out some or all of them. The combination of Planck data with the Bicep/Keck dataset strengthen these considerations.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2018

The cosmological impact of future constraints on $H_0$ from gravitational-wave standard sirens

Gravitational-wave standard sirens present a novel approach for the determination of the Hubble constant. After the recent spectacular confirmation of the method thanks to GW170817 and its optical counterpart, additional standard siren measurements from future gravitational-wave sources are expected to constrain the Hubble constant to high accuracy. At the same time, improved constraints are expected from observations of cosmic microwave background (CMB) polarization and from baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) surveys. We explore the role of future standard siren constraints on $H_0$ in light of expected CMB+BAO data. Considering a $10$-parameters cosmological model, in which curvature, the dark energy equation of state, and the Hubble constant are unbounded by CMB observations, we find that a combination of future CMB+BAO data will constrain the Hubble parameter to $\sim 1.5 \%$. Further extending the parameter space to a time-varying dark energy equation of state, we find that future CMB+BAO constraints on $H_0$ are relaxed to $\sim 3.0 \%$. These accuracies are within reach of future standard siren measurements from the Hanford-Livingston-Virgo and the Hanford-Livingston-Virgo-Japan-India networks of interferometers, showing the cosmological relevance of these sources. If future gravitational-wave standard siren measurements reach $1\%$ on $H_0$, as expected, they would significantly improve future CMB+BAO constraints on curvature and on the dark energy equation of state by up to a factor $\sim 3$. We also show that the inclusion of $H_0$ constraints from gravitational-wave standard sirens could result in a reduction of the dark energy figure-of-merit (i.e., the cosmological parameter volume) by up to a factor of $\sim 400$.

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arXiv2018

Bayesian Evidence against Harrison-Zel'dovich spectrum in tension cosmology

Current cosmological constraints on the scalar spectral index of primordial fluctuations $n_{\rm s}$ in the $Λ$CDM model have excluded the minimal scale-invariant Harrison-Zel'dovich model ($n_{\rm s}=1$; hereafter HZ) at high significance, providing support for inflation. In recent years, however, some tensions have emerged between different cosmological datasets that, if not due to systematics, could indicate the presence of new physics beyond the $Λ$CDM model. In the light of these developments, we evaluate the Bayesian evidence against HZ in different data combinations and model extensions. Considering only the Planck temperature data, we find inconclusive evidence against HZ when including variations in the neutrino number $N_{\rm eff}$ and/or the Helium abundance $Y_{\rm He}$. Adding the Planck polarization data, on the other hand, yields strong evidence against HZ in the extensions we considered. Perhaps most interestingly, Planck temperature data combined with local measurements of the Hubble constant give as the most probable model an HZ spectrum, with additional neutrinos. However, with the inclusion of polarisation, standard $Λ$CDM is once again preferred, but the HZ model with extra neutrinos is not strongly disfavored. The possibility of fully ruling out the HZ spectrum is therefore ultimately connected with the solution to current tensions between cosmological datasets. If these tensions are confirmed by future data, then new physical mechanisms could be at work and an HZ spectrum could still offer a valid alternative.

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arXiv2018

The Impact of Primordial Magnetic Fields on Future CMB Bounds on Inflationary Gravitational Waves

We discuss whether an unaccounted contribution to the Cosmic Microwave Background polarization $B$-mode by primordial magnetic fields (PMFs) can bias future constraints on inflationary gravitational waves. As a case-study, we consider a scale-invariant PMF spectrum with amplitude of $\approx{1}\,{\mathrm{nG}}$ on $1\,\mathrm{Mpc}$ scales, compatible with current cosmological bounds. We find a degeneracy in the $B$-mode spectra between PMFs and inflationary gravitational waves. If PMFs of this amplitude are not accounted for, future CMB experiments could claim a false detection of a tensor-to-scalar ratio $r\approx 0.007$, close to the predictions of Starobinsky and $α$-attractor models. The degeneracy can be broken if $B$-modes are measured also at multipoles $\ell\gtrsim 900$: more precisely experiments like CMB-S4 or CORE-M5 would be able to discriminate PMFs from primordial GWs at high statistical significance. Experiments like LiteBIRD or PIXIE will not be able to break the degeneracy and will need complementary bounds coming, for example, from measurements of anisotropies in the Faraday rotation angle of CMB polarization. This reinforces the importance of future experimental constraints on PMFs.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2018

Cornering the Planck $A_{lens}$ tension with future CMB data

The precise measurements of Cosmic Microwave Background Anisotropy angular power spectra made by the Planck satellite show an anomalous value for the lensing amplitude, defined by the parameter $A_{lens}$, at more than $2$ standard deviations. In this paper, after discussing the current status of the anomaly, we quantify the potential of future CMB measurements in confirming/falsifying the $A_{lens}$ tension. We find that a space-based experiment as LiteBIRD could falsify the current $A_{lens}$ tension at the level of $5$ standard deviations. Similar constraints can be achieved by a Stage-III experiment assuming an external prior on the reionization optical depth of $τ=0.055\pm0.010$ as already provided by the Planck satellite. A Stage-IV experiment could further test the $A_{lens}$ tension at the level of $10$ standard deviations. A comparison between temperature and polarization measurements made at different frequencies could further identify possible systematics responsible for $A_{lens}>1$. We show that, in the case of the CMB-S4 experiment, polarization data alone will have the potential of falsifying the current $A_{lens}$ anomaly at more than five standard deviation and to strongly bound its frequency dependence. We also evaluate the future constraints on a possible scale dependence for $A_{lens}$.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2017

The impact of theoretical assumptions in the determination of the neutrino effective number from future CMB measurements

One of the major goals of future Cosmic Microwave Background measurements is the accurate determination of the effective number of neutrinos $N_{\rm eff}$. Reaching an experimental sensitivity of $ΔN_{\rm eff} = 0.013$ could indeed falsify the presence of any non-standard relativistic particles at $95 \%$ c.l.. In this paper, we test how this future constraint can be affected by the removal of two common assumptions: a negligible running of the inflationary spectral index $n_{\rm run}$ and a precise determination of the neutron lifetime $τ_n$. We first show that the constraints on $N_{\rm eff}$ could be significantly biased by the unaccounted presence of a running of the spectral index. Considering the Stage-IV experiment, a negative running of ${\rm d}n/{\rm d}\ln k= - 0.002$ could mimic a positive variation of $ΔN_{\rm eff} = 0.03$. Moreover, given the current discrepancies between experimental measurements of the neutron lifetime $τ_n$, we show that the assumption of a conservative error of $Δτ_n \sim 10$s could bring to a systematic error of $ΔN_{\rm eff} = 0.02$. Complementary cosmological constraints on the running of the spectral index and a solution to the neutron lifetime discrepancy are therefore needed for an accurate and reliable future CMB bound of $N_{\rm eff}$ at percent level.

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