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Alvaro Gonzalez

Publications and source records attributed to Alvaro Gonzalez.

10 recordsLinked to original sources

Personalized and Robust Proactive Robot Assistance with Uncertainty-Guided LLM Reasoning

Proactive robot assistance in household environments requires accurate prediction of human activities and object usage under dynamic and noisy conditions. Existing approaches often rely on complex spatio-temporal models, which can be computationally expensive and sensitive to environmental variability. In this paper, we propose GLOBE, a lightweight framework that combines n-gram Markov models for capturing temporal behavioral patterns with uncertainty-guided large language model (LLM) reasoning. The framework performs sequential prediction efficiently while selectively invoking LLM reasoning only when the model confidence is low. To evaluate performance under realistic conditions, we introduce HOMER-Noise, a noisy extension of the HOMER+ dataset that simulates structured disturbances such as object movements caused by humans, pets, and toddlers. Experimental results show that GLOBE achieves competitive performance with state-of-the-art methods while improving robustness and computational efficiency across both clean and noisy settings. The framework is further validated through a proof-of-concept integration with a Stretch 3 mobile manipulator, demonstrating its potential application in real-world human-robot interaction scenarios.

cs.RO

Observations of DNC and DCO$^+$ toward the $\int$-shaped Filament and Starless Cores in the Orion Molecular Clouds

Although the deuterium fraction is known to be a powerful evolutionary tracer, its variation within individual molecular cloud cores is still poorly understood. The northern $\int$-shaped filament and 20 individual starless cores in the Orion A and B clouds were mapped in the deuterated molecules of DNC and DCO$^+$ with the Receiver 7BEE installed on the Nobeyama 45~m radio telescope. In a ~ 5' X 30' map of the northern $\int$-shaped filament in the Orion A cloud, the DNC emission is detected over the filament, whereas the DCO$^+$ emission is localized toward OMC-3, the northernmost region of the filament. The difference in distribution between DNC and DCO$^+$ can be attributed to that between N- and C-bearing molecules as previously suggested by Tatematsu et al. High DNC/HN$^{13}$C column density ratios were observed in OMC-2 and OMC-3, and low ratios in OMC-1. It seems that OMC-2 and OMC-3 still contain molecular gas close to the onset of star formation. In 3' X 3' maps of the individual starless cores in Orion, the column density ratios of DNC/HN$^{13}$C and DCO$^+$/H$^{13}$CO$^+$ are found to be rather constant locally within each core, although the core-to-core variation is not small. Similar timescales of deuterization, depletion, and dynamical evolution might explain the locally constant ratio.

astro-ph.GA

Development of a new wideband heterodyne receiver system for the Osaka 1.85-m mm-submm telescope -- Corrugated horn & Optics covering 210-375 GHz band

The corrugated horn is a high performance feed often used in radio telescopes. There has been a growing demand for wideband optics and corrugated horns in millimeter and submillimeter-wave receivers. It improves the observation efficiency and allows us to observe important emission lines such as CO in multiple excited states simultaneously. However, in the millimeter/submillimeter band, it has been challenging to create a conical corrugated horn with a fractional bandwidth of ~60% because the wavelength is very short, making it difficult to make narrow corrugations. In this study, we designed a conical corrugated horn with good return loss, low cross-polarization, and symmetric beam pattern in the 210-375GHz band (56% fractional bandwidth) by optimizing the dimensions of the corrugations. The corrugated horn was installed on the Osaka 1.85-m mm-submm telescope with the matched frequency-independent optics, and simultaneous observations of 12CO, 13CO, and C18O (J = 2-1, 3-2) were successfully made. In this paper, we describe the new design of the corrugated horn and report the performance evaluation results including the optics.

astro-ph.IM

Development of a new wideband heterodyne receiver system for the Osaka 1.85-m mm-submm telescope -- Receiver development & the first light of simultaneous observation in 230GHz and 345GHz bands with an SIS-mixer with 4-21GHz IF output

We have developed a wideband receiver system for simultaneous observations in CO lines of J = 2-1 and J = 3-2 transitions using the Osaka 1.85-m mm-submm telescope. As a frequency separation system, we developed multiplexers that connect three types of diplexers, each consisting of branch-line couplers and high-pass filters. The radio frequency (RF) signal is eventually distributed into four frequency bands, each of which is fed to a superconductor-insulator-superconductor (SIS) mixer. The RF signal from the horn is divided into two frequency bands by a wideband diplexer with a fractional bandwidth of 56%, and then each frequency band is further divided into two bands by each diplexer. The developed multiplexers were designed, fabricated, and characterized using a vector network analyzer. The measurement results showed good agreement with the simulation. The receiver noise temperature was measured by connecting the SIS-mixers, one of which has a wideband 4-21GHz intermediate frequency (IF) output. The receiver noise temperatures were measured to be ~70K in the 220GHz band, ~100K in the 230GHz band, 110-175K in the 330GHz band, and 150-250K in the 345GHz band. This receiver system has been installed on the 1.85-m telescope at the Nobeyama Radio Observatory. We succeeded in the simultaneous observations of six CO isotopologue lines with the transitions of J = 2-1 and J = 3-2 toward the Orion KL as well as the on-the-fly (OTF) mappings toward the Orion KL and W 51.

astro-ph.IM

The Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array (ALMA) Band-1 Receiver

The Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array(ALMA) Band 1 receiver covers the 35-50 GHz frequency band. Development of prototype receivers, including the key components and subsystems has been completed and two sets of prototype receivers were fully tested. We will provide an overview of the ALMA Band 1 science goals, and its requirements and design for use on the ALMA. The receiver development status will also be discussed and the infrastructure, integration, evaluation of fully-assembled band 1 receiver system will be covered. Finally, a discussion of the technical and management challenges encountered will be presented.

astro-ph.IM

The occupation of a box as a toy model for the seismic cycle of a fault

We illustrate how a simple statistical model can describe the quasiperiodic occurrence of large earthquakes. The model idealizes the loading of elastic energy in a seismic fault by the stochastic filling of a box. The emptying of the box after it is full is analogous to the generation of a large earthquake in which the fault relaxes after having been loaded to its failure threshold. The duration of the filling process is analogous to the seismic cycle, the time interval between two successive large earthquakes in a particular fault. The simplicity of the model enables us to derive the statistical distribution of its seismic cycle. We use this distribution to fit the series of earthquakes with magnitude around 6 that occurred at the Parkfield segment of the San Andreas fault in California. Using this fit, we estimate the probability of the next large earthquake at Parkfield and devise a simple forecasting strategy.

physics.geo-ph

A way to synchronize models with seismic faults for earthquake forecasting: Insights from a simple stochastic model

Numerical models are starting to be used for determining the future behaviour of seismic faults and fault networks. Their final goal would be to forecast future large earthquakes. In order to use them for this task, it is necessary to synchronize each model with the current status of the actual fault or fault network it simulates (just as, for example, meteorologists synchronize their models with the atmosphere by incorporating current atmospheric data in them). However, lithospheric dynamics is largely unobservable: important parameters cannot (or can rarely) be measured in Nature. Earthquakes, though, provide indirect but measurable clues of the stress and strain status in the lithosphere, which should be helpful for the synchronization of the models. The rupture area is one of the measurable parameters of earthquakes. Here we explore how it can be used to at least synchronize fault models between themselves and forecast synthetic earthquakes. Our purpose here is to forecast synthetic earthquakes in a simple but stochastic (random) fault model. By imposing the rupture area of the synthetic earthquakes of this model on other models, the latter become partially synchronized with the first one. We use these partially synchronized models to successfully forecast most of the largest earthquakes generated by the first model. This forecasting strategy outperforms others that only take into account the earthquake series. Our results suggest that probably a good way to synchronize more detailed models with real faults is to force them to reproduce the sequence of previous earthquake ruptures on the faults. This hypothesis could be tested in the future with more detailed models and actual seismic data.

physics.geo-ph

Updating seismic hazard at Parkfield

The occurrence of the September 28, 2004 Mw=6.0 mainshock at Parkfield, California, has significantly increased the mean and aperiodicity of the series of time intervals between mainshocks in this segment of the San Andreas fault. We use five different statistical distributions as renewal models to fit this new series and to estimate the time-dependent probability of the next Parkfield mainshock. Three of these distributions (lognormal, gamma and Weibull) are frequently used in reliability and time-to-failure problems. The other two come from physically-based models of earthquake recurrence (the Brownian Passage Time Model and the Minimalist Model). The differences resulting from these five renewal models are emphasized.

physics.geo-ph

Forecasting characteristic earthquakes in a minimalist model

Using error diagrams, we quantify the forecasting of characteristic-earthquake occurrence in a recently introduced minimalist model. Initially we connect the earthquake alarm at a fixed time after the ocurrence of a characteristic event. The evaluation of this strategy leads to a one-dimensional numerical exploration of the loss function. This first strategy is then refined by considering a classification of the seismic cycles of the model according to the presence, or not, of some factors related to the seismicity observed in the cycle. These factors, statistically speaking, enlarge or shorten the length of the cycles. The independent evaluation of the impact of these factors in the forecast process leads to two-dimensional numerical explorations. Finally, and as a third gradual step in the process of refinement, we combine these factors leading to a three-dimensional exploration. The final improvement in the loss function is about 8.5%.

physics.geo-ph

A Minimalist Model of Characteristic Earthquakes

In a spirit akin to the sandpile model of self-organized criticality, we present a simple statistical model of the cellular-automaton type which produces an avalanche spectrum similar to the characteristic-earthquake behavior of some seismic faults. This model, that has no parameter, is amenable to an algebraic description as a Markov Chain. This possibility illuminates some important results, obtained by Monte Carlo simulations, such as the earthquake size-frequency relation and the recurrence time of the characteristic earthquake.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci