arXiv subjects

Alexandre Schubnel

Publications and source records attributed to Alexandre Schubnel.

8 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Tidal sensitivity of tremors in a mixed fast and slow earthquake system in northeastern Japan

Tidal modulation of tectonic tremors provides a sensitive measure of fault response to small stress perturbations, yet how this response varies in a mixed fast and slow earthquake system remains unclear. Here we present the first systematic investigation of tremor tidal sensitivity in such a system, focusing on tectonic tremors along the northeastern Japan subduction zone. Using a tremor catalog from 2016 to 2024, we show that the southern end of the Kuril Trench, characterized by tremor migration and relatively weak seismicity, exhibits the strongest tidal sensitivity, whereas the northern Japan Trench shows the weakest response. Spatial analysis further reveals that areas with weaker tidal sensitivity tend to coincide with more earthquakes ($M_j \geq 4$) and denser tremor activity. In addition, tidal sensitivity at the southern end of the Kuril Trench increases from the early to later stages in tremor migration, potentially reflecting changes associated with underlying slow slip processes. Together, these spatial and temporal patterns suggest that tremor tidal sensitivity may be influenced by the relative contribution of other ongoing perturbations. These results highlight tidal sensitivity as a useful probe of the underlying perturbation environment and provide insight into the possible influence of slow slip processes, earthquakes, and other stress changes on tremor-generating regions.

physics.geo-ph↗

arXiv2026

Theoretical constraints on tidal triggering of slow earthquakes

Tidal stress is a globally acting perturbation driven primarily by the gravitational forces of the Moon and the Sun. Understanding how tidal stresses can trigger seismic events is essential for constraining tectonic environments that are sensitive to small stress perturbations. Here, employing a spring-block model with rate-and-state friction, we investigate tidal triggering on velocity-weakening stable sliding faults with stiffness slightly exceeding the critical stiffness. We first apply a step and a boxcar with finite duration normal stress perturbation to demonstrate a resonance-like amplification of slip velocity for specific boxcar durations. Next, we perform nondimensional analyses and numerical simulations with harmonic perturbations to identify the key parameters controlling tidal triggering and their admissible ranges. Triggered slip events are further characterized using physically observable quantities, including radiation efficiency and tidal phase. Our results show that even small stress perturbations can trigger periodic as well as temporally complex slip events on stable sliding faults. The triggering behavior is primarily controlled by the normalized perturbation period and the normalized perturbation amplitude. An increase in the normalized period shifts event timing from the peak of tidal stress toward the peak of stress rate, whereas increasing the normalized amplitude promotes a transition from slow to fast events. This framework helps explain the period-dependent sensitivity and the observed phase preference between tidal stress and maximum slip velocity. Comparison between observed and model-predicted tidal correlation patterns may therefore help constrain the instantaneous frictional strength of the interface, as well as the characteristic slip distance for frictional weakening.

physics.geo-ph↗

arXiv2024

A brittle constitutive law for long-term tectonic modeling based on sub-critical crack growth

Adequate representations of brittle deformation (fracturing and faulting) are essential ingredients of long term tectonic simulations. Such models commonly rely on Mohr Coulomb plasticity coupled with prescribed softening of cohesion and/or friction with accumulated plastic strain. This approach captures fundamental properties of brittle failure, but is overly sensitive to empirical softening parameters that cannot be determined experimentally. Here we design a brittle constitutive law that captures key processes of brittle deformation, and can be straightforwardly implemented in standard geodynamic models. In our Sub Critically Altered Maxwell (SCAM) flow law, brittle failure begins with the accumulation of distributed brittle damage, which represents the sub critical lengthening of tensile micro cracks prompted by slip on pre existing shear defects. Damage progressively and permanently weakens the rock's elastic moduli, until cracks catastrophically interact and coalesce up to macroscopic failure. The model's micromechanical parameters can be fully calibrated against rock deformation experiments, alleviating the need for ad hoc softening parameters. Upon implementing the SCAM flow law in 2 D plane strain simulations of rock deformation experiments, we find that it can produce Coulomb oriented shear bands which originate as damage bands. SCAM models can also be used to extrapolate rock strength from laboratory to tectonic strain rates, and nuance the use of Byerlee's law as an upper bound on lithosphere stresses. We further show that SCAM models can be upscaled to simulate tectonic deformation of a 10 km thick brittle plate over millions of years. These features make the SCAM rheology a promising tool to further investigate the complexity of brittle behavior across scales.

physics.geo-ph↗

arXiv2023

Earthquake magnitude distribution and aftershocks: a statistical geometry explanation

The emergence of a power-law distribution for the energy released during an earthquake is investigated in several models. Generic features are identified which are based on the self-affine behavior of the stress field prior to an event. This field behaves at large scale as a random trajectory in 1 dimension of space and a random surface in 2 dimensions. Using concepts of statistical mechanics and results on the properties of these random objects, several predictions are obtained and verified, in particular the value of the power-law exponent of the earthquake energy distribution (the Gutenberg-Richter law) as well as a mechanism for the existence of aftershocks after a large earthquake (the Omori law).

physics.geo-ph↗

arXiv2022

Supershear shock front contribution to the tsunami from the 2018 $\mathbf M_{\mathbf w}$ 7.5 Palu, Indonesia earthquake

Hazardous tsunamis are known to be generated predominantly at subduction zones. However, the 2018 Mw 7.5 Sulawesi (Indonesia) earthquake on a strike-slip fault generated a tsunami that devastated the city of Palu. The mechanism by which this tsunami originated from such an earthquake has been debated. Here we present near-field ground motion (GPS) data confirming that the earthquake attained supershear speed, i.e., a rupture speed greater than the shear wave speed of the host medium. We study the effect of this supershear rupture on tsunami generation by coupling the ground motion to a one-dimensional nonlinear shallow-water wave model accounting for both time-dependent bathymetric displacement and velocity. With the local bathymetric profile of Palu bay around a tidal station, our simulations reproduce the tsunami arrival and motions observed by CCTV cameras. We conclude that Mach (shock) fronts, generated by the supershear speed, interacted with the bathymetry and contributed to the tsunami.

physics.geo-ph↗

arXiv2019

Dynamics, radiation and overall energy budget of earthquake rupture with coseismic off-fault damage

Earthquake ruptures dynamically activate coseismic off-fault damage around fault cores. Systematic field observation efforts have shown the distribution of off-fault damage around main faults, while numerical modeling using elastic-plastic off-fault material models has demonstrated the evolution of coseismic off-fault damage during earthquake ruptures. Laboratory scale micro-earthquake experiments have pointed out the enhanced high-frequency radiation due to the coseismic off-fault damage. However, the detailed off-fault fracturing mechanisms, subsequent radiation and its contribution to the overall energy budget remain to be fully understood because of limitations of current observational techniques and model formulations. Here, we constructed a new physics-based dynamic earthquake rupture modeling framework, based on the combined finite-discrete element method (FDEM), to investigate the fundamental mechanisms of coseismic off-fault damage, and its effect on the rupture dynamics, the radiation and the overall energy budget. We conducted a 2-D systematic case study with depth and showed the mechanisms of dynamic activation of the coseismic off-fault damage. We found the decrease in rupture velocity and the enhanced high-frequency radiation in near-field due to the coseismic off-fault damage. We then evaluated the overall energy budget, which shows a significant contribution of the coseismic off-fault damage to the overall energy budget even at depth, where the damage zone width becomes narrower. The present numerical framework for the dynamic earthquake rupture modeling thus provides the insight into the earthquake rupture dynamics with the coseismic off-fault damage.

physics.geo-ph↗

arXiv2019

Precursory moment release scales with earthquake magnitude

Today, observations of earthquake precursors remain widely debated. While precursory slow slip is an important feature of earthquake nucleation, foreshock sequences are not always observed and their temporal evolution remains unconstrained. Here, we report on stick-slip experiments (laboratory earthquakes) conducted under seismogenic stresses in dry and fluid pressure conditions. We show that the precursory moment release scales with mainshock magnitude irrespective of the slip behavior (seismic or aseismic), the presence of fluid and the fault's slip history. Importantly, this observation is supported by earthquake nucleation theory and holds for natural earthquakes in a magnitude range from M_w 6.0 to M_w 9.0. Even though a large gap remains between laboratory and natural observations, moderate to large earthquakes may be foresighted through integrated seismological and geodetic measurements of both seismic and aseismic slip during earthquake nucleation.

physics.geo-ph↗

arXiv2019

From Fault Creep to slow and fast Earthquakes in Carbonates

A major part of the seismicity striking the Mediterranean area and other regions worldwide is hosted in carbonate rocks. Recent examples are the destructive earthquakes of L'Aquila Mw 6.1 2009 and Norcia Mw 6.5 2016 in Central Italy. Surprisingly, within this region, fast (\approx 3km/s) and destructive seismic ruptures coexist with slow (maximum 10 m/s) and non-destructive rupture phenomena. Despite of its relevance for seismic hazard studies, the transitions from fault creep to slow and fast seismic rupture propagation are still poorly constrained by seismological and laboratory observations. Here, we reproduced in the laboratory the complete spectrum of natural faulting on samples of dolostones representative of the seismogenic layer in the region. The transitions from fault creep to slow ruptures and from slow to fast ruptures, are obtained by increasing both confining pressure (P) and temperature (T) up to conditions encountered at 3-5 km depth (i.e., P = 100 MPa and T = 100 $^{o}$C), which corresponds to the hypocentral location of slow earthquake swarms and the onset of regular seismicity in Central Italy. The transition from slow to fast rupture is explained by the increase of the ambient temperature, which enhances the elastic loading stiffness of the fault and consequently the slip velocity during the nucleation stage, allowing flash weakening. The activation of such weakening induces the propagation of fast ruptures radiating intense high frequency seismic waves.

physics.geo-ph↗