arXiv subjects

Ambedkar Dukkipati

Publications and source records attributed to Ambedkar Dukkipati.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Reinforcement Learning under External Influence: Guarantees, Algorithms, and Sample Complexity

In this paper, we study the problem of reinforcement learning under the influence of external events. For this, we consider Markov decision processes with continuous state and action spaces whose transition dynamics are perturbed by an external process in a non-Markovian manner. First, we establish the conditions under which the problem becomes tractable, allowing it to be addressed by considering only a finite history of events, based on the properties of the perturbations introduced by the exogenous process. We propose and theoretically analyze a policy iteration algorithm to tackle this problem that learns policies contingent on the current state of the environment and a finite history of prior exogenous events. Since this algorithm is not guaranteed to converge, we provide a guarantee for policy improvement in regions of the state space determined by the approximation error induced by considering tractable policies and value functions. We also establish the sample complexity of least-squares policy evaluation and policy improvement algorithms that account for approximations arising from considering only a finite history of temporal events. While our results are applicable to general discrete-time processes satisfying certain conditions on the rate of decay of the influence of their events, we further analyze the case of discrete-time Hawkes processes with Gaussian marks. We performed experiments to demonstrate our findings for policy evaluation and deployment in traditional control environments.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Predictive AI with External Knowledge Infusion: Datasets and Benchmarks for Stock Markets

Fluctuations in stock prices are influenced by a complex interplay of factors that go beyond mere historical data. These factors, themselves influenced by external forces, encompass inter-stock dynamics, broader economic factors, various government policy decisions, outbreaks of wars, etc. Furthermore, all of these factors are dynamic and exhibit changes over time. In this paper, for the first time, we tackle the forecasting problem under external influence by proposing learning mechanisms that not only learn from historical trends but also incorporate external knowledge from temporal knowledge graphs. Since there are no such datasets or temporal knowledge graphs available, we study this problem with stock market data, and we construct comprehensive temporal knowledge graph datasets. In our proposed approach, we model relations on external temporal knowledge graphs as events of a Hawkes process on graphs. With extensive experiments, we show that learned dynamic representations effectively rank stocks based on returns across multiple holding periods, outperforming related baselines on relevant metrics.

q-fin.ST↗

arXiv2026

Sample Efficient Active Algorithms for Offline Reinforcement Learning

Offline reinforcement learning (RL) enables policy learning from static data but often suffers from poor coverage of the state-action space and distributional shift problems. This problem can be addressed by allowing limited online interactions to selectively refine uncertain regions of the learned value function, which is referred to as Active Reinforcement Learning (ActiveRL). While there has been good empirical success, no theoretical analysis is available in the literature. We fill this gap by developing a rigorous sample-complexity analysis of ActiveRL through the lens of Gaussian Process (GP) uncertainty modeling. In this respect, we propose an algorithm and using GP concentration inequalities and information-gain bounds, we derive high-probability guarantees showing that an $ε$-optimal policy can be learned with ${\mathcal{O}}(1/ε^2)$ active transitions, improving upon the $Ω(1/ε^2(1-γ)^4)$ rate of purely offline methods. Our results reveal that ActiveRL achieves near-optimal information efficiency, that is, guided uncertainty reduction leads to accelerated value-function convergence with minimal online data. Our analysis builds on GP concentration inequalities and information-gain bounds, bridging Bayesian nonparametric regression and reinforcement learning theories. We conduct several experiments to validate the algorithm and theoretical findings.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Semi-supervised Deep Transfer for Regression without Domain Alignment

Deep learning models deployed in real-world applications (e.g., medicine) face challenges because source models do not generalize well to domain-shifted target data. Many successful domain adaptation (DA) approaches require full access to source data. Yet, such requirements are unrealistic in scenarios where source data cannot be shared either because of privacy concerns or because it is too large and incurs prohibitive storage or computational costs. Moreover, resource constraints may limit the availability of labeled targets. We illustrate this challenge in a neuroscience setting where source data are unavailable, labeled target data are meager, and predictions involve continuous-valued outputs. We build upon Contradistinguisher (CUDA), an efficient framework that learns a shared model across the labeled source and unlabeled target samples, without intermediate representation alignment. Yet, CUDA was designed for unsupervised DA, with full access to source data, and for classification tasks. We develop CRAFT -- a Contradistinguisher-based Regularization Approach for Flexible Training -- for source-free (SF), semi-supervised transfer of pretrained models in regression tasks. We showcase the efficacy of CRAFT in two neuroscience settings: gaze prediction with electroencephalography (EEG) data and ``brain age'' prediction with structural MRI data. For both datasets, CRAFT yielded up to 9% improvement in root-mean-squared error (RMSE) over fine-tuned models when labeled training examples were scarce. Moreover, CRAFT leveraged unlabeled target data and outperformed four competing state-of-the-art source-free domain adaptation models by more than 3%. Lastly, we demonstrate the efficacy of CRAFT on two other real-world regression benchmarks. We propose CRAFT as an efficient approach for source-free, semi-supervised deep transfer for regression that is ubiquitous in biology and medicine.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2025

Emergent Natural Language with Communication Games for Improving Image Captioning Capabilities without Additional Data

Image captioning is an important problem in developing various AI systems, and these tasks require large volumes of annotated images to train the models. Since all existing labelled datasets are already used for training the large Vision Language Models (VLMs), it becomes challenging to improve the performance of the same. Considering this, it is essential to consider the unsupervised image captioning performance, which remains relatively under-explored. To that end, we propose LoGIC (Lewis Communication Game for Image Captioning), a Multi-agent Reinforcement Learning game. The proposed method consists of two agents, a 'speaker' and a 'listener', with the objective of learning a strategy for communicating in natural language. We train agents in the cooperative common-reward setting using the GRPO algorithm and show that improvement in image captioning performance emerges as a consequence of the agents learning to play the game. We show that using pre-trained VLMs as the 'speaker' and Large Language Model (LLM) for language understanding in the 'listener', we achieved a $46$ BLEU score after fine-tuning using LoGIC without additional labels, a $2$ units advantage in absolute metrics compared to the $44$ BLEU score of the vanilla VLM. Additionally, we replace the VLM from the 'speaker' with lightweight components: (i) a ViT for image perception and (ii) a GPT2 language generation, and train them from scratch using LoGIC, obtaining a $31$ BLEU score in the unsupervised setting, a $10$ points advantage over existing unsupervised image-captioning methods.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Active Reinforcement Learning Strategies for Offline Policy Improvement

Learning agents that excel at sequential decision-making tasks must continuously resolve the problem of exploration and exploitation for optimal learning. However, such interactions with the environment online might be prohibitively expensive and may involve some constraints, such as a limited budget for agent-environment interactions and restricted exploration in certain regions of the state space. Examples include selecting candidates for medical trials and training agents in complex navigation environments. This problem necessitates the study of active reinforcement learning strategies that collect minimal additional experience trajectories by reusing existing offline data previously collected by some unknown behavior policy. In this work, we propose an active reinforcement learning method capable of collecting trajectories that can augment existing offline data. With extensive experimentation, we demonstrate that our proposed method reduces additional online interaction with the environment by up to 75% over competitive baselines across various continuous control environments such as Gym-MuJoCo locomotion environments as well as Maze2d, AntMaze, CARLA and IsaacSimGo1. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work that addresses the active learning problem in the context of sequential decision-making and reinforcement learning.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Neural Temporal Point Processes for Forecasting Directional Relations in Evolving Hypergraphs

Forecasting relations between entities is paramount in the current era of data and AI. However, it is often overlooked that real-world relationships are inherently directional, involve more than two entities, and can change with time. In this paper, we provide a comprehensive solution to the problem of forecasting directional relations in a general setting, where relations are higher-order, i.e., directed hyperedges in a hypergraph. This problem has not been previously explored in the existing literature. The primary challenge in solving this problem is that the number of possible hyperedges is exponential in the number of nodes at each event time. To overcome this, we propose a sequential generative approach that segments the forecasting process into multiple stages, each contingent upon the preceding stages, thereby reducing the search space involved in predictions of hyperedges. The first stage involves a temporal point process-based node event forecasting module that identifies the subset of nodes involved in an event. The second stage is a candidate generation module that predicts hyperedge sizes and adjacency vectors for nodes observing events. The final stage is a directed hyperedge predictor that identifies the truth by searching over the set of candidate hyperedges. To validate the effectiveness of our model, we compiled five datasets and conducted an extensive empirical study to assess each downstream task. Our proposed method achieves a performance gain of 32\% and 41\% compared to the state-of-the-art pairwise and hyperedge event forecasting models, respectively, for the event type prediction.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Deep Representation Learning for Forecasting Recursive and Multi-Relational Events in Temporal Networks

Understanding relations arising out of interactions among entities can be very difficult, and predicting them is even more challenging. This problem has many applications in various fields, such as financial networks and e-commerce. These relations can involve much more complexities than just involving more than two entities. One such scenario is evolving recursive relations between multiple entities, and so far, this is still an open problem. This work addresses the problem of forecasting higher-order interaction events that can be multi-relational and recursive. We pose the problem in the framework of representation learning of temporal hypergraphs that can capture complex relationships involving multiple entities. The proposed model, \textit{Relational Recursive Hyperedge Temporal Point Process} (RRHyperTPP) uses an encoder that learns a dynamic node representation based on the historical interaction patterns and then a hyperedge link prediction-based decoder to model the occurrence of interaction events. These learned representations are then used for downstream tasks involving forecasting the type and time of interactions. The main challenge in learning from hyperedge events is that the number of possible hyperedges grows exponentially with the number of nodes in the network. This will make the computation of negative log-likelihood of the temporal point process expensive, as the calculation of survival function requires a summation over all possible hyperedges. In our work, we develop a noise contrastive estimation method to learn the parameters of our model, and we have experimentally shown that our models perform better than previous state-of-the-art methods for interaction forecasting.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Temporal Abstraction in Reinforcement Learning with Offline Data

Standard reinforcement learning algorithms with a single policy perform poorly on tasks in complex environments involving sparse rewards, diverse behaviors, or long-term planning. This led to the study of algorithms that incorporate temporal abstraction by training a hierarchy of policies that plan over different time scales. The options framework has been introduced to implement such temporal abstraction by learning low-level options that act as extended actions controlled by a high-level policy. The main challenge in applying these algorithms to real-world problems is that they suffer from high sample complexity to train multiple levels of the hierarchy, which is impossible in online settings. Motivated by this, in this paper, we propose an offline hierarchical RL method that can learn options from existing offline datasets collected by other unknown agents. This is a very challenging problem due to the distribution mismatch between the learned options and the policies responsible for the offline dataset and to our knowledge, this is the first work in this direction. In this work, we propose a framework by which an online hierarchical reinforcement learning algorithm can be trained on an offline dataset of transitions collected by an unknown behavior policy. We validate our method on Gym MuJoCo locomotion environments and robotic gripper block-stacking tasks in the standard as well as transfer and goal-conditioned settings.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Deep Representation Learning for Prediction of Temporal Event Sets in the Continuous Time Domain

Temporal Point Processes (TPP) play an important role in predicting or forecasting events. Although these problems have been studied extensively, predicting multiple simultaneously occurring events can be challenging. For instance, more often than not, a patient gets admitted to a hospital with multiple conditions at a time. Similarly people buy more than one stock and multiple news breaks out at the same time. Moreover, these events do not occur at discrete time intervals, and forecasting event sets in the continuous time domain remains an open problem. Naive approaches for extending the existing TPP models for solving this problem lead to dealing with an exponentially large number of events or ignoring set dependencies among events. In this work, we propose a scalable and efficient approach based on TPPs to solve this problem. Our proposed approach incorporates contextual event embeddings, temporal information, and domain features to model the temporal event sets. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach through extensive experiments on multiple datasets, showing that our model outperforms existing methods in terms of prediction metrics and computational efficiency. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work that solves the problem of predicting event set intensities in the continuous time domain by using TPPs.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Dynamic Representation Learning with Temporal Point Processes for Higher-Order Interaction Forecasting

The explosion of digital information and the growing involvement of people in social networks led to enormous research activity to develop methods that can extract meaningful information from interaction data. Commonly, interactions are represented by edges in a network or a graph, which implicitly assumes that the interactions are pairwise and static. However, real-world interactions deviate from these assumptions: (i) interactions can be multi-way, involving more than two nodes or individuals (e.g., family relationships, protein interactions), and (ii) interactions can change over a period of time (e.g., change of opinions and friendship status). While pairwise interactions have been studied in a dynamic network setting and multi-way interactions have been studied using hypergraphs in static networks, there exists no method, at present, that can predict multi-way interactions or hyperedges in dynamic settings. Existing related methods cannot answer temporal queries like what type of interaction will occur next and when it will occur. This paper proposes a temporal point process model for hyperedge prediction to address these problems. Our proposed model uses dynamic representation learning techniques for nodes in a neural point process framework to forecast hyperedges. We present several experimental results and set benchmark results. As far as our knowledge, this is the first work that uses the temporal point process to forecast hyperedges in dynamic networks.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Consistency of Constrained Spectral Clustering under Graph Induced Fair Planted Partitions

Spectral clustering is popular among practitioners and theoreticians alike. While performance guarantees for spectral clustering are well understood, recent studies have focused on enforcing ``fairness'' in clusters, requiring them to be ``balanced'' with respect to a categorical sensitive node attribute (e.g. the race distribution in clusters must match the race distribution in the population). In this paper, we consider a setting where sensitive attributes indirectly manifest in an auxiliary \textit{representation graph} rather than being directly observed. This graph specifies node pairs that can represent each other with respect to sensitive attributes and is observed in addition to the usual \textit{similarity graph}. Our goal is to find clusters in the similarity graph while respecting a new individual-level fairness constraint encoded by the representation graph. We develop variants of unnormalized and normalized spectral clustering for this task and analyze their performance under a \emph{fair} planted partition model induced by the representation graph. This model uses both the cluster membership of the nodes and the structure of the representation graph to generate random similarity graphs. To the best of our knowledge, these are the first consistency results for constrained spectral clustering under an individual-level fairness constraint. Numerical results corroborate our theoretical findings.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Learning Skills to Navigate without a Master: A Sequential Multi-Policy Reinforcement Learning Algorithm

Solving complex problems using reinforcement learning necessitates breaking down the problem into manageable tasks and learning policies to solve these tasks. These policies, in turn, have to be controlled by a master policy that takes high-level decisions. Hence learning policies involves hierarchical decision structures. However, training such methods in practice may lead to poor generalization, with either sub-policies executing actions for too few time steps or devolving into a single policy altogether. In our work, we introduce an alternative approach to learn such skills sequentially without using an overarching hierarchical policy. We propose this method in the context of environments where a major component of the objective of a learning agent is to prolong the episode for as long as possible. We refer to our proposed method as Sequential Soft Option Critic. We demonstrate the utility of our approach on navigation and goal-based tasks in a flexible simulated 3D navigation environment that we have developed. We also show that our method outperforms prior methods such as Soft Actor-Critic and Soft Option Critic on various environments, including the Atari River Raid environment and the Gym-Duckietown self-driving car simulator.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2022

On consistency of constrained spectral clustering under representation-aware stochastic block model

Spectral clustering is widely used in practice due to its flexibility, computational efficiency, and well-understood theoretical performance guarantees. Recently, spectral clustering has been studied to find balanced clusters under population-level constraints. These constraints are specified by additional information available in the form of auxiliary categorical node attributes. In this paper, we consider a scenario where these attributes may not be observable, but manifest as latent features of an auxiliary graph. Motivated by this, we study constrained spectral clustering with the aim of finding balanced clusters in a given \textit{similarity graph} $\mathcal{G}$, such that each individual is adequately represented with respect to an auxiliary graph $\mathcal{R}$ (we refer to this as representation graph). We propose an individual-level balancing constraint that formalizes this idea. Our work leads to an interesting stochastic block model that not only plants the given partitions in $\mathcal{G}$ but also plants the auxiliary information encoded in the representation graph $\mathcal{R}$. We develop unnormalized and normalized variants of spectral clustering in this setting. These algorithms use $\mathcal{R}$ to find clusters in $\mathcal{G}$ that approximately satisfy the proposed constraint. We also establish the first statistical consistency result for constrained spectral clustering under individual-level constraints for graphs sampled from the above-mentioned variant of the stochastic block model. Our experimental results corroborate our theoretical findings.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2021

An Inference Approach To Question Answering Over Knowledge Graphs

Knowledge Graphs (KG) act as a great tool for holding distilled information from large natural language text corpora. The problem of natural language querying over knowledge graphs is essential for the human consumption of this information. This problem is typically addressed by converting the natural language query to a structured query and then firing the structured query on the KG. Direct answering models over knowledge graphs in literature are very few. The query conversion models and direct models both require specific training data pertaining to the domain of the knowledge graph. In this work, we convert the problem of natural language querying over knowledge graphs to an inference problem over premise-hypothesis pairs. Using trained deep learning models for the converted proxy inferencing problem, we provide the solution for the original natural language querying problem. Our method achieves over 90% accuracy on MetaQA dataset, beating the existing state-of-the-art. We also propose a model for inferencing called Hierarchical Recurrent Path Encoder(HRPE). The inferencing models can be fine-tuned to be used across domains with less training data. Our approach does not require large domain-specific training data for querying on new knowledge graphs from different domains.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

ActKnow: Active External Knowledge Infusion Learning for Question Answering in Low Data Regime

Deep learning models have set benchmark results in various Natural Language Processing tasks. However, these models require an enormous amount of training data, which is infeasible in many practical problems. While various techniques like domain adaptation, fewshot learning techniques address this problem, we introduce a new technique of actively infusing external knowledge into learning to solve low data regime problems. We propose a technique called ActKnow that actively infuses knowledge from Knowledge Graphs (KG) based "on-demand" into learning for Question Answering (QA). By infusing world knowledge from Concept-Net, we show significant improvements on the ARC Challenge-set benchmark over purely text-based transformer models like RoBERTa in the low data regime. For example, by using only 20% training examples, we demonstrate a 4% improvement in the accuracy for both ARC-challenge and OpenBookQA, respectively.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

Risk-Aware Algorithms for Combinatorial Semi-Bandits

In this paper, we study the stochastic combinatorial multi-armed bandit problem under semi-bandit feedback. While much work has been done on algorithms that optimize the expected reward for linear as well as some general reward functions, we study a variant of the problem, where the objective is to be risk-aware. More specifically, we consider the problem of maximizing the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), a risk measure that takes into account only the worst-case rewards. We propose new algorithms that maximize the CVaR of the rewards obtained from the super arms of the combinatorial bandit for the two cases of Gaussian and bounded arm rewards. We further analyze these algorithms and provide regret bounds. We believe that our results provide the first theoretical insights into combinatorial semi-bandit problems in the risk-aware case.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

CoviHawkes: Temporal Point Process and Deep Learning based Covid-19 forecasting for India

Lockdowns are one of the most effective measures for containing the spread of a pandemic. Unfortunately, they involve a heavy financial and emotional toll on the population that often outlasts the lockdown itself. This article argues in favor of ``local'' lockdowns, which are lockdowns focused on regions currently experiencing an outbreak. We propose a machine learning tool called CoviHawkes based on temporal point processes, called CoviHawkes that predicts the daily case counts for Covid-19 in India at the national, state, and district levels. Our short-term predictions ($<30$ days) may be helpful for policymakers in identifying regions where a local lockdown must be proactively imposed to arrest the spread of the virus. Our long-term predictions (up to a few months) simulate the progression of the pandemic under various lockdown conditions, thereby providing a noisy indicator for a potential third wave of cases in India. Extensive experimental results validate the performance of our tool at all levels.

cs.LG↗