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Alexander H. Nitz

Publications and source records attributed to Alexander H. Nitz.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

A Horizon Study for Cosmic Explorer: Science, Observatories, and Community

This Horizon Study describes a next-generation ground-based gravitational-wave observatory: Cosmic Explorer. With ten times the sensitivity of Advanced LIGO, Cosmic Explorer will push gravitational-wave astronomy towards the edge of the observable universe ($z \sim 100$). The goals of this Horizon Study are to describe and evaluate design concepts for Cosmic Explorer; to plan for the United States' leadership in gravitational-wave astronomy; and to envisage the role of Cosmic Explorer in the international effort to build a "Third-Generation" (3G) observatory network that will make discoveries transformative across astronomy, physics, and cosmology.

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Eccentric Binary Neutron Star Search Prospects for Cosmic Explorer

We determine the ability of Cosmic Explorer, a proposed third-generation gravitational-wave observatory, to detect eccentric binary neutron stars and to measure their eccentricity. We find that for a matched-filter search, template banks constructed using binaries in quasi-circular orbits are effectual for eccentric neutron star binaries with $e_{7} \leq 0.004$ ($e_{7} \leq 0.003$) for CE1 (CE2), where $e_7$ is the binary's eccentricity at a gravitational-wave frequency of 7~Hz. We show that stochastic template placement can be used to construct a matched-filter search for binaries with larger eccentricities and construct an effectual template bank for binaries with $e_{7} \leq 0.05$. We show that the computational cost of both the search for binaries in quasi-circular orbits and eccentric orbits is not significantly larger for Cosmic Explorer than for Advanced LIGO and is accessible with present-day computational resources. We investigate Cosmic Explorer's ability to distinguish between circular and eccentric binaries. We estimate that for a binary with a signal-to-noise ratio of 8 (800), Cosmic Explorer can distinguish between a circular binary and a binary with eccentricity $e_7 \gtrsim 10^{-2}$ ($10^{-3}$) at 90% confidence.

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Search for gravitational waves from the coalescence of sub-solar mass binaries in the first half of Advanced LIGO and Virgo's third observing run

We present a search for gravitational waves from the coalescence of sub-solar mass black hole binaries using data from the first half of Advanced LIGO and Virgo's third observing run. The observation of a sub-solar mass black hole merger may be an indication of primordial origin; primordial black holes may contribute to the dark matter distribution. We search for black hole mergers where the primary mass is $0.1-7 M_{\odot}$ and the secondary mass is $0.1-1 M_{\odot}$. A variety of models predict the production and coalescence of binaries containing primordial black holes; some involve dynamical assembly which may allow for residual eccentricity to be observed. For component masses $>0.5 M_{\odot}$, we also search for sources in eccentric orbits, measured at a reference gravitational-wave frequency of 10 Hz, up to $e_{10}\sim 0.3$. We find no convincing candidates and place new upper limits on the rate of primordial black hole mergers. The merger rate of 0.5-0.5 (1.0-1.0)~$M_{\odot}$ sources is $<7100~(1200)$ Gpc$^{-3}$yr$^{-1}$. Our limits are $\sim3-4$ times more constraining than prior analyses. Finally, we demonstrate how our limits can be used to constrain arbitrary models of the primordial black hole mass distribution and merger rate.

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3-OGC: Catalog of gravitational waves from compact-binary mergers

We present the third Open Gravitational-wave Catalog (3-OGC) of compact-binary coalescences, based on the analysis of the public LIGO and Virgo data from 2015 through 2019 (O1, O2, O3a). Our updated catalog includes a population of 57 observations, including four binary black hole mergers that had not previously been reported. This consists of 55 binary black hole mergers and the two binary neutron star mergers GW170817 and GW190425. We find no additional significant binary neutron star or neutron star--black hole merger events. The most confident new detection is the binary black hole merger GW190925\_232845 which was observed by the LIGO Hanford and Virgo observatories with $\mathcal{P}_{\textrm{astro}} > 0.99$; its primary and secondary component masses are $20.2^{+3.9}_{-2.5} M_{\odot}$ and $15.6^{+2.1}_{-2.6} M_{\odot}$, respectively. We estimate the parameters of all binary black hole events using an up-to-date waveform model that includes both sub-dominant harmonics and precession effects. To enable deep follow-up as our understanding of the underlying populations evolves, we make available our comprehensive catalog of events, including the sub-threshold population of candidates, and the posterior samples of our source parameter estimates.

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Pre-merger localization of compact-binary mergers with third generation observatories

We present the prospects for the pre-merger detection and localization of binary neutron star mergers with third generation gravitational-wave observatories. We consider a wide variety of gravitational-wave networks which may be operating in the 2030's and beyond; these networks include up to two Cosmic Explorer sites, the Einstein Telescope, and continued observation with the existing second generation ground-based detectors. For a fiducial local merger rate of 300 Gpc$^{-3}$yr$^{-1}$, we find that the Einstein Telescope on its own is able to detect 6 and 2 sources per year at 5 and 30 minutes before merger, respectively, while providing a localization of $<10~\textrm{deg}^2$. A single Cosmic Explorer would detect but be unable to localize sources on its own. A two-detector Cosmic Explorer network, however, would detect 22 and 0.4 mergers per year using the same criteria. A full three-detector network with the operation of dual Cosmic Explorers and the Einstein Telescope would allow for $<1~\textrm{deg}^2$ source localization at 5 minutes before merger for $\sim7$ sources per year. Given the dramatic increase in localization and detection capabilities, third generation observatories will enable the regular observation of the prompt emission of mergers by a broad array of observatories including gamma-ray, x-ray, and optical telescopes. Moreover, sub-degree localizations minutes before merger, combined with narrow-field-of-view high-energy telescopes, could strongly constrain the high-energy pre-merger emission models proposed in the last decade.

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Prospects for detecting gravitational waves from eccentric subsolar mass compact binaries

Due to their small mass, subsolar mass black hole binaries would have to be primordial in origin instead of the result of stellar evolution. Soon after formation in the early universe, primordial black holes can form binaries after decoupling from the cosmic expansion. Alternatively, primordial black holes as dark matter could also form binaries in the late universe due to dynamical encounters and gravitational-wave braking. A significant feature for this channel is the possibility that some sources retain nonzero eccentricity in the LIGO/Virgo band. Assuming all dark matter is primordial black holes with a delta function mass distribution, $1M_\odot-1M_\odot$ binaries formed in this late-universe channel can be detected by Advanced LIGO and Virgo with their design sensitivities at a rate of $\mathcal{O}(1)$/year, where $12\%(3\%)$ of events have eccentricity at a gravitational-wave frequency of 10 Hz, $e^\mathrm{10Hz}\geq0.01(0.1)$, and nondetection can constrain the binary formation rate within this model. Third generation detectors would be expected to detect subsolar mass eccentric binaries as light as $0.01 M_\odot$ within this channel, if they accounted for the majority of the dark matter. Furthermore, we use simulated gravitational-wave data to study the ability to search for eccentric gravitational-wave signals using a quasi-circular waveform template bank with Advanced LIGO design sensitivity. For a match-filtering targeted search, assuming binaries with a delta function mass of $0.1(1)M_\odot$ and the eccentricity distribution derived from this late-universe formation channel, $41\%(6\%)$ of the signals would be missed compared to the ideal detection rate due to the mismatch in the gravitational-wave signal from eccentricity.

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Search for gravitational waves from the coalescence of sub-solar mass and eccentric compact binaries

We present the first search for gravitational waves from sub-solar mass compact-binary mergers which allows for non-negligible orbital eccentricity. Sub-solar mass black holes are a signature of primordial origin black holes, which may be a component of dark matter. To produce binary coalescences, primordial black holes may form close binaries either in the early universe or more recently through dynamical interactions. A signature of dynamical formation would be the observation of non-circularized orbits. We search for black hole mergers where the primary mass is $0.1-7 M_{\odot}$ and the secondary mass is $0.1-1 M_{\odot}$. We allow for eccentricity up to $\sim0.3$ at a dominant-mode gravitational-wave frequency of 10 Hz for binaries with at least one component with mass $>0.5 M_{\odot}$. We find no convincing candidates in the public LIGO data. The two most promising candidates have a false alarm rate of 1 per 3 and 4 years, respectively, which combined is only a $\sim 2.4σ$ deviation from the expected Poisson rate. Given the marginal statistical significance, we place upper limits on the rate of sub-solar mass mergers under the assumption of a null observation and compare how these limits may inform the possible dark matter contribution.

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Binary black hole spectroscopy: a no-hair test of GW190814 and GW190412

Gravitational waves provide a window to probe general relativity (GR) under extreme conditions. The recent observations of GW190412 and GW190814 are unique high-mass-ratio mergers that enable the observation of gravitational-wave harmonics beyond the dominant $(\ell, m) = (2, 2)$ mode. Using these events, we search for physics beyond GR by allowing the source parameters measured from the sub-dominant harmonics to deviate from that of the dominant mode. All results are consistent with GR. We constrain the chirp mass as measured by the $(\ell, m) = (3, 3)$ mode to be within $0_{-3}^{+5}\%$ of the dominant mode when we allow both the masses and spins of the sub-dominant modes to deviate. If we allow only the mass parameters to deviate, we constrain the chirp mass of the $(3, 3)$ mode to be within $\pm1\%$ of the expected value from GR.

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GW190521 may be an intermediate mass ratio inspiral

GW190521 is the first confident observation of a binary black hole merger with total mass $M > 100\,\mathrm{M}_{\odot}$. Given the lack of observational constraints at these masses, we analyze GW190521 considering two different priors for the binary's masses: uniform in mass ratio and source-frame total mass, and uniform in source-frame component masses. For the uniform in mass-ratio prior, we find that the component masses are $m_1^{\mathrm{src}} = 168_{-61}^{+15}\,\mathrm{M}_{\odot}$ and $m_2^{\mathrm{src}} = 16_{-3}^{+33}\,\mathrm{M}_{\odot}$. The uniform in component-mass prior yields a bimodal posterior distribution. There is a low-mass-ratio mode ($q<4$) with $m_1^{\mathrm{src}} = 100_{-18}^{+17}\,\mathrm{M}_{\odot}$ and $m_2^{\mathrm{src}} = 57_{-16}^{+17}\,\mathrm{M}_{\odot}$ and a high-mass-ratio mode ($q\geq4$) with $m_1^{\mathrm{src}} = 166_{-35}^{+16}\,\mathrm{M}_{\odot}$ and $m_2^{\mathrm{src}} = 16_{-3}^{+14}\,\mathrm{M}_{\odot}$. Although the two modes have nearly equal posterior probability, the maximum-likelihood parameters are in the high-mass ratio mode, with $m_1^{\rm src} = 171\,M_{\odot}$ and $m_2^{\rm src} = 16\,M_{\odot}$, and a signal-to-noise ratio of $16$. These results are consistent with the proposed "mass gap" produced by pair-instability in supernova. Our results differ from those published in Abbott et al. (2020b). We find that a combination of the prior used and the constraints applied may have prevented that analysis from sampling the high-mass-ratio mode. An accretion flare in AGN J124942.3+344929 was observed in possible coincidence with GW190521 by the Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF). We report parameters assuming a common origin; however, the spatial agreement of GW190521 and the EM flare alone does not provide convincing evidence for the association ($\ln\mathcal{B} \gtrsim -4$).

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Gravitational-wave Merger Forecasting: Scenarios for the early detection and localization of compact-binary mergers with ground based observatories

We present the prospects for the early (pre-merger) detection and localization of compact-binary coalescences using gravitational waves over the next 10 years. Early warning can enable the direct observation of the prompt and early electromagnetic emission of a neutron star merger. We examine the capabilities of the ground based detectors at their "Design" sensitivity (2021-2022), the planned "A+" upgrade (2024-2026), and the envisioned "Voyager" concept (late 2020's). We find that for a fiducial rate of binary neutron star mergers of $1000 ~\mathrm{Gpc}^{-3} \mathrm{yr}^{-1}$, the Design, A+, and Voyager era networks can provide 18, 54, and 195s of warning for one source per year of observing, respectively, with a sky localization area $<$100 deg$^2$ at a $90\%$ credible level. At the same rate, the A+ and Voyager era networks will be able to provide 9 and 43s of warning, respectively, for a source with $<$10 deg$^2$ localization area. We compare the idealized search sensitivity to that achieved by the PyCBC Live search tuned for pre-merger detection. The gravitational-wave community will be prepared to produce pre-merger alerts. Our results motivate the operation of observatories with wide fields-of-view, automation, and the capability for fast slewing to observe simultaneously with the gravitational-wave network.

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Detection of gravitational-wave signals from binary neutron star mergers using machine learning

As two neutron stars merge, they emit gravitational waves that can potentially be detected by earth bound detectors. Matched-filtering based algorithms have traditionally been used to extract quiet signals embedded in noise. We introduce a novel neural-network based machine learning algorithm that uses time series strain data from gravitational-wave detectors to detect signals from non-spinning binary neutron star mergers. For the Advanced LIGO design sensitivity, our network has an average sensitive distance of 130 Mpc at a false-alarm rate of 10 per month. Compared to other state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms, we find an improvement by a factor of 6 in sensitivity to signals with signal-to-noise ratio below 25. However, this approach is not yet competitive with traditional matched-filtering based methods. A conservative estimate indicates that our algorithm introduces on average 10.2 s of latency between signal arrival and generating an alert. We give an exact description of our testing procedure, which can not only be applied to machine learning based algorithms but all other search algorithms as well. We thereby improve the ability to compare machine learning and classical searches.

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A Search for Gravitational Waves from Binary Mergers with a Single Observatory

We present a search for merging compact binary gravitational-wave sources that produce a signal appearing solely or primarily in a single detector. Past analyses have heavily relied on coincidence between multiple detectors to reduce non-astrophysical background. However, for $\sim40\%$ of the total time of the 2015-2017 LIGO-Virgo observing runs only a single detector was operating. We discuss the difficulties in assigning significance and calculating the probability of astrophysical origin for candidates observed primarily by a single detector, and suggest a straightforward resolution using a noise model designed to provide a conservative assessment given the observed data. We also describe a procedure to assess candidates observed in a single detector when multiple detectors are observing. We apply these methods to search for binary black hole (BBH) and binary neutron star (BNS) mergers in the open LIGO data spanning 2015-2017. The most promising candidate from our search is 170817+03:02:46UTC (probability of astrophysical origin $p_{\rm astro} \sim 0.4$): if astrophysical, this is consistent with a BBH merger with primary mass $67_{-15}^{+21}\,M_{\odot}$, suggestive of a hierarchical merger origin. We also apply our method to the analysis of GW190425 and find $p_{\rm astro} \sim 0.5$, though this value is highly dependent on assumptions about the noise and signal models.

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Measuring the eccentricity of GW170817 and GW190425

Two binary neutron star mergers, GW170817 and GW190425, have been detected by Advanced LIGO and Virgo. These signals were detected by matched-filter searches that assume the star's orbit has circularized by the time their gravitational-wave emission is observable. This suggests that their eccentricity is low, but full parameter estimation of their eccentricity has not yet been performed. We use gravitational-wave observations to measure the eccentricity of GW170817 and GW190425. We find that the eccentricity at a gravitational-wave frequency of 10 Hz is $e \leq 0.024$ and $e \leq 0.048$ for GW170817 and GW190425, respectively (90% confidence). This is consistent with the binaries being formed in the field, as such systems are expected to have circularized to $e \leq 10^{-4}$ by the time they reach the LIGO-Virgo band. Our constraint is a factor of two smaller that an estimate based on GW170817 being detected by searches that neglect eccentricity. However, we caution that we find significant prior dependence in our limits, suggesting that there is limited information in the signals. We note that other techniques used to constrain binary neutron star eccentricity without full parameter estimation may miss degeneracies in the waveform, and that for future signals it will be important to perform full parameter estimation with accurate waveform templates.

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Extending the PyCBC search for gravitational waves from compact binary mergers to a global network

The worldwide advanced gravitational-wave (GW) detector network has so far primarily consisted of the two Advanced LIGO observatories at Hanford and Livingston, with Advanced Virgo joining the 2016-7 O2 observation run at a relatively late stage. However Virgo has been observing alongside the LIGO detectors since the start of the O3 run; in the near future, the KAGRA detector will join the global network and a further LIGO detector in India is under construction. Gravitational-wave search methods would therefore benefit from the ability to analyse data from an arbitrary network of detectors. In this paper, we extend the PyCBC offline compact binary coalescence (CBC) search analysis to three or more detectors, and describe resulting updates to the coincident search and event ranking statistic. For a three-detector network, our improved multi-detector search finds 23% more simulated signals at fixed false alarm rate in idealized colored Gaussian noise, and up to 40% more in real data, compared to the two-detector analysis previously used during O2.

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2-OGC: Open Gravitational-wave Catalog of binary mergers from analysis of public Advanced LIGO and Virgo data

We present the second Open Gravitational-wave Catalog (2-OGC) of compact-binary coalescences, obtained from the complete set of public data from Advanced LIGO's first and second observing runs. For the first time we also search public data from the Virgo observatory. The sensitivity of our search benefits from updated methods of ranking candidate events including the effects of non-stationary detector noise and varying network sensitivity; in a separate targeted binary black hole merger search we also impose a prior distribution of binary component masses. We identify a population of 14 binary black hole merger events with probability of astrophysical origin $> 0.5$ as well as the binary neutron star merger GW170817. We confirm the previously reported events GW170121, GW170304, and GW170727 and also report GW151205, a new marginal binary black hole merger with a primary mass of $67^{+28}_{-17}\,\mathrm{M}_{\odot}$ that may have formed through hierarchical merger. We find no additional significant binary neutron star merger or neutron star--black hole merger events. To enable deeper follow-up as our understanding of the underlying populations evolves, we make available our comprehensive catalog of events, including the sub-threshold population of candidates and posterior samples from parameter inference of the 30 most significant binary black hole candidates.

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Search for Eccentric Binary Neutron Star Mergers in the first and second observing runs of Advanced LIGO

We present a search for gravitational waves from merging binary neutron stars which have non-negligible eccentricity as they enter the LIGO observing band. We use the public Advanced LIGO data which covers the period from 2015 through 2017 and contains $\sim164$ days of LIGO-Hanford and LIGO-Livingston coincident observing time. The search was conducted using matched-filtering using the PyCBC toolkit. We find no significant binary neutron star candidates beyond GW170817, which has previously been reported by searches for binaries in circular orbits. We place a 90% upper limit of $\sim1700$ mergers $\textrm{Gpc}^{-3} \textrm{Yr}^{-1}$ for eccentricities $\lesssim 0.43$ at a dominant-mode gravitational-wave frequency of 10 Hz. The absence of a detection with these data is consistent with theoretical predictions of eccentric binary neutron star merger rates. Using our measured rate we estimate the sensitive volume of future gravitational-wave detectors and compare this to theoretical rate predictions. We find that, in the absence of a prior detection, the rate limits set by six months of Cosmic Explorer observations would constrain all current plausible models of eccentric binary neutron star formation.

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Potential Gravitational-wave and Gamma-ray Multi-messenger Candidate from Oct. 30, 2015

We present a search for binary neutron star mergers that produced gravitational-waves during the first observing run of Advanced LIGO and gamma-ray emission seen by either \textit{Swift}-BAT or Fermi-GBM, similar to GW170817 and GRB 170817A. We introduce a new method using a combined ranking statistic to detect sources that do not produce significant gravitational-wave or gamma-ray burst candidates individually. The current version of this search can increase by 70% the detections of joint gravitational-wave and gamma-ray signals. We find one possible candidate observed by LIGO and Fermi-GBM, 1-OGC 151030, at a false alarm rate of 1 in 13 years. If astrophysical, this candidate would correspond to a merger at $187^{+99}_{-87}\,$Mpc with source-frame chirp mass of $1.30^{+0.02}_{-0.03}\,\mathrm{M}_{\odot}$. If we assume the viewing angle must be $<30^{\circ}$ to be observed by \textit{Fermi}-GBM, our estimate of the distance would become $224^{+88}_{-78}\,$Mpc. By comparing the rate of binary neutron star mergers to our search-estimated rate of false alarms, we estimate that there is a 1 in 4 chance this candidate is astrophysical in origin.

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Posterior samples of the parameters of binary black holes from Advanced LIGO, Virgo's second observing run

This paper presents a parameter estimation analysis of the seven binary black hole mergers---GW170104, GW170608, GW170729, GW170809, GW170814, GW170818, and GW170823---detected during the second observing run of the Advanced LIGO and Virgo observatories using the gravitational-wave open data. We describe the methodology for parameter estimation of compact binaries using gravitational-wave data, and we present the posterior distributions of the inferred astrophysical parameters. We release our samples of the posterior probability density function with tutorials on using and replicating our results presented in this paper.

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