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Alexander Held

Publications and source records attributed to Alexander Held.

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Unknown Unknowns: Model Misspecification in Machine Learning for Physics

Machine learning is now a central tool for solving inverse problems in particle physics and astronomy. Models are trained on simulation and deployed on real data, raising the question not just of whether they fit, but of whether they are wrong in ways we did not anticipate: the unknown unknowns. This challenge of model misspecification is not unique to machine learning. In physics, misspecification is sometimes exactly what we want to find: new discoveries appear as failures of existing models. At other times, we want such effects absorbed into the analysis without biasing the measurement. A robust analysis is one that absorbs the misspecifications we are not interested in, while preserving sensitivity to the ones we are. Machine learning can both amplify misspecification and provide new tools to address it. We discuss the challenges of model misspecification, diagnostics for detecting it, and strategies for mitigation. No single diagnostic can confirm that a model is correctly specified: detection and mitigation are two halves of an iterative loop, in which a battery of complementary diagnostics is applied, the model is updated, and the process repeated. Robustness against unknown unknowns is ultimately less about any single technique than about a disposition: a willingness to suspect one's own model, and to design analyses that can survive being wrong in ways one did not anticipate.

physics.data-an

The Critical Importance of Software for HEP

Particle physics has an ambitious and broad global experimental programme for the coming decades. Large investments in building new facilities are already underway or under consideration. Scaling the present processing power and data storage needs by the foreseen increase in data rates in the next decade for HL-LHC is not sustainable within the current budgets. As a result, a more efficient usage of computing resources is required in order to realise the physics potential of future experiments. Software and computing are an integral part of experimental design, trigger and data acquisition, simulation, reconstruction, and analysis, as well as related theoretical predictions. A significant investment in computing and software is therefore critical. Advances in software and computing, including artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML), will be key for solving these challenges. Making better use of new processing hardware such as graphical processing units (GPUs) or ARM chips is a growing trend. This forms part of a computing solution that makes efficient use of facilities and contributes to the reduction of the environmental footprint of HEP computing. The HEP community already provided a roadmap for software and computing for the last EPPSU, and this paper updates that, with a focus on the most resource critical parts of our data processing chain.

hep-ex

The 200 Gbps Challenge: Imagining HL-LHC analysis facilities

The IRIS-HEP software institute, as a contributor to the broader HEP Python ecosystem, is developing scalable analysis infrastructure and software tools to address the upcoming HL-LHC computing challenges with new approaches and paradigms, driven by our vision of what HL-LHC analysis will require. The institute uses a "Grand Challenge" format, constructing a series of increasingly large, complex, and realistic exercises to show the vision of HL-LHC analysis. Recently, the focus has been demonstrating the IRIS-HEP analysis infrastructure at scale and evaluating technology readiness for production. As a part of the Analysis Grand Challenge activities, the institute executed a "200 Gbps Challenge", aiming to show sustained data rates into the event processing of multiple analysis pipelines. The challenge integrated teams internal and external to the institute, including operations and facilities, analysis software tools, innovative data delivery and management services, and scalable analysis infrastructure. The challenge showcases the prototypes - including software, services, and facilities - built to process around 200 TB of data in both the CMS NanoAOD and ATLAS PHYSLITE data formats with test pipelines. The teams were able to sustain the 200 Gbps target across multiple pipelines. The pipelines focusing on event rate were able to process at over 30 MHz. These target rates are demanding; the activity revealed considerations for future testing at this scale and changes necessary for physicists to work at this scale in the future. The 200 Gbps Challenge has established a baseline on today's facilities, setting the stage for the next exercise at twice the scale.

hep-ex

PyHEP.dev 2024 Workshop Summary Report, August 26-30 2024, Aachen, Germany

The second PyHEP.dev workshop, part of the "Python in HEP Developers" series organized by the HEP Software Foundation (HSF), took place in Aachen, Germany, from August 26 to 30, 2024. This gathering brought together nearly 30 Python package developers, maintainers, and power users to engage in informal discussions about current trends in Python, with a primary focus on analysis tools and techniques in High Energy Physics (HEP). The workshop agenda encompassed a range of topics, such as defining the scope of HEP data analysis, exploring the Analysis Grand Challenge project, evaluating statistical models and serialization methods, assessing workflow management systems, examining histogramming practices, and investigating distributed processing tools like RDataFrame, Coffea, and Dask. Additionally, the workshop dedicated time to brainstorming the organization of future PyHEP.dev events, upholding the tradition of alternating between Europe and the United States as host locations. This document, prepared by the session conveners in the weeks following the workshop, serves as a summary of the key discussions, salient points, and conclusions that emerged.

hep-ex

Physics analysis for the HL-LHC: concepts and pipelines in practice with the Analysis Grand Challenge

Realistic environments for prototyping, studying and improving analysis workflows are a crucial element on the way towards user-friendly physics analysis at HL-LHC scale. The IRIS-HEP Analysis Grand Challenge (AGC) provides such an environment. It defines a scalable and modular analysis task that captures relevant workflow aspects, ranging from large-scale data processing and handling of systematic uncertainties to statistical inference and analysis preservation. By being based on publicly available Open Data, the AGC provides a point of contact for the broader community. Multiple different implementations of the analysis task that make use of various pipelines and software stacks already exist. This contribution presents an updated AGC analysis task. It features a machine learning component and expanded analysis complexity, including the handling of an extended and more realistic set of systematic uncertainties. These changes both align the AGC further with analysis needs at the HL-LHC and allow for probing an increased set of functionality. Another focus is the showcase of a reference AGC implementation, which is heavily based on the HEP Python ecosystem and uses modern analysis facilities. The integration of various data delivery strategies is described, resulting in multiple analysis pipelines that are compared to each other.

hep-ex

Machine Learning for Columnar High Energy Physics Analysis

Machine learning (ML) has become an integral component of high energy physics data analyses and is likely to continue to grow in prevalence. Physicists are incorporating ML into many aspects of analysis, from using boosted decision trees to classify particle jets to using unsupervised learning to search for physics beyond the Standard Model. Since ML methods have become so widespread in analysis and these analyses need to be scaled up for HL-LHC data, neatly integrating ML training and inference into scalable analysis workflows will improve the user experience of analysis in the HL-LHC era. We present the integration of ML training and inference into the IRIS-HEP Analysis Grand Challenge (AGC) pipeline to provide an example of how this integration can look like in a realistic analysis environment. We also utilize Open Data to ensure the project's reach to the broader community. Different approaches for performing ML inference at analysis facilities are investigated and compared, including performing inference through external servers. Since ML techniques are applied for many different types of tasks in physics analyses, we showcase options for ML integration that can be applied to various inference needs.

hep-ex

First performance measurements with the Analysis Grand Challenge

The IRIS-HEP Analysis Grand Challenge (AGC) is designed to be a realistic environment for investigating how analysis methods scale to the demands of the HL-LHC. The analysis task is based on publicly available Open Data and allows for comparing the usability and performance of different approaches and implementations. It includes all relevant workflow aspects from data delivery to statistical inference. The reference implementation for the AGC analysis task is heavily based on tools from the HEP Python ecosystem. It makes use of novel pieces of cyberinfrastructure and modern analysis facilities in order to address the data processing challenges of the HL-LHC. This contribution compares multiple different analysis implementations and studies their performance. Differences between the implementations include the use of multiple data delivery mechanisms and caching setups for the analysis facilities under investigation.

hep-ex

Second Analysis Ecosystem Workshop Report

The second workshop on the HEP Analysis Ecosystem took place 23-25 May 2022 at IJCLab in Orsay, to look at progress and continuing challenges in scaling up HEP analysis to meet the needs of HL-LHC and DUNE, as well as the very pressing needs of LHC Run 3 analysis. The workshop was themed around six particular topics, which were felt to capture key questions, opportunities and challenges. Each topic arranged a plenary session introduction, often with speakers summarising the state-of-the art and the next steps for analysis. This was then followed by parallel sessions, which were much more discussion focused, and where attendees could grapple with the challenges and propose solutions that could be tried. Where there was significant overlap between topics, a joint discussion between them was arranged. In the weeks following the workshop the session conveners wrote this document, which is a summary of the main discussions, the key points raised and the conclusions and outcomes. The document was circulated amongst the participants for comments before being finalised here.

hep-ex

Machine Learning and LHC Event Generation

First-principle simulations are at the heart of the high-energy physics research program. They link the vast data output of multi-purpose detectors with fundamental theory predictions and interpretation. This review illustrates a wide range of applications of modern machine learning to event generation and simulation-based inference, including conceptional developments driven by the specific requirements of particle physics. New ideas and tools developed at the interface of particle physics and machine learning will improve the speed and precision of forward simulations, handle the complexity of collision data, and enhance inference as an inverse simulation problem.

hep-ph

Publishing statistical models: Getting the most out of particle physics experiments

The statistical models used to derive the results of experimental analyses are of incredible scientific value and are essential information for analysis preservation and reuse. In this paper, we make the scientific case for systematically publishing the full statistical models and discuss the technical developments that make this practical. By means of a variety of physics cases -- including parton distribution functions, Higgs boson measurements, effective field theory interpretations, direct searches for new physics, heavy flavor physics, direct dark matter detection, world averages, and beyond the Standard Model global fits -- we illustrate how detailed information on the statistical modelling can enhance the short- and long-term impact of experimental results.

hep-ph

Advances in Multi-Variate Analysis Methods for New Physics Searches at the Large Hadron Collider

Between the years 2015 and 2019, members of the Horizon 2020-funded Innovative Training Network named "AMVA4NewPhysics" studied the customization and application of advanced multivariate analysis methods and statistical learning tools to high-energy physics problems, as well as developed entirely new ones. Many of those methods were successfully used to improve the sensitivity of data analyses performed by the ATLAS and CMS experiments at the CERN Large Hadron Collider; several others, still in the testing phase, promise to further improve the precision of measurements of fundamental physics parameters and the reach of searches for new phenomena. In this paper, the most relevant new tools, among those studied and developed, are presented along with the evaluation of their performances.

hep-ex