arXiv subjects

Alfred O. Hero III

Publications and source records attributed to Alfred O. Hero III.

At least 73 records · Page 4Linked to original sources

arXiv2015

L0 Sparse Inverse Covariance Estimation

Recently, there has been focus on penalized log-likelihood covariance estimation for sparse inverse covariance (precision) matrices. The penalty is responsible for inducing sparsity, and a very common choice is the convex $l_1$ norm. However, the best estimator performance is not always achieved with this penalty. The most natural sparsity promoting "norm" is the non-convex $l_0$ penalty but its lack of convexity has deterred its use in sparse maximum likelihood estimation. In this paper we consider non-convex $l_0$ penalized log-likelihood inverse covariance estimation and present a novel cyclic descent algorithm for its optimization. Convergence to a local minimizer is proved, which is highly non-trivial, and we demonstrate via simulations the reduced bias and superior quality of the $l_0$ penalty as compared to the $l_1$ penalty.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2015

On Decentralized Estimation with Active Queries

We consider the problem of decentralized 20 questions with noise for multiple players/agents under the minimum entropy criterion in the setting of stochastic search over a parameter space, with application to target localization. We propose decentralized extensions of the active query-based stochastic search strategy that combines elements from the 20 questions approach and social learning. We prove convergence to correct consensus on the value of the parameter. This framework provides a flexible and tractable mathematical model for decentralized parameter estimation systems based on active querying. We illustrate the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed decentralized collaborative 20 questions algorithm for random network topologies with information sharing.

cs.MA↗

arXiv2014

Multivariate f-Divergence Estimation With Confidence

The problem of f-divergence estimation is important in the fields of machine learning, information theory, and statistics. While several nonparametric divergence estimators exist, relatively few have known convergence properties. In particular, even for those estimators whose MSE convergence rates are known, the asymptotic distributions are unknown. We establish the asymptotic normality of a recently proposed ensemble estimator of f-divergence between two distributions from a finite number of samples. This estimator has MSE convergence rate of O(1/T), is simple to implement, and performs well in high dimensions. This theory enables us to perform divergence-based inference tasks such as testing equality of pairs of distributions based on empirical samples. We experimentally validate our theoretical results and, as an illustration, use them to empirically bound the best achievable classification error.

cs.IT↗

arXiv2014

Resource-Constrained Adaptive Search for Sparse Multi-Class Targets with Varying Importance

In sparse target inference problems it has been shown that significant gains can be achieved by adaptive sensing using convex criteria. We generalize previous work on adaptive sensing to (a) include multiple classes of targets with different levels of importance and (b) accommodate multiple sensor models. New optimization policies are developed to allocate a limited resource budget to simultaneously locate, classify and estimate a sparse number of targets embedded in a large space. Upper and lower bounds on the performance of the proposed policies are derived by analyzing a baseline policy, which allocates resources uniformly across the scene, and an oracle policy which has a priori knowledge of the target locations/classes. These bounds quantify analytically the potential benefit of adaptive sensing as a function of target frequency and importance. Numerical results indicate that the proposed policies perform close to the oracle bound (<3dB) when signal quality is sufficiently high (e.g.~performance within 3 dB for SNR above 15 dB). Moreover, the proposed policies improve on previous policies in terms of reducing estimation error, reducing misclassification probability, and increasing expected return. To account for sensors with different levels of agility, three sensor models are considered: global adaptive (GA), which can allocate different amounts of resource to each location in the space; global uniform (GU), which can allocate resources uniformly across the scene; and local adaptive (LA), which can allocate fixed units to a subset of locations. Policies that use a mixture of GU and LA sensors are shown to perform similarly to those that use GA sensors while being more easily implementable.

cs.IT↗

arXiv2014

Marginal Likelihoods for Distributed Parameter Estimation of Gaussian Graphical Models

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance matrix, which can be computationally intensive in large dimensions. Approximate inference based on message-passing algorithms, on the other hand, can lead to unstable and biased estimation in loopy graphical models. In this paper, we propose a general framework for distributed estimation based on a maximum marginal likelihood (MML) approach. This approach computes local parameter estimates by maximizing marginal likelihoods defined with respect to data collected from local neighborhoods. Due to the non-convexity of the MML problem, we introduce and solve a convex relaxation. The local estimates are then combined into a global estimate without the need for iterative message-passing between neighborhoods. The proposed algorithm is naturally parallelizable and computationally efficient, thereby making it suitable for high-dimensional problems. In the classical regime where the number of variables $p$ is fixed and the number of samples $T$ increases to infinity, the proposed estimator is shown to be asymptotically consistent and to improve monotonically as the local neighborhood size increases. In the high-dimensional scaling regime where both $p$ and $T$ increase to infinity, the convergence rate to the true parameters is derived and is seen to be comparable to centralized maximum likelihood estimation. Extensive numerical experiments demonstrate the improved performance of the two-hop version of the proposed estimator, which suffices to almost close the gap to the centralized maximum likelihood estimator at a reduced computational cost.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2014

Performance Guarantees for Adaptive Estimation of Sparse Signals

This paper studies adaptive sensing for estimating the nonzero amplitudes of a sparse signal with the aim of providing analytical guarantees on the performance gain due to adaptive resource allocation. We consider a previously proposed optimal two-stage policy for allocating sensing resources. For positive powers q, we derive tight upper bounds on the mean qth-power error resulting from the optimal two-stage policy and corresponding lower bounds on the improvement over non-adaptive uniform sensing. It is shown that the adaptation gain is related to the detectability of nonzero signal components as characterized by Chernoff coefficients, thus quantifying analytically the dependence on the sparsity level of the signal, the signal-to-noise ratio, and the sensing resource budget. For fixed sparsity levels and increasing signal-to-noise ratio or sensing budget, we obtain the rate of convergence to oracle performance and the rate at which the fraction of resources spent on the first exploratory stage decreases to zero. For a vanishing fraction of nonzero components, the gain increases without bound as a function of signal-to-noise ratio and sensing budget. Numerical simulations demonstrate that the bounds on adaptation gain are quite tight in non-asymptotic regimes as well.

cs.IT↗

arXiv2014

Image patch analysis and clustering of sunspots: a dimensionality reduction approach

Sunspots, as seen in white light or continuum images, are associated with regions of high magnetic activity on the Sun, visible on magnetogram images. Their complexity is correlated with explosive solar activity and so classifying these active regions is useful for predicting future solar activity. Current classification of sunspot groups is visually based and suffers from bias. Supervised learning methods can reduce human bias but fail to optimally capitalize on the information present in sunspot images. This paper uses two image modalities (continuum and magnetogram) to characterize the spatial and modal interactions of sunspot and magnetic active region images and presents a new approach to cluster the images. Specifically, in the framework of image patch analysis, we estimate the number of intrinsic parameters required to describe the spatial and modal dependencies, the correlation between the two modalities and the corresponding spatial patterns, and examine the phenomena at different scales within the images. To do this, we use linear and nonlinear intrinsic dimension estimators, canonical correlation analysis, and multiresolution analysis of intrinsic dimension.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2014

Learning Latent Variable Gaussian Graphical Models

Gaussian graphical models (GGM) have been widely used in many high-dimensional applications ranging from biological and financial data to recommender systems. Sparsity in GGM plays a central role both statistically and computationally. Unfortunately, real-world data often does not fit well to sparse graphical models. In this paper, we focus on a family of latent variable Gaussian graphical models (LVGGM), where the model is conditionally sparse given latent variables, but marginally non-sparse. In LVGGM, the inverse covariance matrix has a low-rank plus sparse structure, and can be learned in a regularized maximum likelihood framework. We derive novel parameter estimation error bounds for LVGGM under mild conditions in the high-dimensional setting. These results complement the existing theory on the structural learning, and open up new possibilities of using LVGGM for statistical inference.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2014

Ensemble estimation of multivariate f-divergence

f-divergence estimation is an important problem in the fields of information theory, machine learning, and statistics. While several divergence estimators exist, relatively few of their convergence rates are known. We derive the MSE convergence rate for a density plug-in estimator of f-divergence. Then by applying the theory of optimally weighted ensemble estimation, we derive a divergence estimator with a convergence rate of O(1/T) that is simple to implement and performs well in high dimensions. We validate our theoretical results with experiments.

cs.IT↗

arXiv2014

Kronecker PCA Based Spatio-Temporal Modeling of Video for Dismount Classification

We consider the application of KronPCA spatio-temporal modeling techniques [Greenewald et al 2013, Tsiligkaridis et al 2013] to the extraction of spatiotemporal features for video dismount classification. KronPCA performs a low-rank type of dimensionality reduction that is adapted to spatio-temporal data and is characterized by the T frame multiframe mean and covariance of p spatial features. For further regularization and improved inverse estimation, we also use the diagonally corrected KronPCA shrinkage methods we presented in [Greenewald et al 2013]. We apply this very general method to the modeling of the multivariate temporal behavior of HOG features extracted from pedestrian bounding boxes in video, with gender classification in a challenging dataset chosen as a specific application. The learned covariances for each class are used to extract spatiotemporal features which are then classified, achieving competitive classification performance.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2014

Regularized Block Toeplitz Covariance Matrix Estimation via Kronecker Product Expansions

In this work we consider the estimation of spatio-temporal covariance matrices in the low sample non-Gaussian regime. We impose covariance structure in the form of a sum of Kronecker products decomposition (Tsiligkaridis et al. 2013, Greenewald et al. 2013) with diagonal correction (Greenewald et al.), which we refer to as DC-KronPCA, in the estimation of multiframe covariance matrices. This paper extends the approaches of (Tsiligkaridis et al.) in two directions. First, we modify the diagonally corrected method of (Greenewald et al.) to include a block Toeplitz constraint imposing temporal stationarity structure. Second, we improve the conditioning of the estimate in the very low sample regime by using Ledoit-Wolf type shrinkage regularization similar to (Chen, Hero et al. 2010). For improved robustness to heavy tailed distributions, we modify the KronPCA to incorporate robust shrinkage estimation (Chen, Hero et al. 2011). Results of numerical simulations establish benefits in terms of estimation MSE when compared to previous methods. Finally, we apply our methods to a real-world network spatio-temporal anomaly detection problem and achieve superior results.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2014

Multi-layer graph analysis for dynamic social networks

Modern social networks frequently encompass multiple distinct types of connectivity information; for instance, explicitly acknowledged friend relationships might complement behavioral measures that link users according to their actions or interests. One way to represent these networks is as multi-layer graphs, where each layer contains a unique set of edges over the same underlying vertices (users). Edges in different layers typically have related but distinct semantics; depending on the application multiple layers might be used to reduce noise through averaging, to perform multifaceted analyses, or a combination of the two. However, it is not obvious how to extend standard graph analysis techniques to the multi-layer setting in a flexible way. In this paper we develop latent variable models and methods for mining multi-layer networks for connectivity patterns based on noisy data.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2014

Spectral Correlation Hub Screening of Multivariate Time Series

This chapter discusses correlation analysis of stationary multivariate Gaussian time series in the spectral or Fourier domain. The goal is to identify the hub time series, i.e., those that are highly correlated with a specified number of other time series. We show that Fourier components of the time series at different frequencies are asymptotically statistically independent. This property permits independent correlation analysis at each frequency, alleviating the computational and statistical challenges of high-dimensional time series. To detect correlation hubs at each frequency, an existing correlation screening method is extended to the complex numbers to accommodate complex-valued Fourier components. We characterize the number of hub discoveries at specified correlation and degree thresholds in the regime of increasing dimension and fixed sample size. The theory specifies appropriate thresholds to apply to sample correlation matrices to detect hubs and also allows statistical significance to be attributed to hub discoveries. Numerical results illustrate the accuracy of the theory and the usefulness of the proposed spectral framework.

stat.OT↗

arXiv2014

Resource-Constrained Adaptive Search and Tracking for Sparse Dynamic Targets

This paper considers the problem of resource-constrained and noise-limited localization and estimation of dynamic targets that are sparsely distributed over a large area. We generalize an existing framework [Bashan et al, 2008] for adaptive allocation of sensing resources to the dynamic case, accounting for time-varying target behavior such as transitions to neighboring cells and varying amplitudes over a potentially long time horizon. The proposed adaptive sensing policy is driven by minimization of a modified version of the previously introduced ARAP objective function, which is a surrogate function for mean squared error within locations containing targets. We provide theoretical upper bounds on the performance of adaptive sensing policies by analyzing solutions with oracle knowledge of target locations, gaining insight into the effect of target motion and amplitude variation as well as sparsity. Exact minimization of the multi-stage objective function is infeasible, but myopic optimization yields a closed-form solution. We propose a simple non-myopic extension, the Dynamic Adaptive Resource Allocation Policy (D-ARAP), that allocates a fraction of resources for exploring all locations rather than solely exploiting the current belief state. Our numerical studies indicate that D-ARAP has the following advantages: (a) it is more robust than the myopic policy to noise, missing data, and model mismatch; (b) it performs comparably to well-known approximate dynamic programming solutions but at significantly lower computational complexity; and (c) it improves greatly upon non-adaptive uniform resource allocation in terms of estimation error and probability of detection.

cs.IT↗

arXiv2014

Collaborative 20 Questions for Target Localization

We consider the problem of 20 questions with noise for multiple players under the minimum entropy criterion in the setting of stochastic search, with application to target localization. Each player yields a noisy response to a binary query governed by a certain error probability. First, we propose a sequential policy for constructing questions that queries each player in sequence and refines the posterior of the target location. Second, we consider a joint policy that asks all players questions in parallel at each time instant and characterize the structure of the optimal policy for constructing the sequence of questions. This generalizes the single player probabilistic bisection method for stochastic search problems. Third, we prove an equivalence between the two schemes showing that, despite the fact that the sequential scheme has access to a more refined filtration, the joint scheme performs just as well on average. Fourth, we establish convergence rates of the mean-square error (MSE) and derive error exponents. Lastly, we obtain an extension to the case of unknown error probabilities. This framework provides a mathematical model for incorporating a human in the loop for active machine learning systems.

cs.IT↗

arXiv2014

Node Removal Vulnerability of the Largest Component of a Network

The connectivity structure of a network can be very sensitive to removal of certain nodes in the network. In this paper, we study the sensitivity of the largest component size to node removals. We prove that minimizing the largest component size is equivalent to solving a matrix one-norm minimization problem whose column vectors are orthogonal and sparse and they form a basis of the null space of the associated graph Laplacian matrix. A greedy node removal algorithm is then proposed based on the matrix one-norm minimization. In comparison with other node centralities such as node degree and betweenness, experimental results on US power grid dataset validate the effectiveness of the proposed approach in terms of reduction of the largest component size with relatively few node removals.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2014

Dynamic stochastic blockmodels for time-evolving social networks

Significant efforts have gone into the development of statistical models for analyzing data in the form of networks, such as social networks. Most existing work has focused on modeling static networks, which represent either a single time snapshot or an aggregate view over time. There has been recent interest in statistical modeling of dynamic networks, which are observed at multiple points in time and offer a richer representation of many complex phenomena. In this paper, we present a state-space model for dynamic networks that extends the well-known stochastic blockmodel for static networks to the dynamic setting. We fit the model in a near-optimal manner using an extended Kalman filter (EKF) augmented with a local search. We demonstrate that the EKF-based algorithm performs competitively with a state-of-the-art algorithm based on Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling but is significantly less computationally demanding.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2014

Pareto-depth for Multiple-query Image Retrieval

Most content-based image retrieval systems consider either one single query, or multiple queries that include the same object or represent the same semantic information. In this paper we consider the content-based image retrieval problem for multiple query images corresponding to different image semantics. We propose a novel multiple-query information retrieval algorithm that combines the Pareto front method (PFM) with efficient manifold ranking (EMR). We show that our proposed algorithm outperforms state of the art multiple-query retrieval algorithms on real-world image databases. We attribute this performance improvement to concavity properties of the Pareto fronts, and prove a theoretical result that characterizes the asymptotic concavity of the fronts.

cs.IR↗