arXiv subjects

Allison Kennedy

Publications and source records attributed to Allison Kennedy.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Time-Aware Validation of Machine Learning Fuel Consumption Models: Evidence from 1\,Hz Operational Data, CCGS \textit{Sir Wilfrid Laurier}

Ship fuel consumption (SFC) prediction supports vessel operation optimisation, emissions estimation, and decision support systems (DSS) for sustainable maritime transportation. Numerous data-driven fuel models have been developed over the past two decades, but a critical and often overlooked limitation lies in their validation practices: most studies evaluate performance using random train--test splits, which, applied to high-frequency records, admit temporal leakage and yield optimistic results that do not reflect deployment conditions. This paper examines that gap using time-aware evaluation, specifically Time Series Cross-Validation (TSCV) and Blocked TSCV (BTSCV). Using the Canadian Coast Guard Ship (CCGS) \textit{Sir Wilfrid Laurier} as a case study, six regression models and a physics baseline are tuned under three time-aware schemes and three feature configurations, then evaluated on a common chronological hold-out set drawn from approximately 3.88 million steady-state 1\,Hz records.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Sequential Modeling of Complex Marine Navigation: Case Study on a Passenger Vessel (Student Abstract)

The maritime industry's continuous commitment to sustainability has led to a dedicated exploration of methods to reduce vessel fuel consumption. This paper undertakes this challenge through a machine learning approach, leveraging a real-world dataset spanning two years of a ferry in west coast Canada. Our focus centers on the creation of a time series forecasting model given the dynamic and static states, actions, and disturbances. This model is designed to predict dynamic states based on the actions provided, subsequently serving as an evaluative tool to assess the proficiency of the ferry's operation under the captain's guidance. Additionally, it lays the foundation for future optimization algorithms, providing valuable feedback on decision-making processes. To facilitate future studies, our code is available at \url{https://github.com/pagand/model_optimze_vessel/tree/AAAI}

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Fuel Consumption Prediction for a Passenger Ferry using Machine Learning and In-service Data: A Comparative Study

As the importance of eco-friendly transportation increases, providing an efficient approach for marine vessel operation is essential. Methods for status monitoring with consideration to the weather condition and forecasting with the use of in-service data from ships requires accurate and complete models for predicting the energy efficiency of a ship. The models need to effectively process all the operational data in real-time. This paper presents models that can predict fuel consumption using in-service data collected from a passenger ship. Statistical and domain-knowledge methods were used to select the proper input variables for the models. These methods prevent over-fitting, missing data, and multicollinearity while providing practical applicability. Prediction models that were investigated include multiple linear regression (MLR), decision tree approach (DT), an artificial neural network (ANN), and ensemble methods. The best predictive performance was from a model developed using the XGboost technique which is a boosting ensemble approach. \rvv{Our code is available on GitHub at \url{https://github.com/pagand/model_optimze_vessel/tree/OE} for future research.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2019

Energy Loss Due to Defect Formation from $^{206}$Pb Recoils in SuperCDMS Germanium Detectors

The Super Cryogenic Dark Matter Search experiment (SuperCDMS) at the Soudan Underground Laboratory studied energy loss associated with Frenkel defect formation in germanium crystals at mK temperatures using in situ $^{210}$Pb sources. We examine the spectrum of $^{206}$Pb nuclear recoils near its expected 103 keV endpoint energy and determine an energy loss of $\left(6.08\pm0.18\right)$ %, which we attribute to defect formation. From this result and using TRIM simulations, we extract the first experimentally determined average displacement threshold energy of $\left(19.7^{+0.6}_{-0.5}\right)$ eV for germanium. This has implications for the analysis thresholds of future germanium-based dark matter searches.

physics.ins-det↗