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Alexander Papadopoulos

Publications and source records attributed to Alexander Papadopoulos.

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Expanding the scope of dark siren cosmology: Inferring the population properties of gravitational wave-hosting galaxies

The field of gravitational wave "dark siren" cosmology is facing a number of challenges surrounding the way in which galaxy catalogue data is incorporated into the analysis. The three biggest challenges are adequately compensating for galaxy catalogue incompleteness, robust treatment of galaxy redshift and source properties, and the as-yet unknown host galaxy weighting model. We present an updated methodology for inferring cosmological parameters using dark sirens and incomplete galaxy catalogues. By switching to a sampled redshift prior, rather than one which is pre-computed on a grid, we can jointly infer parameters which describe the population of gravitational-wave hosting galaxies, alongside the gravitational wave population and cosmological model. Using the cosmological inference software gwcosmo, we reproduce a subset of GWTC-5.0 cosmology results, then extend the analysis to jointly infer the host galaxy weighting model - the first measurement of its kind to do so - leading to an updated measurement of the Hubble constant with $H_0 = {71.9}_{-7.5}^{+9.1}$ km s$^{-1}$ Mpc$^{-1}$ (median and 68% symmetric credible interval). This innovative new method opens the door to solving several of the biggest challenges currently facing the field of dark siren cosmology.

astro-ph.CO

Scalable Dark Siren Cosmology with gwcosmo: GPU Acceleration, Validation and Systematics

As the number of confident gravitational-wave detections grows, population-level hierarchical analyses face increasing computational costs. Dark-siren cosmological inference integrates over the localisation volume of each gravitational-wave source. To remain feasible without discarding information from the quieter but more numerous sources in the catalogue, significant efficiency improvements are vital for analysis pipelines. In this work, we present an upgraded version of the cosmological inference pipeline gwcosmo, which leverages vectorisation on graphics processing units to process the entire gravitational-wave catalogue in parallel with each iteration. This new implementation achieves a speed-up of 1000 times over the previous version, facilitating analyses of O5-like numbers of GW events on wall-clock timescales of hours. Our results demonstrate the scalability of the gwcosmo pipeline, specifically its ability to handle the increasing computational load of expanding event catalogues, positioning it as a vital tool for future advances in dark-siren cosmology.

astro-ph.CO

Measurement of the Hubble constant using the Dark Energy Survey Year 6 Gold galaxy catalogue and the fourth Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalogue

Gravitational wave (GW) standard sirens enable independent measurements of the Hubble constant $H_0$. In the absence of electromagnetic counterparts, the 'dark siren' method statistically correlates GW events with potential host galaxies. We present a measurement of $H_0$ using GWTC-4.0 (the fourth Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalogue) combined with the Dark Energy Survey Year 6 Gold photometric galaxy catalogue. Using the gwcosmo pipeline, we jointly infer cosmological and GW population parameters. We analyse the impact of galaxy catalogue properties on the inference, identifying significant features in the galaxy redshift distribution which can introduce biases. By restricting the galaxy catalogue to $0.05<z<0.50$ to maintain consistency with a uniform in comoving volume galaxy distribution, we obtain a result of $H_0 = 71.7^{+22.7}_{-18.3}\;\text{km}\;\text{s}^{-1}\;\text{Mpc}^{-1}$ from dark sirens and $H_0=73.1^{+11.9}_{-8.5}\;\text{km}\;\text{s}^{-1}\;\text{Mpc}^{-1}$ when combined with the bright siren GW170817. This study demonstrates the adaptation of deep galaxy catalogues for GW cosmology, highlighting key challenges and methodologies essential for maximizing the potential of next-generation galaxy surveys.

astro-ph.CO

Heavy Black-Holes Also Matter in Standard Siren Cosmology

With the release of the Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog GWTC-4.0 by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) collaboration, 218 candidate detections of gravitational waves (GWs) from compact binary coalescences (CBCs) have been reported. This milestone represents a major advancement for GW cosmology, as many methods, particularly those employing the spectral siren approach, critically depend on the number of available sources. We investigate the impact of a novel parametric model describing the full population mass spectrum of CBCs on the estimation of the Hubble constant. This model is designed to test the impact of heavy black holes in GW cosmology. We perform a joint inference of cosmological and population parameters using 142 CBCs from GWTC-4.0 with a false alarm rate smaller than 0.25 per year, using both spectral and dark siren approaches. With spectral sirens, we estimate the Hubble constant to be $H_0 = 78.8^{+19.0}_{-15.3}\,{\rm km s^{-1} Mpc^{-1}}$ (68% CL), while the dark siren method yields $H_0 = 82.5^{+16.8}_{-14.3}\,{\rm km s^{-1} Mpc^{-1}}$ (68% CL). These results improve the uncertainty by approximately 30.4% and 36.2%, respectively. We show that this improvement is linked to the presence of a new mass scale in the binary black hole mass spectrum at $63.3^{+4.8}_{-4.8}\,M_{\odot}$, which provides additional constraints on the Hubble constant. Besides providing the tightest standard-siren constraints on $H_0$, this highlights the importance of a heavy-mass feature in the black hole spectrum.

astro-ph.CO