arXiv subjects

Ali Mostafavi

Publications and source records attributed to Ali Mostafavi.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

An improved phase-field framework for simulating impacts of solidifying metal drops

Here, an improved phase-field method for simulating the impact dynamics of solidifying molten metal droplets is developed using targeted free-energy modifications. Conventional Cahn-Hilliard-Navier-Stokes (CHNS) formulations generally do not capture melt retraction over a solidified portion of the droplet, because the newly formed solid region is not treated as an actual internal boundary in a single-order-parameter diffuse-interface model. As a result, the formulation lacks an internal wetting condition or localized wall-energy mechanism capable of driving melt retraction over a solidified splat. To address this limitation, a diffuse-domain wall-energy term is added to the free energy, with a chemical-potential contribution that is active near the diffuse liquid-solidified-material-gas triple-line region, enabling the remaining melt to retract over a solidified splat. In addition, a solidification penalty term is introduced to immobilize the solidified splat formed during impact and suppress unphysical interface motion caused by residual Cahn-Hilliard diffusion inside the frozen region. The proposed formulation is validated against benchmark experiments on impacts of solidifying tin droplets. The results reveal that the localized wall-energy term captures post-maximum-spread melt retraction, while the penalty term effectively arrests motion of the solidified splat. Qualitative and quantitative comparisons with experiments, volume-of-fluid simulations, and standard phase-field predictions demonstrate that the proposed formulation captures post-maximum-spread melt retraction and provides an accurate estimate of the stabilized final splat diameter.

physics.flu-dyn↗

arXiv2026

Beyond Backscatter: AlphaEarth Land-Cover Priors for Rapid SAR Flood Segmentation Across Foundation Backbones

Rapid flood mapping is critical for emergency response, yet optical imagery is often unusable during major flooding and single-temporal SAR is ambiguous, since new inundation, permanent water, and other smooth surfaces produce similar backscatter. This study evaluates whether stable land-context priors can improve post-event SAR flood segmentation when a registered, seasonally matched pre-event acquisition is unavailable. Using the CONUS (Continental United States) subset of ImpactMesh-Flood, we compare four backbones spanning distinct pretraining regimes-a from-scratch CNN UNet, an ImageNet-pretrained UNet, the SAR-pretrained TerraMind Vision Transformer, and the optical-satellite-pretrained DINOv3 Vision Transformer-in SAR-only, SAR+DEM, and SAR+AlphaEarth configurations under an identical fusion design, training protocol, and event-stratified split. Models are selected on a validation flood event and evaluated separately on two held-out events, Hurricane Florence and the Louisiana floods, with three-seed reporting for auxiliary configurations. Both auxiliary priors improve over the observed SAR-only baselines across all backbones and test events. AlphaEarth exceeds DEM on the harder Florence event for every backbone and achieves the best Florence IoU, while DEM is competitive on Louisiana and produces the best result there. The seed analysis reveals a trade-off: DEM is more stable across initializations, whereas AlphaEarth offers higher peak performance and higher recall on the harder event. Cross-event differences track flood-class prevalence and similarity to the training distribution, underscoring the need for per-event evaluation. We reframe single-temporal SAR flood segmentation as an alignment between radar observations and stable land-surface priors, where learned and physical context offer complementary pathways to more reliable rapid flood mapping.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

Damage-TriageFormer: A Foundation-Model Framework for Typology-Based Building Damage Assessment from Mono-Temporal Imagery

Decision-relevant building damage assessment is critical for prioritizing resources and recovery after a disaster, yet most automated methods either flatten damage into a single severity scale (no damage, minor, major, destroyed) or require paired pre- and post-event imagery that is often unavailable for emerging hazards. This paper presents Damage-TriageFormer, a single-image, post-event, footprint-conditioned model that produces a damage typology rather than a severity scale. We contribute: (1) DamageTriage-Bench, a new benchmark built from NOAA Emergency Response Imagery across Hurricane Michael (2018), Hurricane Helene (2024), and the 2025 Los Angeles wildfire complex, with five typology classes that distinguish roof damage from structural damage and, within each, partial from total extent; and (2) Damage-TriageFormer, which extends a DINOv3 ViT-L backbone with a Simple Feature Pyramid for higher-resolution instance pooling, a two-stage gated damage head, and an auxiliary severity-regression objective. Our model achieves macro F1 of 0.624 on validation and 0.619 on a held-out stratified test set, performing strongest where operational triage needs it most, with per-class F1 of 0.91 and 0.84 on undamaged buildings and total structural collapse, respectively. While the rare Total Roof Damage class remains difficult due to its limited examples and an inherently ambiguous label boundary, our results show that single-image post-event imagery can support actionable building damage typing, enabling targeted emergency response and resource allocation without a pre-event reference.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

Data-efficient flood depth prediction through domain-aware coreset selection and tabular foundation models

Near-real-time flood depth prediction demands surrogate models that are accurate, fast, and transferable across watersheds. Supervised surrogates can match physics-based simulators in accuracy but need millions of training rows per watershed and cannot extrapolate beyond their original mesh. We propose a domain-aware coreset construction pipeline that conditions a tabular foundation model at inference time. The pipeline stratifies storms by return period and most-affected watershed, then samples hexagons with a target-aware spatial selector. With 0.7% of the per-watershed training pool, the model attains a mean $R^2$ of 0.663 across nine Houston-area watersheds, within 98.5% of the supervised reference ($R^2$ = 0.673). It transfers to held-out watersheds without task-specific retraining, staying ahead of a coreset-trained supervised baseline. On real storms it exceeds the supervised reference on a far out-of-distribution case and trails it on a mostly in-distribution one. Domain-aware coreset construction lets tabular foundation models deliver data-efficient, watershed-transferable flood predictions without per-watershed training.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

DisasterLex: An Expert Concept-to-Schema Knowledge Graph for Geospatial Reasoning in Disaster Analytics

Disasters are inevitable and increasingly costly, and effective response depends on querying structured tabular data: precise, information-dense records of hazard, exposure, vulnerability, and lifeline infrastructure that underpin disaster management. Current text-to-SQL methods enable natural-language access to such tables but transfer poorly to the disaster domain, where queries span heterogeneous geospatial schemas and require reasoning over causal relations. We introduce DisasterLex, a knowledge-graph-mediated framework that inserts an Expert Knowledge Graph (EKG) of curated concepts and typed causal edges between the user query and the database, bridged to schema by concept-to-table links. The orchestration runs four stages (identifying query entities, routing to the operational domain, planning over causal edges, and grounding the SQL), restricting the schema passed to the model at each step. We instantiate it on a disaster-analytics database (36 geospatial tables, 150 columns) with an EKG of 107 concepts, 117 causal edges, and 52 concept-to-schema links, evaluated on a 75-query test set. On all seven base models spanning proprietary and open-weight families, DisasterLex beats four state-of-the-art baselines (LightRAG, HippoRAG 2, ReFoRCE, CHESS) by 1.4x to 2.75x, with absolute scores of 1.65 to 3.56 (of 5.0). Error analysis shows baseline failures cluster in routing and multi-table SQL composition, the operations our orchestration explicitly addresses. Code, data, and the EKG artifact are available at https://github.com/YimingXiao98/DisasterLex and on Zenodo at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20388029.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

DisasterBench: Benchmarking LLM Planning under Typed Tool Interface Constraints

Disasters cause severe societal impacts, demanding rapid coordination of heterogeneous AI tools, from satellite analysis to flood prediction and damage assessment, into coherent multi-step workflows. As LLMs increasingly serve as orchestrators of such pipelines, effective coordination requires more than selecting semantically plausible tools: LLMs must generate executable workflows with correct parameter binding and dependency propagation. We introduce DisasterBench, a benchmark for evaluating structured multi-agent planning over semantically similar but operationally distinct disaster-response tools. To enable step-level failure attribution, we further propose First-Point-of-Failure (FPoF), which localizes the earliest root cause in a predicted workflow, separating primary errors from downstream cascading effects. Our evaluation reveals three findings: planning method effectiveness depends strongly on model capacity; tool mismatch and parameter-binding errors dominate first failures, revealing semantic grounding and execution consistency as distinct bottlenecks; and verbose intermediate reasoning can create instruction clash with structured output requirements, disrupting plan generation. Together, these findings highlight a fundamental gap between semantic reasoning and execution-grounded coordination, underscoring the need for planning frameworks that jointly model semantic intent, execution constraints, and workflow consistency. Code, data, and evaluation resources are available at: https://github.com/TamuChen18/DisasterBench_Open

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

DisastRAG: A Multi-Source Disaster Information Integration and Access System Based on Retrieval-Augmented Large Language Models

Effective disaster management requires rapid access to information distributed across structured operational records, unstructured institutional documents, and dynamic external sources. However, most existing disaster information systems and retrieval-augmented generation frameworks remain organized around a single access pathway, limiting their ability to support heterogeneous, time-sensitive, and context-dependent information needs. This study presents DisastRAG, a disaster-aware information integration and access system that combines large language models with retrieval-augmented access to structured, unstructured, and contextual disaster information. The framework is built around a multi-path architecture that supports document retrieval over a curated hazard corpus, structured access over relational disaster records, and external web fallback for out-of-corpus requests, while also incorporating query understanding, strategy routing, response generation, and contextual memory within a unified system. We evaluated the document retrieval performance using four open-source large language models across multiple retrieval configurations on multiple-choice and open-ended disaster information tasks. Retrieval augmentation consistently improves performance over no-retrieval baselines, yielding multiple-choice gains of 12-23 percentage points and open-ended keypoint coverage gains of up to 10.5 percentage points. Results show that larger candidate pools are most helpful for weaker models, while stronger models are more sensitive to retrieval noise. Hybrid retrieval performs best for open-ended coverage, whereas vector retrieval and shallower reranking more often favor closed-form factual selection. Case studies further show that structured access and web fallback extend the framework beyond document-only RAG.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2026

Property-Level Flood Risk Assessment Using AI-Enabled Street-View Lowest Floor Elevation Extraction and ML Imputation Across Texas

This paper argues that AI-enabled analysis of street-view imagery, complemented by performance-gated machine-learning imputation, provides a viable pathway for generating building-specific elevation data at regional scale for flood risk assessment. We develop and apply a three-stage pipeline across 18 areas of interest (AOIs) in Texas that (1) extracts LFE and the height difference between street grade and the lowest floor (HDSL) from Google Street View imagery using the Elev-Vision framework, (2) imputes missing HDSL values with Random Forest and Gradient Boosting models trained on 16 terrain, hydrologic, geographic, and flood-exposure features, and (3) integrates the resulting elevation dataset with Fathom 1-in-100 year inundation surfaces and USACE depth-damage functions to estimate property-specific interior flood depth and expected loss. Across 12,241 residential structures, street-view imagery was available for 73.4% of parcels and direct LFE/HDSL extraction was successful for 49.0% (5,992 structures). Imputation was retained for 13 AOIs where cross-validated performance was defensible, with selected models achieving R suqre values from 0.159 to 0.974; five AOIs were explicitly excluded from prediction because performance was insufficient. The results show that street-view-based elevation mapping is not universally available for every property, but it is sufficiently scalable to materially improve regional flood-risk characterization by moving beyond hazard exposure to structure-level estimates of interior inundation and expected damage. Scientifically, the study advances LFE estimation from a pilot-scale proof of concept to a regional, end-to-end workflow. Practically, it offers a replicable framework for jurisdictions that lack comprehensive Elevation Certificates but need parcel-level information to support mitigation, planning, and flood-risk management.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Training-free retrieval-augmented generation with reinforced reasoning for flood damage nowcasting

We propose R2RAG-Flood, a training-free retrieval-augmented generation framework for flood damage nowcasting with reinforced reasoning. The framework builds a reasoning-centric knowledge base from labeled tabular records, where each sample includes structured predictors, a compact text-mode summary, and a model-generated reasoning trajectory. During inference, the target prompt is augmented with geographically local neighbors and selected free-shots to support case-based reasoning without task-specific fine-tuning. A two-stage procedure first determines damage occurrence and then refines severity within a three-level Property Damage Extent (PDE) classification, followed by a conservative downgrade check for weakly supported over-severe outputs. In a Hurricane Harvey case study in Harris County, Texas, the supervised tabular baseline achieves 0.714 overall accuracy and 0.859 accuracy on the damaged classes (medium and high PDE). Across seven LLM backbones, R2RAG-Flood achieves 0.613--0.668 overall accuracy and 0.757--0.896 accuracy on the damaged classes while providing a structured rationale for each prediction. Under the severity-per-cost metric used in this study, lighter R2RAG-Flood variants are more cost-efficient than the supervised baseline and larger LLM backbones. These results demonstrate the feasibility of a reasoning-centric, training-free pipeline for flood damage nowcasting in a realistic case-study setting.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

CrisiSense-RAG: Crisis Sensing Multimodal Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Rapid Disaster Impact Assessment

Timely and spatially resolved disaster impact assessment is essential for effective emergency response. However, automated methods typically struggle with temporal asynchrony. Real-time human reports capture peak hazard conditions while high-resolution satellite imagery is frequently acquired after peak conditions. This often reflects flood recession rather than maximum extent. Naive fusion of these misaligned streams can yield dangerous underestimates when post-event imagery overrides documented peak flooding. We present CrisiSense-RAG, which is a multimodal retrieval-augmented generation framework that reframes impact assessment as evidence synthesis over heterogeneous data sources without disaster-specific fine-tuning. The system employs hybrid dense-sparse retrieval for text sources and CLIP-based retrieval for aerial imagery. A split-pipeline architecture feeds into asynchronous fusion logic that prioritizes real-time social evidence for peak flood extent while treating imagery as persistent evidence of structural damage. Evaluated on Hurricane Harvey across 207 ZIP-code queries, the framework achieves a flood extent MAE of 10.94% to 28.40% and damage severity MAE of 16.47% to 21.65% in zero-shot settings. Prompt-level alignment proves critical for quantitative validity because metric grounding improves damage estimates by up to 4.75 percentage points. These results demonstrate a practical and deployable approach to rapid resilience intelligence under real-world data constraints.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2026

DisastQA: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Evaluating Question Answering in Disaster Management

Accurate question answering (QA) in disaster management requires reasoning over uncertain and conflicting information, a setting poorly captured by existing benchmarks built on clean evidence. We introduce DisastQA, a large-scale benchmark of 3,000 rigorously verified questions (2,000 multiple-choice and 1,000 open-ended) spanning eight disaster types. The benchmark is constructed via a human-LLM collaboration pipeline with stratified sampling to ensure balanced coverage. Models are evaluated under varying evidence conditions, from closed-book to noisy evidence integration, enabling separation of internal knowledge from reasoning under imperfect information. For open-ended QA, we propose a human-verified keypoint-based evaluation protocol emphasizing factual completeness over verbosity. Experiments with 20 models reveal substantial divergences from general-purpose leaderboards such as MMLU-Pro. While recent open-weight models approach proprietary systems in clean settings, performance degrades sharply under realistic noise, exposing critical reliability gaps for disaster response. All code, data, and evaluation resources are available at https://github.com/TamuChen18/DisastQA_open.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2025

GraphFire-X: Physics-Informed Graph Attention Networks and Structural Gradient Boosting for Building-Scale Wildfire Preparedness at the Wildland-Urban Interface

As wildfires increasingly evolve into urban conflagrations, traditional risk models that treat structures as isolated assets fail to capture the non-linear contagion dynamics characteristic of the wildland urban interface (WUI). This research bridges the gap between mechanistic physics and data driven learning by establishing a novel dual specialist ensemble framework that disentangles vulnerability into two distinct vectors, environmental contagion and structural fragility. The architecture integrates two specialized predictive streams, an environmental specialist, implemented as a graph neural network (GNN) that operationalizes the community as a directed contagion graph weighted by physics informed convection, radiation, and ember probabilities, and enriched with high dimensional Google AlphaEarth Foundation embeddings, and a Structural Specialist, implemented via XGBoost to isolate granular asset level resilience. Applied to the 2025 Eaton Fire, the framework reveals a critical dichotomy in risk drivers. The GNN demonstrates that neighborhood scale environmental pressure overwhelmingly dominates intrinsic structural features in defining propagation pathways, while the XGBoost model identifies eaves as the primary micro scale ingress vector. By synthesizing these divergent signals through logistic stacking, the ensemble achieves robust classification and generates a diagnostic risk topology. This capability empowers decision makers to move beyond binary loss prediction and precisely target mitigation prioritizing vegetation management for high connectivity clusters and structural hardening for architecturally vulnerable nodes thereby operationalizing a proactive, data driven approach to community resilience.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

A Parametric Framework for Anticipatory Flashflood Warning: Integrating Landscape Vulnerability with Precipitation Forecasts

Flash flood warnings are largely reactive, providing limited advance notice for evacuation planning and resource prepositioning. This study presents and validates an anticipatory, parametric framework that converts landscape vulnerability and precipitation into transparent, zone-aware threat levels at neighborhood scales. We first derive an inherent hazard likelihood (IHL) surface using pluvial flood depth, height above nearest drainage, and distance to streams. Next, we compute a hazard severity index (HSI) by normalizing 24-hour rainfall against local Atlas-14 100-year, 24-hour depths. We then integrate IHL and HSI within a localized threat severity (LTS) matrix using 20 class-specific triggers, requiring lower exceedance in high-risk terrain and higher exceedance in uplands. Applied to two Texas flood events, the LTS exhibits statistically significant spatial association with independent crowdsourced impact proxies, capturing observed disruption hotspots. The framework is computationally lightweight, scalable, and extends actionable situational awareness into a 48-72 hour anticipatory window, supporting pre-event decision-making by emergency managers.

cs.CE↗

arXiv2025

Quantifying Functional Criticality of Lifelines Through Mobility-Derived Population-Facility Dependence for Human-Centered Resilience

Lifeline infrastructure underpins the continuity of daily life, yet conventional criticality assessments remain largely asset-centric, inferring importance from physical capacity or network topology rather than actual behavioral reliance. This disconnect frequently obscures the true societal cost of disruption, particularly in underserved communities where residents lack service alternatives. This study bridges the gap between engineering risk analysis and human mobility analysis by introducing functional criticality, a human-centered metric that quantifies the behavioral indispensability of specific facilities based on large-scale visitation patterns. Leveraging 1.02 million anonymized mobility records for Harris County, Texas, we operationalize lifeline criticality as a function of visitation intensity, catchment breadth, and origin-specific substitutability. Results reveal that dependence is highly concentrated: a small subset of super-critical facilities (2.8% of grocery stores and 14.8% of hospitals) supports a disproportionate share of routine access. By coupling these behavioral scores with probabilistic flood hazard models for 2020 and 2060, we demonstrate a pronounced risk-multiplier effect. While physical flood depths increase only moderately under future climate scenarios, the population-weighted vulnerability of access networks surges by 67.6%. This sharp divergence establishes that future hazards will disproportionately intersect with the specific nodes communities rely on most. The proposed framework advances resilience assessment by embedding human behavior directly into the definition of infrastructure importance, providing a scalable foundation for equitable, adaptive, and human-centered resilience planning.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2025

FloodSQL-Bench: A Retrieval-Augmented Benchmark for Geospatially-Grounded Text-to-SQL

Existing Text-to-SQL benchmarks primarily focus on single-table queries or limited joins in general-purpose domains, and thus fail to reflect the complexity of domain-specific, multi-table and geospatial reasoning, To address this limitation, we introduce FLOODSQL-BENCH, a geospatially grounded benchmark for the flood management domain that integrates heterogeneous datasets through key-based, spatial, and hybrid joins. The benchmark captures realistic flood-related information needs by combining social, infrastructural, and hazard data layers. We systematically evaluate recent large language models with the same retrieval-augmented generation settings and measure their performance across difficulty tiers. By providing a unified, open benchmark grounded in real-world disaster management data, FLOODSQL-BENCH establishes a practical testbed for advancing Text-to-SQL research in high-stakes application domains.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2025

Self-Tuning Dynamic Explicit Modal Filtering Based on Local Flow Characteristics for Large-Eddy Simulation

This work improves upon our previously introduced explicit dynamic modal filter (DEMF) within the framework of the discontinuous Galerkin spectral element method (DGSEM) by introducing a mechanism for self-tuning of the model parameters. The new self-tuning dynamic explicit modal filter (STDEMF) also extends the methodology for obtaining modal values from nodal values beyond Chebyshev grids and polynomials to general collocation points and orthogonal polynomial bases by leveraging orthogonality. The generated modes are used to remove the built-up energy due to unresolved sub-grid scales (SGS) in large-eddy simulation (LES) of turbulent flows. The STDEMF improves the performance of DEMF in two ways. First, the filter kernel applied to the modes is adapted from a cut-off kernel to a hyperbolic tangent shape, which automatically adjusts the model for different polynomial orders. Second, the cut-off mode is computed dynamically for each element as a function of local flow characteristics, including the local Kolmogorov length scale and the second invariants of the strain and rotation rate tensors. The suggested formulation for the cut-off mode treats unresolved elements distinctly and improves performance by avoiding under- or over-dissipation. Moreover, the cut-off mode evolves over time within the same element as turbulent characteristics vary. The model is evaluated on three flows, homogeneous isotropic decaying, the Taylor-Green vortex, and periodic channel flow, each with distinct turbulent characteristics. Comparisons of the results show that the STDEMF model outperforms the DEMF model and the Smagorinsky eddy viscosity model.

physics.flu-dyn↗

arXiv2025

Decoupling Urban Food Accessibility Resilience during Disasters through Time-Series Analysis of Human Mobility and Power Outages

Disaster-induced power outages create cascading disruptions across urban lifelines, yet the timed coupling between grid failure and essential service access remains poorly quantified. Focusing on Hurricane Beryl in Houston (2024), this study integrates approximately 173000 15-minute outage records with over 1.25 million visits to 3187 food facilities to quantify how infrastructure performance and human access co-evolve. We construct daily indices for outage characteristics (intensity, duration) and food access metrics (redundancy, frequency, proximity), estimate cross-system lags through lagged correlations over zero to seven days, and identify recovery patterns using DTW k-means clustering. Overlaying these clusters yields compound power-access typologies and enables facility-level criticality screening. The analysis reveals a consistent two-day lag: food access reaches its nadir on July 8 at landfall while outage severity peaks around July 10, with negative correlations strongest at a two-day lag and losing significance by day four. We identify four compound typologies from high/low outage crossed with high/low access disruption levels. Road network sparsity, more than income, determines the depth and persistence of access loss. Through this analysis, we enumerate 294 critical food facilities in the study area requiring targeted continuity measures including backup power, microgrids, and feeder prioritization. The novelty lies in measuring interdependency at daily operational resolution while bridging scales from communities to individual facilities, converting dynamic coupling patterns into actionable interventions for phase-sensitive restoration and equity-aware preparedness. The framework is transferable to other lifelines and hazards, offering a generalizable template for diagnosing and mitigating cascading effects on community access during disaster recovery.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2025

WildfireGenome: Interpretable Machine Learning Reveals Local Drivers of Wildfire Risk and Their Cross-County Variation

Current wildfire risk assessments rely on coarse hazard maps and opaque machine learning models that optimize regional accuracy while sacrificing interpretability at the decision scale. WildfireGenome addresses these gaps through three components: (1) fusion of seven federal wildfire indicators into a sign-aligned, PCA-based composite risk label at H3 Level-8 resolution; (2) Random Forest classification of local wildfire risk; and (3) SHAP and ICE/PDP analyses to expose county-specific nonlinear driver relationships. Across seven ecologically diverse U.S. counties, models achieve accuracies of 0.755-0.878 and Quadratic Weighted Kappa up to 0.951, with principal components explaining 87-94% of indicator variance. Transfer tests show reliable performance between ecologically similar regions but collapse across dissimilar contexts. Explanations consistently highlight needleleaf forest cover and elevation as dominant drivers, with risk rising sharply at 30-40% needleleaf coverage. WildfireGenome advances wildfire risk assessment from regional prediction to interpretable, decision-scale analytics that guide vegetation management, zoning, and infrastructure planning.

cs.LG↗