arXiv subjects

Alessandro Nagar

Publications and source records attributed to Alessandro Nagar.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

arXiv2022

Exploiting Newton-factorized, 2PN-accurate, waveform multipoles in effective-one-body models for spin-aligned noncircularized binaries

We present a new approach to factorize and resum the post-Newtonian (PN) waveform for generic equatorial motion to be used within effective-one-body (EOB) based waveform models. The new multipolar waveform factorization improves previous prescriptions in that: (i) the generic Newtonian contribution is factored out from each multipole; (ii) the circular part is factored out and resummed using standard EOB methods and (iii) the residual, 2PN-accurate, noncircular part, and in particular the tail contribution, is additionally resummed using Padé approximants. The resulting waveform is validated in the extreme-mass-ratio limit by comparisons with nine (mostly nonspinning) numerical waveforms either from eccentric inspirals, with eccentricities up to $e=0.9$, or dynamical captures . The resummation of the noncircular tail contribution is found essential to obtain excellent (${\lesssim}0.05$~rad at periastron for $e=0.9$) analytical/numerical agreement and to considerably improve the prescription with just the Newtonian prefactor. In the comparable mass case, the new 2PN waveform shows only a marginal improvement over the previous Newtonian factorization, though yielding maximal unfaithfulness $\simeq 10^{-3}$ with the 28 publicly available numerical relativity simulations with eccentricity up to $\sim 0.3$ (except for a single outlier that grazes $10^{-2}$). We finally use test-particle data to validate the waveform factorization proposed by Khalil et al.~[Phys.~Rev.~104 (2021) 2, 024046] and conclude that its amplitude can be considered reliable (though less accurate, $\sim 6\%$ fractional difference versus $1.5\%$ of our method) only up to eccentricities $\sim 0.3$.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2022

Numerical-relativity validation of effective-one-body waveforms in the intermediate-mass-ratio regime

One of the open problems in developing binary black hole (BBH) waveforms for gravitational wave astronomy is to model the intermediate mass ratio regime and connect it to the extreme mass ratio regime. A natural approach is to employ the effective one body (EOB) approach to the two-body dynamics that, by design, can cover the entire mass ratio range and naturally incorporates the extreme mass ratio limit. Here we use recently obtained numerical relativity (NR) data with mass ratios $m_1/m_2=(7,15,\,32,\,64,\,128)$ to test the accuracy of the state-of-the-art EOB model TEOBResumS in the intermediate mass ratio regime. We generally find an excellent EOB/NR consistency around merger and ringdown for all mass ratios and for all available subdominant multipoles, except for the $\ell=m=5$ one. This mode can be crucially improved using the new large-mass ratio NR data of this paper. The EOB/NR inspirals are also consistent with the estimated NR uncertainties. We also use several NR datasets taken by different public catalogs to probe the universal behavior of the multipolar hierarchy of waveform amplitudes at merger, that smoothly connects the equal-mass BBH to the test-mass result. Interestingly, the universal behavior is strengthened if the nonoscillatory memory contribution is included in the NR waveform. Future NR simulations with improved accuracy will be necessary to further probe, and possibly quantitatively refine, the TEOBResumS transition from late inspiral to plunge in the intermediate mass ratio regime.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2021

Waveforms and fluxes: Towards a self-consistent effective one body waveform model for nonprecessing, coalescing black-hole binaries for third generation detectors

We present a comprehensive comparison between numerical relativity (NR) angular momentum fluxes at infinity and the corresponding quantity entering the radiation reaction in TEOBResumS, an Effective-One-Body (EOB) waveform model for nonprecessing coalescing black hole binaries on quasi-circular orbits. This comparison prompted us to implement two changes in the model: (i) including Next-to-Quasi-Circular corrections in the $\ell=m$, $\ell\leq 5$ multipoles entering the radiation reaction and (ii) consequently updating the NR-informed spin-orbital sector of the model. This yields a new waveform model that presents a higher self-consistency between waveform and dynamics and an improved agreement with NR simulations. We test the model computing the EOB/NR unfaithfulness $\bar{F}_{\rm EOB/NR}$ over all 534 spin-aligned configurations available through the Simulating eXtreme Spacetime catalog, notably using the noise spectral density of Advanced LIGO, Einstein Telescope and Cosmic Explorer, for total mass up to $500M_\odot$. We find that the maximum unfaithfulness $\bar{F}^{\rm max}_{\rm EOB/NR}$ is mostly between $10^{-4}$ and $10^{-3}$, and the performance progressively worsens up to $\sim 5\times 10^{-3}$ as the effective spin of the system is increased. We perform similar analyses on the \SEOB{} model, that delivers $\bar{F}^{\rm max}_{\rm EOB/NR}$ values uniformly distributed versus effective spin and mostly between $10^{-3}$ and $10^{-2}$. We conclude that the improved TEOBResumS model already represents a reliable and robust first step towards the development of highly accurate waveform templates for third generation detectors.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2021

The next generation: Impact of high-order analytical information on effective one body waveform models for noncircularized, spin-aligned black hole binaries

We explore the performance of an updated effective-one-body (EOB) model for spin-aligned coalescing black hole binaries designed to deal with any orbital configuration. The model stems from previous work involving the \TEOBResumS{} waveform model, but incorporates recently computed analytical information up to fifth post-Newtonian (PN) order in the EOB potentials. The dynamics is then informed by Numerical Relativity (NR) quasi-circular simulations (incorporating also recently computed 4PN spin-spin and, optionally, 4.5PN spin-orbit terms). The so-constructed model(s) are then compared to various kind of NR simulations, covering either quasi-circular inspirals, eccentric inspirals and scattering configurations. For quasi-circular (534 datasets) and eccentric (28 datasets) inspirals up to coalescence, the EOB/NR unfaithfulness is well below $1\%$ except for a few outliers in the high, positive, spin corner of the parameter space, where however it does not exceed the $3\%$ level. The EOB values of the scattering angle are found to agree ($\lesssim 1\%$) with the NR predictions for most configurations, with the largest disagreement of only $\sim 4\%$ for the most relativistic one. The inclusion of some high-order analytical information in the orbital sector is useful to improve the EOB/NR agreement with respect to previous work, although the use of NR-informed functions is still crucial to accurately describe the strong-field dynamics and waveform.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2021

TEOBResumS: assessment of consistent next-to-quasicircular corrections and post-adiabatic approximation in multipolar binary black holes waveforms

The use of effective-one-body (EOB) waveforms for black hole binaries analysis in gravitational-wave astronomy requires faithful models and fast generation times. A key aspect to achieve faithfulness is the inclusion of numerical-relativity (NR) informed next-to-quasicircular corrections(NQC), dependent on the radial momentum, to the waveform and radiation reaction. A robust method to speed up the waveform generation is the post-adiabatic iteration to approximate the solution of the EOB Hamiltonian equations. In this work, we assess the performances of a fast NQC prescription in combination to the post-adiabatic method for generating multipolar gravitational waves. The outlined approach allows a consistent treatment of NQC in both the waveform and the radiation-reaction, does not require iterative procedures to achieve high faithfulness, and can be efficiently employed for parameter estimation. Comparing to 611 NR simulations, for total mass $10M_\odot\leq M \leq 200M_\odot$ and using the Advanded LIGO noise, the model has EOB/NR unfaithfulness well below $0.01$, with 78.5\% of the cases below $0.001$. We apply the model to the parameter estimation of GW150914 exploring the impact of the new NQC and of the higher modes up to $\ell=m=8$.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2021

Effective one body multipolar waveform model for spin-aligned, quasi-circular, eccentric, hyperbolic black hole binaries

Building upon recent work, we present an improved effective-one-body (EOB) model for spin-aligned, coalescing, black hole binaries with generic orbital configurations, i.e. quasi-circular, eccentric or hyperbolic orbits. The model relies on the idea of incorporating general Newtonian prefactors, instead of the usual quasi-circular ones, in both radiation reaction and waveform. The major advance with respect to previous work is that the quasi-circular limit of the model is now correctly informed by numerical relativity (NR) quasi-circular simulation. This provides EOB/NR unfaithfulness for the dominant quadrupolar waveform, calculated with Advanced LIGO noise, at most of the order of $1\%$ over a meaningful portion of the quasi-circular NR simulations calculated by the Simulating eXtreme Spacetime (SXS) collaboration. In the presence of eccentricity, the model is similarly NR-faithful, $\lesssim 1\%$, all over the 28 public SXS NR datasets, with initial eccentricity up to $\simeq 0.2$ , mass ratio up to $q=3$ and dimensionless spin magnitudes as large as $+0.7$. Higher multipoles, up to $\ell=5$ are also reliably modeled through the eccentric inspiral, plunge merger and ringdown. For hyperbolic-like configurations, we also show that the EOB computed scattering angle is in excellent agreement with all currently available NR results.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2020

Fast, faithful, frequency-domain effective-one-body waveforms for compact binary coalescences

The inference of binary neutron star properties from gravitational-wave observations requires the generation of millions of waveforms, each one spanning about three order of magnitudes in frequency range. Thus, waveform models must be efficiently generated and, at the same time, be faithful from the post-Newtonian quasi-adiabatic inspiral up to the merger regime. A simple solution to this problem is to combine effective-one-body waveforms with the stationary phase approximation to obtain frequency-domain multipolar approximants valid from any low frequency to merger. We demonstrate that effective-one-body frequency-domain waveforms generated in post-adiabatic approximation are computationally competitive with current phenomenological and surrogate models, (virtually) arbitrarily long, and faithful up to merger for any binary parameter. The same method can also be used to efficiently generate intermediate mass binary black hole inspiral waveforms detectable by space-based interferometers.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2020

Machine Learning Gravitational Waves from Binary Black Hole Mergers

We apply machine learning methods to build a time-domain model for gravitational waveforms from binary black hole mergers, called mlgw. The dimensionality of the problem is handled by representing the waveform's amplitude and phase using a principal component analysis. We train mlgw on about $\mathcal{O}(10^3)$ TEOBResumS and SEOBNRv4 effective-one-body waveforms with mass ratios $q\in[1,20]$ and aligned dimensionless spins $s\in[-0.80,0.95]$. The resulting models are faithful to the training sets at the ${\sim}10^{-3}$ level (averaged on the parameter space). The speed up for a single waveform generation is a factor 10 to 50 (depending on the binary mass and initial frequency) for TEOBResumS and approximately an order of magnitude more for SEOBNRv4. Furthermore, mlgw provides a closed form expression for the waveform and its gradient with respect to the orbital parameters; such an information might be useful for future improvements in GW data analysis. As demonstration of the capabilities of mlgw to perform a full parameter estimation, we re-analyze the public data from the first GW transient catalog (GWTC-1). We find broadly consistent results with previous analyses at a fraction of the cost, although the analysis with spin aligned waveforms gives systematic larger values of the effective spins with respect to previous analyses with precessing waveforms. Since the generation time does not depend on the length of the signal, our model is particularly suitable for the analysis of the long signals that are expected to be detected by third-generation detectors. Future applications include the analysis of waveform systematics and model selection in parameter estimation.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2020

A faithful analytical effective one body waveform model for spin-aligned, moderately eccentric, coalescing black hole binaries

We present a new effective-one-body (EOB) model for eccentric binary coalescences. The model stems from the state-of-the-art model TEOBResumS$\_$SM for circularized coalescing black-hole binaries, that is modified to explicitly incorporate eccentricity effects both in the radiation reaction and in the waveform. Using Regge-Wheeler-Zerilli type calculations of the gravitational wave losses as benchmarks, we find that a rather accurate ($\sim 1\%$) expression for the radiation reaction along mildly eccentric orbits ($e \sim 0.3$) is given by dressing the current, EOB-resummed, circularized angular momentum flux, with a leading-order (Newtonian-like) prefactor valid along general orbits. An analogous approach is implemented for the waveform multipoles. The model is then completed by the usual merger-ringdown part informed by circularized numerical relativity (NR) simulations. The model is validated against the 22, publicly available, NR simulations calculated by the Simulating eXtreme Spacetime (SXS) collaboration, with mild eccentricities, mass ratios between 1 and 3 and up to rather large dimensionless spin values ($\pm 0.7$). The maximum maximum EOB/NR unfaithfulness, calculated with Advanced LIGO noise, is at most of order $3\%$. The analytical framework presented here should be seen as a promising starting point for developing highly-faithful waveform templates driven by eccentric dynamics for present, and possibly future, gravitational wave detectors.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2020

Effective-one-body waveforms from dynamical captures in black hole binaries

Dynamical capture is a possible formation channel for BBH mergers leading to highly eccentric merger dynamics and to gravitational wave (GW) signals that are morphologically different from those of quasi-circular mergers. The future detection of these mergers by ground-based or space-based GW interferometers can provide invaluable insights on astrophysical black holes, but it requires precise predictions and dedicated waveform models for the analysis. We present a state-of-the-art effective-one-body (EOB) model for the multipolar merger-ringdown waveform from dynamical capture black-hole mergers with arbitrary mass-ratio and nonprecessing spins. The model relies on analytical descriptions of the radiation reaction and waveform along generic orbits that are obtained by incorporating generic Newtonian prefactors in the expressions used in the quasi-circular case. It provides a tool for generating waveforms for generic binary black hole coalescences and for GW data analysis. We demonstrate that the model reliably accounts for the rich phenomenology of dynamical captures, from direct plunge to successive close encounters up to merger. The parameter space is fully characterized in terms of the initial energy and angular momentum. Our model reproduces to few percent the scattering angle from ten equal-mass, nonspinning, hyperbolic encounter numerical-relativity (NR) simulations. The agreement can be further improved to the by incorporating 6PN-results in one of the EOB potentials and tuning currently unknown analytical parameters. Our results suggest that NR simulations of hyperbolic encounters (and dynamical captures) can be used to inform EOB waveform models for generic BBH mergers/encounters for present and future GW detectors.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2020

Waveform systematics in the gravitational-wave inference of tidal parameters and equation of state from binary neutron star signals

Gravitational-wave signals from binary neutron star coalescences carry information about the star's equation of state in their tidal signatures. A major issue in the inference of the tidal parameters (or directly of the equation of state) is the systematic error introduced by the waveform approximants. We use a bottom-up approach based on gauge-invariant phase analysis and the Fisher information matrix to investigate waveform systematics and help identifying biases in parameter estimation. A mock analysis of 15 different binaries indicates that systematics in current waveform models dominate over statistical errors at signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) ${\gtrsim} 80$. This implies biases in the inference of the reduced tidal parameter that are are larger than the statistical $90\%$ credible-intervals. For example, while the neutron-star radius could be constrained at ${\sim} 5\%$ level at SNR 80, systematics can be at the ${\sim} 10\%$ level. We apply our approach to GW170817 (SNR ${\sim}30$) and confirm that no significant systematic effects are present. Using an optimal frequency range for the analysis, we estimate a neutron-star radius of $12.5^{+1.1}_{-1.8}\,$km. The latter is consistent with an electromagnetic-informed prior and the recent NICER measurement. Exploring SNR ${\gtrsim}100$ in view of third-generation detectors, we find that all the current waveform models lead to differences of at least 1-sigma in the inference of the reduced tidal parameter (for any value of the latter). We conclude that current waveform models, including those from numerical relativity, are insufficient to infer the equation of state in the loudest (and potentially most informative) events that will be observed by advanced and third generation detectors.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2020

A multipolar effective one body waveform model for spin-aligned black hole binaries

We introduce \TEOBiResumSM{}, an improved version of the effective-one-body (EOB) waveform model \TEOBResumS{} for spin-aligned, coalescing black hole binaries, that includes subdominant gravitational waveform modes completed through merger and ringdown. Beyond the dominant $(\ell,|m|)=(2,2)$ one, the more robust multipoles all over the parameter space are: $(2,1)$, $(3,3)$, $(3,2)$, $(4,4)$ and $(5,5)$. The multipolar ringdown EOB waveform stems from suitably fitting many numerical relativity (NR) waveform data from the Simulating eXtreme Spacetimes (SXS) collaboration together with test-mass waveform data. Mode-mixing effects are not incorporated. The orbital (nonspinning) part of the multipolar waveform amplitudes includes test-mass results up to (relative) 6PN order and, for most modes,is Padé resummed. The $m$=odd waveform multipoles (up to $\ell=5$) incorporate most of the currently available spin-dependent analytical information. Improving on previous work, we confirm that certain $m=\text{odd}$ modes, e.g. the $(2,1)$, and even the $(3,1)$, may develop a zero (or a minimum) in the amplitude for nearly equal-mass binaries and for several combinations of the individual spins. A remarkable EOB/NR agreement around such zero is found for these modes. The new waveform, and radiation reaction, prompts a new NR-calibration of the spinning sector of the model, done with only $32$ datasets.The maximum $(2,2)$ EOB/NR unfaithfulness $\bar{F}$ with Advanced LIGO noise against the SXS catalog ($\sim 595$ datasets) is always below $0.5\%$ for binaries with total mass $M$ as $10M_\odot\leq M \leq 200M_\odot$, except for a single outlier with $\max{(\bar{F})}\sim 0.85\%$. When $(2,1)$, $(3,3)$ and $(4,4)$ modes are included, one finds an excellent EOB/NR agreement up to $M\sim 120M_\odot$, above which the performance degrades slightly and moves above $3\%$

gr-qc↗

arXiv2020

Gauge-invariant Non-spherical Metric Perturbations of Schwarzschild Black-Hole Spacetimes

The theory of gauge-invariant non-spherical metric perturbations of Schwarzschild black hole spacetimes is now well established. Yet, as different notations and conventions have been used throughout the years, the literature on the subject is often confusing and sometimes confused. The purpose of this paper is to review and collect the relevant expressions related to the Regge-Wheeler and Zerilli equations for the odd and even-parity perturbations of a Schwarzschild spacetime. Special attention is paid to the form they assume in the presence of matter-sources and, for the two most popular conventions in the literature, to the asymptotic expressions and gravitational-wave amplitudes. Besides pointing out some inconsistencies in the literature, the expressions collected here could serve as a quick reference for the calculation of the perturbations of Schwarzschild black hole spacetimes driven by generic sources and for those approaches in which gravitational waves are extracted from numerically generated spacetimes.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2020

kiloHertz gravitational waves from binary neutron star remnants: time-domain model and constraints on extreme matter

The remnant star of a neutron star merger is an anticipated loud source of kiloHertz gravitational waves that conveys unique information on the equation of state of hot matter at extreme densities. Observations of such signals are hampered by the photon shot noise of ground-based interferometers and pose a challenge for gravitational-wave astronomy. We develop an analytical time-domain waveform model for postmerger signals informed by numerical relativity simulations. The model completes effective-one-body waveforms for quasi-circular nonspinning binaries in the kiloHertz regime. We show that a template-based analysis can detect postmerger signals with a minimal signal-to-noise ratios (SNR) of 8, corresponding to GW170817-like events for third-generation interferometers. Using Bayesian model selection and the complete inspiral-merger-postmerger waveform model it is possible to infer whether the merger outcome is a prompt collapse to a black hole or a remnant star. In the latter case, the radius of the maximum mass (most compact) nonrotating neutron star can be determined to kilometer precision. We demonstrate the feasibility of inferring the stiffness of the equation of state at extreme densities using the quasiuniversal relations deduced from numerical-relativity simulations.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2019

Comparing Effective One Body Hamiltonians for spin-aligned coalescing binaries

TEOBResumS and SEOBNRv4 are the two existing semi-analytical gravitational waveform models for spin-aligned coalescing black hole binaries based on the effective-one-body approach.They are informed by numerical relativity simulations and provide the relative dynamics and waveforms from early inspiral to plunge, merger and ringdown The central building block of each model is the EOB resummed Hamiltonian.The two models implement different Hamiltonians that are both deformations of the Hamiltonian of a test spinning black hole moving around a Kerr black hole.Here we analytically compare, element by element, the two Hamiltonians. In particular: we illustrate that one can introduce a centrifugal radius SEOBNRv4, so to rewrite the Hamiltonian in a more compact form that is analogous to the one of TEOBResumS.The latter centrifugal radius cannot, however, be identified with the one used in TEOBResumS because the two models differ in their ways of incorporating spin effects in their respective deformations of the background Kerr Hamiltonian. We performed extensive comparisons between the energetics corresponding to the two Hamiltonians using gauge-invariant quantities. Finally, as an exploratory investigation, we apply the post-adiabatic approximation to the newly rewritten SEOBNRv4 Hamiltonian, illustrating that it is possible to generate long-inspiral waveforms with negligible computational cost.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2019

Rush the inspiral: efficient Effective One Body time-domain gravitational waveforms

Computationally efficient waveforms are of central importance for gravitational wave data analysis of inspiralling and coalescing compact binaries. We show that the post-adiabatic (PA) approximation to the effective-one-body (EOB) description of the binary dynamics, when pushed to high-order, allows one to accurately and efficiently compute the waveform of coalescing binary neutron stars (BNSs) or black holes (BBHs) up to a few orbits before merger. This is accomplished bypassing the usual need of numerically solving the relative EOB dynamics described by a set of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). Under the assumption that radiation reaction is small, the Hamilton's equations for the momenta can be solved {\it analytically} for given values of the relative separation. Time and orbital phase are then recovered by simple numerical quadratures. For the least-adiabatic BBH case, equal-mass, quasi-extremal spins anti-aligned with the orbital angular momentum, 6PA/8PA orders are able to generate waveforms that accumulate less than $10^{-3}$ rad of phase difference with respect to the complete EOB ones up to $\sim 3$ orbits before merger. Analogous results hold for BNSs. The PA waveform generation is extremely efficient: for a standard BNS system from 10Hz, a nonoptimized Matlab implementation of the TEOBResumS EOB model in the PA approximation is more than 100 times faster ($\sim 0.09$ sec) than the corresponding $C^{++}$ code based on a standard ODE solver. Once optimized further, our approach will allow to: (i) avoid the use of the fast, but often inaccurate, post-Newtonian inspiral waveforms, drastically reducing the impact of systematics due to inspiral waveform modelling; (ii) alleviate the need of constructing EOB waveform surrogates to be used in parameter estimation codes.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2019

A Multipolar Effective One Body Model for Non-Spinning Black Hole Binaries

We introduce \TEOBiResumSM{}, a nonspinning inspiral-merger-ringdown waveform model built within the effective one body (EOB) framework that includes gravitational waveform modes beyond the dominant quadrupole $(\ell,|m|) = (2,2)$. The model incorporates: (i) an improved Padé resummation of the factorized waveform amplitudes $ρ_{\ell m}^{\rm orb}$ entering the EOB-resummed waveform where the 3PN, mass-ratio dependent, terms are hybridized with test-mass limit terms up to 6PN relative order for most of the multipoles up to $\ell=6$ included; (ii) an improved determination of the effective 5PN function $a_6^c(ν)$ entering the EOB interaction potential done using the most recent, error-controlled, nonspinning numerical relativity (NR) waveforms from the Simulating eXtreme Spacetimes (SXS) collaboration; and (iii) a NR-informed phenomenological description of the multipolar ringdown. Such representation stems from 19 NR waveforms with mass ratios up to $m_1/m_2=18$ as well as test-mass waveform data, although it does not incorporate mode-mixing effects. The NR-completed higher modes through merger and ringdown considered here are: $(\ell,|m|) = \lbrace (2,1), (3,3), (3,2),(3,1),(4,4), (4,3),(4,2), (4,1),(5,5)\rbrace$. For simplicity, the other subdominant modes, up to $\ell=8$, are approximated by the corresponding, purely analytical, factorized and resummed EOB waveform. To attempt an estimate of (some of) the underlying analytic uncertainties of the model, we also contrast the effect of the 6PN-hybrid Padé-resummed $ρ_{\ell m}$'s with the standard $3^{+2}$PN, Taylor-expanded, ones used in previous EOB works. The maximum unfaithfulness $\bar{F}$ against the SXS waveforms including all NR-completed modes up to $\ell=m=5$ is always $\lesssim 2\%$ for binaries with total mass $M$ as $50 M_{\odot} \leq M \lesssim 200 M_{\odot}$.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2019

Asymptotic gravitational wave fluxes from a spinning particle in circular equatorial orbits around a rotating black hole

We present a new computation of the asymptotic gravitational wave energy fluxes emitted by a {\it spinning} particle in circular equatorial orbits about a Kerr black hole. The particle dynamics is computed in the pole-dipole approximation, solving the Mathisson-Papapetrou equations with the Tulczyjew spin-supplementary-condition. The fluxes are computed, for the first time, by solving the 2+1 Teukolsky equation in the time-domain using hyperboloidal and horizon-penetrating coordinates. Denoting by $M$ the black hole mass and by $μ$ the particle mass, we cover dimensionless background spins $a/M=(0,\pm0.9)$ and dimensionless particle spins $-0.9\leq S/μ^2 \leq +0.9$. Our results span orbits of Boyer-Lindquist coordinate radii $4\leq r/M \leq 30$; notably, we investigate the strong-field regime, in some cases even beyond the last-stable-orbit. We confirm, numerically, the Tanaka {\it et al.} [Phys.\ Rev.\ D 54, 3762] 2.5th order accurate Post-Newtonian (PN) predictions for the gravitational wave fluxes of a spinning particle in circular equatorial orbit: we find an unambiguos trend of the PN-prediction towards the numerical results when $r$ is large. At $r/M=30$ the fractional agreement between the full numerical flux, approximated as the sum over the modes $m=1,2,3$, and the PN prediction is $\lesssim0.5\%$ in all cases tested. This is close to our fractional numerical accuracy ($\sim 0.2\%$). For smaller radii, the agreement between the 2.5PN prediction and the numerical result progressively deteriorates. Our numerical data will be essential to develop suitably resummed expressions of the 2.5PN analytical fluxes in order to improve their accuracy in the strong-field regime.

gr-qc↗