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Alon Orlitsky

Publications and source records attributed to Alon Orlitsky.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Linear Regression using Heterogeneous Data Batches

In many learning applications, data are collected from multiple sources, each providing a \emph{batch} of samples that by itself is insufficient to learn its input-output relationship. A common approach assumes that the sources fall in one of several unknown subgroups, each with an unknown input distribution and input-output relationship. We consider one of this setup's most fundamental and important manifestations where the output is a noisy linear combination of the inputs, and there are $k$ subgroups, each with its own regression vector. Prior work~\cite{kong2020meta} showed that with abundant small-batches, the regression vectors can be learned with only few, $\tildeΩ( k^{3/2})$, batches of medium-size with $\tildeΩ(\sqrt k)$ samples each. However, the paper requires that the input distribution for all $k$ subgroups be isotropic Gaussian, and states that removing this assumption is an ``interesting and challenging problem". We propose a novel gradient-based algorithm that improves on the existing results in several ways. It extends the applicability of the algorithm by: (1) allowing the subgroups' underlying input distributions to be different, unknown, and heavy-tailed; (2) recovering all subgroups followed by a significant proportion of batches even for infinite $k$; (3) removing the separation requirement between the regression vectors; (4) reducing the number of batches and allowing smaller batch sizes.

cs.LG

TURF: A Two-factor, Universal, Robust, Fast Distribution Learning Algorithm

Approximating distributions from their samples is a canonical statistical-learning problem. One of its most powerful and successful modalities approximates every distribution to an $\ell_1$ distance essentially at most a constant times larger than its closest $t$-piece degree-$d$ polynomial, where $t\ge1$ and $d\ge0$. Letting $c_{t,d}$ denote the smallest such factor, clearly $c_{1,0}=1$, and it can be shown that $c_{t,d}\ge 2$ for all other $t$ and $d$. Yet current computationally efficient algorithms show only $c_{t,1}\le 2.25$ and the bound rises quickly to $c_{t,d}\le 3$ for $d\ge 9$. We derive a near-linear-time and essentially sample-optimal estimator that establishes $c_{t,d}=2$ for all $(t,d)\ne(1,0)$. Additionally, for many practical distributions, the lowest approximation distance is achieved by polynomials with vastly varying number of pieces. We provide a method that estimates this number near-optimally, hence helps approach the best possible approximation. Experiments combining the two techniques confirm improved performance over existing methodologies.

stat.ML

Robust estimation algorithms don't need to know the corruption level

Real data are rarely pure. Hence the past half-century has seen great interest in robust estimation algorithms that perform well even when part of the data is corrupt. However, their vast majority approach optimal accuracy only when given a tight upper bound on the fraction of corrupt data. Such bounds are not available in practice, resulting in weak guarantees and often poor performance. This brief note abstracts the complex and pervasive robustness problem into a simple geometric puzzle. It then applies the puzzle's solution to derive a universal meta technique that converts any robust estimation algorithm requiring a tight corruption-level upper bound to achieve its optimal accuracy into one achieving essentially the same accuracy without using any upper bounds.

cs.LG

SURF: A Simple, Universal, Robust, Fast Distribution Learning Algorithm

Sample- and computationally-efficient distribution estimation is a fundamental tenet in statistics and machine learning. We present SURF, an algorithm for approximating distributions by piecewise polynomials. SURF is: simple, replacing prior complex optimization techniques by straight-forward {empirical probability} approximation of each potential polynomial piece {through simple empirical-probability interpolation}, and using plain divide-and-conquer to merge the pieces; universal, as well-known polynomial-approximation results imply that it accurately approximates a large class of common distributions; robust to distribution mis-specification as for any degree $d \le 8$, it estimates any distribution to an $\ell_1$ distance $< 3$ times that of the nearest degree-$d$ piecewise polynomial, improving known factor upper bounds of 3 for single polynomials and 15 for polynomials with arbitrarily many pieces; fast, using optimal sample complexity, running in near sample-linear time, and if given sorted samples it may be parallelized to run in sub-linear time. In experiments, SURF outperforms state-of-the art algorithms.

stat.ML

Linear-Sample Learning of Low-Rank Distributions

Many latent-variable applications, including community detection, collaborative filtering, genomic analysis, and NLP, model data as generated by low-rank matrices. Yet despite considerable research, except for very special cases, the number of samples required to efficiently recover the underlying matrices has not been known. We determine the onset of learning in several common latent-variable settings. For all of them, we show that learning $k\times k$, rank-$r$, matrices to normalized $L_{1}$ distance $ε$ requires $Ω(\frac{kr}{ε^2})$ samples, and propose an algorithm that uses ${\cal O}(\frac{kr}{ε^2}\log^2\frac rε)$ samples, a number linear in the high dimension, and nearly linear in the, typically low, rank. The algorithm improves on existing spectral techniques and runs in polynomial time. The proofs establish new results on the rapid convergence of the spectral distance between the model and observation matrices, and may be of independent interest.

cs.LG

Unified Sample-Optimal Property Estimation in Near-Linear Time

We consider the fundamental learning problem of estimating properties of distributions over large domains. Using a novel piecewise-polynomial approximation technique, we derive the first unified methodology for constructing sample- and time-efficient estimators for all sufficiently smooth, symmetric and non-symmetric, additive properties. This technique yields near-linear-time computable estimators whose approximation values are asymptotically optimal and highly-concentrated, resulting in the first: 1) estimators achieving the $\mathcal{O}(k/(\varepsilon^2\log k))$ min-max $\varepsilon$-error sample complexity for all $k$-symbol Lipschitz properties; 2) unified near-optimal differentially private estimators for a variety of properties; 3) unified estimator achieving optimal bias and near-optimal variance for five important properties; 4) near-optimal sample-complexity estimators for several important symmetric properties over both domain sizes and confidence levels. In addition, we establish a McDiarmid's inequality under Poisson sampling, which is of independent interest.

cs.LG

Profile Entropy: A Fundamental Measure for the Learnability and Compressibility of Discrete Distributions

The profile of a sample is the multiset of its symbol frequencies. We show that for samples of discrete distributions, profile entropy is a fundamental measure unifying the concepts of estimation, inference, and compression. Specifically, profile entropy a) determines the speed of estimating the distribution relative to the best natural estimator; b) characterizes the rate of inferring all symmetric properties compared with the best estimator over any label-invariant distribution collection; c) serves as the limit of profile compression, for which we derive optimal near-linear-time block and sequential algorithms. To further our understanding of profile entropy, we investigate its attributes, provide algorithms for approximating its value, and determine its magnitude for numerous structural distribution families.

stat.ML

A General Method for Robust Learning from Batches

In many applications, data is collected in batches, some of which are corrupt or even adversarial. Recent work derived optimal robust algorithms for estimating discrete distributions in this setting. We consider a general framework of robust learning from batches, and determine the limits of both classification and distribution estimation over arbitrary, including continuous, domains. Building on these results, we derive the first robust agnostic computationally-efficient learning algorithms for piecewise-interval classification, and for piecewise-polynomial, monotone, log-concave, and gaussian-mixture distribution estimation.

stat.ML

Optimal Robust Learning of Discrete Distributions from Batches

Many applications, including natural language processing, sensor networks, collaborative filtering, and federated learning, call for estimating discrete distributions from data collected in batches, some of which may be untrustworthy, erroneous, faulty, or even adversarial. Previous estimators for this setting ran in exponential time, and for some regimes required a suboptimal number of batches. We provide the first polynomial-time estimator that is optimal in the number of batches and achieves essentially the best possible estimation accuracy.

cs.LG

The Broad Optimality of Profile Maximum Likelihood

We study three fundamental statistical-learning problems: distribution estimation, property estimation, and property testing. We establish the profile maximum likelihood (PML) estimator as the first unified sample-optimal approach to a wide range of learning tasks. In particular, for every alphabet size $k$ and desired accuracy $\varepsilon$: $\textbf{Distribution estimation}$ Under $\ell_1$ distance, PML yields optimal $Θ(k/(\varepsilon^2\log k))$ sample complexity for sorted-distribution estimation, and a PML-based estimator empirically outperforms the Good-Turing estimator on the actual distribution; $\textbf{Additive property estimation}$ For a broad class of additive properties, the PML plug-in estimator uses just four times the sample size required by the best estimator to achieve roughly twice its error, with exponentially higher confidence; $\boldsymbolα\textbf{-Rényi entropy estimation}$ For integer $α>1$, the PML plug-in estimator has optimal $k^{1-1/α}$ sample complexity; for non-integer $α>3/4$, the PML plug-in estimator has sample complexity lower than the state of the art; $\textbf{Identity testing}$ In testing whether an unknown distribution is equal to or at least $\varepsilon$ far from a given distribution in $\ell_1$ distance, a PML-based tester achieves the optimal sample complexity up to logarithmic factors of $k$. Most of these results also hold for a near-linear-time computable variant of PML. Stronger results hold for a different and novel variant called truncated PML (TPML).

stat.ML

Data Amplification: A Unified and Competitive Approach to Property Estimation

Estimating properties of discrete distributions is a fundamental problem in statistical learning. We design the first unified, linear-time, competitive, property estimator that for a wide class of properties and for all underlying distributions uses just $2n$ samples to achieve the performance attained by the empirical estimator with $n\sqrt{\log n}$ samples. This provides off-the-shelf, distribution-independent, "amplification" of the amount of data available relative to common-practice estimators. We illustrate the estimator's practical advantages by comparing it to existing estimators for a wide variety of properties and distributions. In most cases, its performance with $n$ samples is even as good as that of the empirical estimator with $n\log n$ samples, and for essentially all properties, its performance is comparable to that of the best existing estimator designed specifically for that property.

stat.ML

Data Amplification: Instance-Optimal Property Estimation

The best-known and most commonly used distribution-property estimation technique uses a plug-in estimator, with empirical frequency replacing the underlying distribution. We present novel linear-time-computable estimators that significantly "amplify" the effective amount of data available. For a large variety of distribution properties including four of the most popular ones and for every underlying distribution, they achieve the accuracy that the empirical-frequency plug-in estimators would attain using a logarithmic-factor more samples. Specifically, for Shannon entropy and a very broad class of properties including $\ell_1$-distance, the new estimators use $n$ samples to achieve the accuracy attained by the empirical estimators with $n\log n$ samples. For support-size and coverage, the new estimators use $n$ samples to achieve the performance of empirical frequency with sample size $n$ times the logarithm of the property value. Significantly strengthening the traditional min-max formulation, these results hold not only for the worst distributions, but for each and every underlying distribution. Furthermore, the logarithmic amplification factors are optimal. Experiments on a wide variety of distributions show that the new estimators outperform the previous state-of-the-art estimators designed for each specific property.

math.ST

On Learning Markov Chains

The problem of estimating an unknown discrete distribution from its samples is a fundamental tenet of statistical learning. Over the past decade, it attracted significant research effort and has been solved for a variety of divergence measures. Surprisingly, an equally important problem, estimating an unknown Markov chain from its samples, is still far from understood. We consider two problems related to the min-max risk (expected loss) of estimating an unknown $k$-state Markov chain from its $n$ sequential samples: predicting the conditional distribution of the next sample with respect to the KL-divergence, and estimating the transition matrix with respect to a natural loss induced by KL or a more general $f$-divergence measure. For the first measure, we determine the min-max prediction risk to within a linear factor in the alphabet size, showing it is $Ω(k\log\log n\ / n)$ and $\mathcal{O}(k^2\log\log n\ / n)$. For the second, if the transition probabilities can be arbitrarily small, then only trivial uniform risk upper bounds can be derived. We therefore consider transition probabilities that are bounded away from zero, and resolve the problem for essentially all sufficiently smooth $f$-divergences, including KL-, $L_2$-, Chi-squared, Hellinger, and Alpha-divergences.

cs.LG

Maximum Selection and Ranking under Noisy Comparisons

We consider $(ε,δ)$-PAC maximum-selection and ranking for general probabilistic models whose comparisons probabilities satisfy strong stochastic transitivity and stochastic triangle inequality. Modifying the popular knockout tournament, we propose a maximum-selection algorithm that uses $\mathcal{O}\left(\frac{n}{ε^2}\log \frac{1}δ\right)$ comparisons, a number tight up to a constant factor. We then derive a general framework that improves the performance of many ranking algorithms, and combine it with merge sort and binary search to obtain a ranking algorithm that uses $\mathcal{O}\left(\frac{n\log n (\log \log n)^3}{ε^2}\right)$ comparisons for any $δ\ge\frac1n$, a number optimal up to a $(\log \log n)^3$ factor.

cs.LG

A Unified Maximum Likelihood Approach for Optimal Distribution Property Estimation

The advent of data science has spurred interest in estimating properties of distributions over large alphabets. Fundamental symmetric properties such as support size, support coverage, entropy, and proximity to uniformity, received most attention, with each property estimated using a different technique and often intricate analysis tools. We prove that for all these properties, a single, simple, plug-in estimator---profile maximum likelihood (PML)---performs as well as the best specialized techniques. This raises the possibility that PML may optimally estimate many other symmetric properties.

cs.IT

Maximum Selection and Sorting with Adversarial Comparators and an Application to Density Estimation

We study maximum selection and sorting of $n$ numbers using pairwise comparators that output the larger of their two inputs if the inputs are more than a given threshold apart, and output an adversarially-chosen input otherwise. We consider two adversarial models. A non-adaptive adversary that decides on the outcomes in advance based solely on the inputs, and an adaptive adversary that can decide on the outcome of each query depending on previous queries and outcomes. Against the non-adaptive adversary, we derive a maximum-selection algorithm that uses at most $2n$ comparisons in expectation, and a sorting algorithm that uses at most $2n \ln n$ comparisons in expectation. These numbers are within small constant factors from the best possible. Against the adaptive adversary, we propose a maximum-selection algorithm that uses $Θ(n\log (1/ε))$ comparisons to output a correct answer with probability at least $1-ε$. The existence of this algorithm affirmatively resolves an open problem of Ajtai, Feldman, Hassadim, and Nelson. Our study was motivated by a density-estimation problem where, given samples from an unknown underlying distribution, we would like to find a distribution in a known class of $n$ candidate distributions that is close to underlying distribution in $\ell_1$ distance. Scheffe's algorithm outputs a distribution at an $\ell_1$ distance at most 9 times the minimum and runs in time $Θ(n^2\log n)$. Using maximum selection, we propose an algorithm with the same approximation guarantee but run time of $Θ(n\log n)$.

cs.DS

Estimating Renyi Entropy of Discrete Distributions

It was recently shown that estimating the Shannon entropy $H({\rm p})$ of a discrete $k$-symbol distribution ${\rm p}$ requires $Θ(k/\log k)$ samples, a number that grows near-linearly in the support size. In many applications $H({\rm p})$ can be replaced by the more general Rényi entropy of order $α$, $H_α({\rm p})$. We determine the number of samples needed to estimate $H_α({\rm p})$ for all $α$, showing that $α< 1$ requires a super-linear, roughly $k^{1/α}$ samples, noninteger $α>1$ requires a near-linear $k$ samples, but, perhaps surprisingly, integer $α>1$ requires only $Θ(k^{1-1/α})$ samples. Furthermore, developing on a recently established connection between polynomial approximation and estimation of additive functions of the form $\sum_{x} f({\rm p}_x)$, we reduce the sample complexity for noninteger values of $α$ by a factor of $\log k$ compared to the empirical estimator. The estimators achieving these bounds are simple and run in time linear in the number of samples. Our lower bounds provide explicit constructions of distributions with different Rényi entropies that are hard to distinguish.

cs.IT

Estimating the number of unseen species: A bird in the hand is worth $\log n $ in the bush

Estimating the number of unseen species is an important problem in many scientific endeavors. Its most popular formulation, introduced by Fisher, uses $n$ samples to predict the number $U$ of hitherto unseen species that would be observed if $t\cdot n$ new samples were collected. Of considerable interest is the largest ratio $t$ between the number of new and existing samples for which $U$ can be accurately predicted. In seminal works, Good and Toulmin constructed an intriguing estimator that predicts $U$ for all $t\le 1$, thereby showing that the number of species can be estimated for a population twice as large as that observed. Subsequently Efron and Thisted obtained a modified estimator that empirically predicts $U$ even for some $t>1$, but without provable guarantees. We derive a class of estimators that $\textit{provably}$ predict $U$ not just for constant $t>1$, but all the way up to $t$ proportional to $\log n$. This shows that the number of species can be estimated for a population $\log n$ times larger than that observed, a factor that grows arbitrarily large as $n$ increases. We also show that this range is the best possible and that the estimators' mean-square error is optimal up to constants for any $t$. Our approach yields the first provable guarantee for the Efron-Thisted estimator and, in addition, a variant which achieves stronger theoretical and experimental performance than existing methodologies on a variety of synthetic and real datasets. The estimators we derive are simple linear estimators that are computable in time proportional to $n$. The performance guarantees hold uniformly for all distributions, and apply to all four standard sampling models commonly used across various scientific disciplines: multinomial, Poisson, hypergeometric, and Bernoulli product.

math.ST