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Alexander R. Watson

Publications and source records attributed to Alexander R. Watson.

9 recordsLinked to original sources
arXiv2024

Stochastic optimal control of L\'evy tax processes with bailouts

We consider controlling the paths of a spectrally negative L\'evy process by two means: the subtraction of `taxes' when the process is at an all-time maximum, and the addition of `bailouts' which keep the value of the process above zero. We solve the corresponding stochastic optimal control problem of maximising the expected present value of the difference between taxes received and cost of bailouts given. Our class of taxation controls is larger than has been considered up till now in the literature and makes the problem truly two-dimensional rather than one-dimensional. Along the way, we define and characterise a large class of controlled L\'evy processes to which the optimal solution belongs, which extends a known result for perturbed Brownian motions to the case of a general L\'evy process with no positive jumps.

math.PR↗
arXiv2023

Markov additive friendships

The Wiener--Hopf factorisation of a Lévy or Markov additive process describes the way that it attains new maxima and minima in terms of a pair of so-called ladder height processes. Vigon's theory of friendship for Lévy processes addresses the inverse problem: when does a process exist which has certain prescribed ladder height processes? We give a complete answer to this problem for Markov additive processes, provide simpler sufficient conditions for constructing processes using friendship, and address in part the question of the uniqueness of the Wiener--Hopf factorisation for Markov additive processes.

math.PR↗
arXiv2022

A growth-fragmentation model connected to the ricocheted stable process

Growth-fragmentation processes describe the evolution of systems in which cells grow slowly and fragment suddenly. Despite originating as a way to describe biological phenomena, they have recently been found to describe the lengths of certain curves in statistical physics models. In this note, we describe a new growth-fragmentation process connected to random planar maps with faces of large degree, having as a key ingredient the ricocheted stable process recently discovered by Budd. The process has applications to the excursions of planar Brownian motion and Liouville quantum gravity.

math.PR↗
arXiv2020

Strong laws of large numbers for a growth-fragmentation process with bounded cell sizes

Growth-fragmentation processes model systems of cells that grow continuously over time and then fragment into smaller pieces. Typically, on average, the number of cells in the system exhibits asynchronous exponential growth and, upon compensating for this, the distribution of cell sizes converges to an asymptotic profile. However, the long-term stochastic behaviour of the system is more delicate, and its almost sure asymptotics have been so far largely unexplored. In this article, we study a growth-fragmentation process whose cell sizes are bounded above, and prove the existence of regimes with differing almost sure long-term behaviour.

math.PR↗
arXiv2019

Probability tilting of compensated fragmentations

Fragmentation processes are part of a broad class of models describing the evolution of a system of particles which split apart at random. These models are widely used in biology, materials science and nuclear physics, and their asymptotic behaviour at large times is interesting both mathematically and practically. The spine decomposition is a key tool in its study. In this work, we consider the class of compensated fragmentations, or homogeneous growth-fragmentations, recently defined by Bertoin. We give a complete spine decomposition of these processes in terms of a Lévy process with immigration, and apply our result to study the asymptotic properties of the derivative martingale.

math.PR↗
arXiv2018

Levy Processes with finite variance conditioned to avoid an interval

Conditioning Markov processes to avoid a set is a classical problem that has been studied in many settings. In the present article we study the question if a Levy process can be conditioned to avoid an interval and, if so, the path behavior of the conditioned process. For Levy processes with finite second moments we show that conditioning is possible and identify the conditioned process as an h-transform of the original killed process. The h-transform is explicit in terms of successive overshoot distributions and is used to prove that the conditioned process diverges to plus infinity and minus infinity with positive probabilities.

math.PR↗
arXiv2015

Probabilistic aspects of critical growth-fragmentation equations

The self-similar growth-fragmentation equation describes the evolution of a medium in which particles grow and divide as time proceeds, with the growth and splitting of each particle depending only upon its size. The critical case of the equation, in which the growth and division rates balance one another, was considered by Doumic and Escobedo in the homogeneous case where the rates do not depend on the particle size. Here, we study the general self-similar case, using a probabilistic approach based on Lévy processes and positive self-similar Markov processes which also permits us to analyse quite general splitting rates. Whereas existence and uniqueness of the solution are rather easy to establish in the homogeneous case, the equation in the non-homogeneous case has some surprising features. In particular, using the fact that certain self-similar Markov processes can enter $(0,\infty)$ continuously from either $0$ or $\infty$, we exhibit unexpected spontaneous generation of mass in the solutions.

math.PR↗
arXiv2014

The hitting time of zero for a stable process

For any two-sided jumping $α$-stable process, where $1 < α< 2$, we find an explicit identity for the law of the first hitting time of the origin. This complements existing work in the symmetric case and the spectrally one-sided case; cf. Yano-Yano-Yor (2009) and Cordero (2010), and Peskir (2008) respectively. We appeal to the Lamperti-Kiu representation of Chaumont-Pantí-Rivero (2011) for real-valued self-similar Markov processes. Our main result follows by considering a vector-valued functional equation for the Mellin transform of the integrated exponential Markov additive process in the Lamperti-Kiu representation. We conclude our presentation with some applications.

math.PR↗