arXiv subjects

Amin Khodaei

Publications and source records attributed to Amin Khodaei.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2017

Data Fusion and Machine Learning Integration for Transformer Loss of Life Estimation

Rapid growth of machine learning methodologies and their applications offer new opportunity for improved transformer asset management. Accordingly, power system operators are currently looking for data-driven methods to make better-informed decisions in terms of network management. In this paper, machine learning and data fusion techniques are integrated to estimate transformer loss of life. Using IEEE Std. C57.91-2011, a data synthesis process is proposed based on hourly transformer loading and ambient temperature values. This synthesized data is employed to estimate transformer loss of life by using Adaptive Network-Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Radial Basis Function (RBF) network, which are further fused together with the objective of improving the estimation accuracy. Among various data fusion techniques, Ordered Weighted Averaging (OWA) and sequential Kalman filter are selected to fuse the output results of the estimated ANFIS and RBF. Simulation results demonstrate the merit and the effectiveness of the proposed method.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2017

Day-Ahead Solar Forecasting Based on Multi-level Solar Measurements

The growing proliferation in solar deployment, especially at distribution level, has made the case for power system operators to develop more accurate solar forecasting models. This paper proposes a solar photovoltaic (PV) generation forecasting model based on multi-level solar measurements and utilizing a nonlinear autoregressive with exogenous input (NARX) model to improve the training and achieve better forecasts. The proposed model consists of four stages of data preparation, establishment of fitting model, model training, and forecasting. The model is tested under different weather conditions. Numerical simulations exhibit the acceptable performance of the model when compared to forecasting results obtained from two-level and single-level studies.

cs.CE↗

arXiv2017

Electric Vehicle Battery Swapping Station

Providing adequate charging infrastructure plays a momentous role in rapid proliferation of Electric Vehicles (EVs). Easy access to such infrastructure would remove various obstacles regarding limited EV mobility range. A Battery Swapping Station (BSS) is an effective approach in supplying power to the EVs, while mitigating long waiting times in a Battery Charging Station (BCS). In contrast with the BCS, the BSS charges the batteries in advance and prepares them to be swapped in a considerably short time. Considering that these stations can serve as an intermediate entity between the EV owners and the power system, they can potentially provide unique benefits to the power system. This paper investigates the advantages of building the BSS from various perspectives. Accordingly, a model for the scheduling of battery charging from the station owner perspective is proposed. An illustrative example is provided to show how the proposed model would help BSS owners in managing their assets through scheduling battery charging time.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2017

Optimal Design of Hybrid AC/DC Microgrids

DC loads (such as computers, data centres, electric vehicle chargers, and LED lamps) and dc distributed energy resources (such as fuel cells, solar photovoltaics, and energy storages) are rapidly growing in electric power systems, so dc systems are being introduced as emerging practical investment solutions compared to traditional ac options. DC microgrids offer several advantages such as the elimination of need for synchronizing generators and easier supply of dc loads. Hybrid microgrids can benefit from the advantages of both ac and dc microgrid types. Moreover, there would be a huge reduction in the number of required power converters which would enhance the microgrid efficiency and reduce investment and operation costs. This paper introduces hybrid ac/dc microgrid as a viable solution compared to individual ac or dc microgrids and focuses on its planning. The objective of the hybrid microgrid planning is to minimize the microgrid total cost, including investment cost of distributed energy resources (DERs) and converters, operation cost of DERs, the cost of energy exchange with the utility grid, and the cost of unserved energy during the planning horizon. The economic viability of the microgrid planning is investigated in this paper and it is shown how the optimal DER generation mix, the type of feeders, as well as the point of connection of DERs to feeders can be determined by updating the traditional ac microgrid planning model. Numerical simulations on a test microgrid exhibit the merits of the proposed model.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2017

Microgrid Value of Ramping

The growing penetration of renewable generation in distribution networks, primarily deployed by end-use electricity customers, is changing the traditional load profile and inevitably makes supply-load balancing more challenging for grid operators. Leveraging the potential flexibility of existing microgrids, that is to help with supply-load balance locally, is a viable solution to cope with this challenge and mitigate existing net load variability and intermittency in distribution networks. This paper discusses this timely topic and determines the microgrid value of ramping based on its available reserve using a cost-benefit analysis. To this end, a microgrid ramping-oriented optimal scheduling model is developed and tested through numerical simulations to prove the effectiveness and the merits of the proposed approach in microgrid ramping valuation.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2017

Two-Stage Hybrid Day-Ahead Solar Forecasting

Power supply from renewable resources is on a global rise where it is forecasted that renewable generation will surpass other types of generation in a foreseeable future. Increased generation from renewable resources, mainly solar and wind, exposes the power grid to more vulnerabilities, conceivably due to their variable generation, thus highlighting the importance of accurate forecasting methods. This paper proposes a two-stage day-ahead solar forecasting method that breaks down the forecasting into linear and nonlinear parts, determines subsequent forecasts, and accordingly, improves accuracy of the obtained results. To further reduce the error resulted from nonstationarity of the historical solar radiation data, a data processing approach, including pre-process and post-process levels, is integrated with the proposed method. Numerical simulations on three test days with different weather conditions exhibit the effectiveness of the proposed two-stage model.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2017

Leveraging Sensory Data in Estimating Transformer Lifetime

Transformer lifetime assessments plays a vital role in reliable operation of power systems. In this paper, leveraging sensory data, an approach in estimating transformer lifetime is presented. The winding hottest-spot temperature, which is the pivotal driver that impacts transformer aging, is measured hourly via a temperature sensor, then transformer loss of life is calculated based on the IEEE Std. C57.91-2011. A Cumulative Moving Average (CMA) model is subsequently applied to the data stream of the transformer loss of life to provide hourly estimates until convergence. Numerical examples demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach for the transformer lifetime estimation, and explores its efficiency and practical merits.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2017

Machine Learning Applications in Estimating Transformer Loss of Life

Transformer life assessment and failure diagnostics have always been important problems for electric utility companies. Ambient temperature and load profile are the main factors which affect aging of the transformer insulation, and consequently, the transformer lifetime. The IEEE Std. C57.911995 provides a model for calculating the transformer loss of life based on ambient temperature and transformer's loading. In this paper, this standard is used to develop a data-driven static model for hourly estimation of the transformer loss of life. Among various machine learning methods for developing this static model, the Adaptive Network-Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) is selected. Numerical simulations demonstrate the effectiveness and the accuracy of the proposed ANFIS method compared with other relevant machine learning based methods to solve this problem.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2017

Capturing Distribution Grid-Integrated Solar Variability and Uncertainty Using Microgrids

The variable nature of the solar generation and the inherent uncertainty in solar generation forecasts are two challenging issues for utility grids, especially as the distribution grid integrated solar generation proliferates. This paper offers to utilize microgrids as local solutions for mitigating these negative drawbacks and helping the utility grid in hosting a higher penetration of solar generation. A microgrid optimal scheduling model based on robust optimization is developed to capture solar generation variability and uncertainty. Numerical simulations on a test feeder indicate the effectiveness of the proposed model.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2017

Net-Zero Settlement in Distribution Markets

Introduction of market mechanisms in distribution systems is currently subject to extensive studies. One of the challenges facing Distribution Market Operators (DMOs) is to implement a fair and economically efficient pricing mechanism that can incentivize consumers to positively contribute to grid operations and to improve economic performance of the distribution system. This paper studies a penalty-based pricing mechanism in distribution markets and further investigates the interrelationship between the locational marginal prices (LMPs) at transmission and distribution levels. As a result, a closed-form relationship between these LMPs is derived. The possibility of zeroing out the settlement profit is further investigated under the proposed pricing mechanism.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2016

Application of Microgrids in Supporting Distribution Grid Flexibility

Distributed renewable energy resources have attracted significant attention in recent years due to the falling cost of the renewable energy technology, extensive federal and state incentives, and the application in improving load-point reliability. This growing proliferation, however, is changing the traditional consumption load curves by adding considerable levels of variability and further challenging the electricity supply-demand balance. In this paper, the application of microgrids in effectively capturing the distribution network net load variability, caused primarily by the prosumers, is investigated. Microgrids provide a viable and localized solution to this challenge while removing the need for costly investments by the electric utility on reinforcing the existing electricity infrastructure. A flexibility-oriented microgrid optimal scheduling model is proposed and developed to coordinate the microgrid net load with the aggregated consumers/prosumers net load in the distribution network with a focus on ramping issues. The proposed coordination is performed to capture both inter-hour and intra-hour net load variabilities. Numerical simulations on a test distribution feeder with one microgrid and several consumers and prosumers exhibit the effectiveness of the proposed model.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2016

Capturing the Variabilities of Distribution Network Net-Load via Available Flexibility of Microgrids

Renewable energy has attracted significant attention over the last decade, conceivably due to its environmental benefits and the recent drops in the development and deployment cost of the technology. The increase in renewable generation, however, has resulted in new challenges in supply-load balancing, owing to its intermittent, non-predictable and volatile generation features. Several methods have been introduced to cope with negative impacts of the renewable generation deployment. In this paper, a novel method, i.e., the application of microgrids in capturing the variabilities of distributed renewable generation in distribution networks is proposed and investigated. Utilizing available flexibility of microgrids represents a local and viable solution which leads to lower investments from electric utilities for increasing their flexibility and providing more reserved power. It is investigated that how the system flexibility requirements can be integrated into the microgrid optimal scheduling model to enable microgrids in supporting the grid operators by offering flexibility services. Using the proposed flexibility constraints, intra-hour and inter-hour variabilities at the distribution feeder will be efficiently captured. Numerical simulations on a test distribution feeder, with one microgrid and several renewable-equipped consumers, show the effectiveness of the proposed model.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2016

Levelized Cost of Energy Calculation for Energy Storage Systems

The levelized cost of energy (LCOE) presents the energy-normalized cost of a generation asset by considering all associated costs (investment and operation) and total generated energy over its life cycle. As LCOE is a levelized value, it provides a quick and easy measure to compare different energy resource technologies with different characteristics. The LCOE calculation for large-scale power plants and distributed generations (DGs) is extensively studied and can be found in the literature. The discussions on the LCOE calculation for energy storage systems, however, is limited. Although still relatively expensive compared to generation technologies, energy storage is gaining significant attention and has been deployed extensively during the past few years, conceivably due to its many benefits such as load shifting, energy arbitrage, and renewable coordination. Therefore, LCOE calculation of energy storage systems plays an important role in economic evaluation of power systems. This paper proposes a method for calculating the LCOE of energy storage, and further provides the sensitivity analysis with respect to changes in capacity, electricity market prices, and efficiency.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2016

Distributed Algorithms for Peak Ramp Minimization Problem in Smart Grid

The arrival of small-scale distributed energy generation in the future smart grid has led to the emergence of so-called prosumers, who can both consume as well as produce energy. By using local generation from renewable energy resources, the stress on power generation and supply system can be significantly reduced during high demand periods. However, this also creates a significant challenge for conventional power plants that suddenly need to ramp up quickly when the renewable energy drops off. In this paper, we propose an energy consumption scheduling problem for prosumers to minimize the peak ramp of the system. The optimal schedule of prosumers can be obtained by solving the centralized optimization problem. However, due to the privacy concerns and the distributed topology of the power system, the centralized design is difficult to implement in practice. Therefore, we propose the distributed algorithms to efficiently solve the centralized problem using the alternating direction method of multiplier (ADMM), in which each prosumer independently schedules its energy consumption profile. The simulation results demonstrate the convergence performance of the proposed algorithms as well as the capability of our model in reducing the peak ramp of the system.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2016

Application of Microgrids in Addressing Distribution Network Net-Load Ramping

In spite of all advantages of solar energy, its deployment will significantly change the typical electric load profile, thus necessitating a change in traditional distribution grid management practices. In particular, the net load ramping, created as a result of simultaneous solar generation drop and load increase at early evening hours, is one of the major operational issues that needs to be carefully addressed. In this paper, microgrids are utilized to offer a viable and localized solution to this challenge while removing the need for costly investments by the electric utility. In this regard, first the microgrid ramping capability is determined via a min-max optimization, and second, the microgrid optimal scheduling model is developed to coordinate the microgrid net load with the distribution grid net load for addressing the ramping issue. Numerical simulations on a test distribution feeder with one microgrid exhibit the effectiveness of the proposed model.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2016

Leveraging Microgrids for Capturing Uncertain Distribution Network Net Load Ramping

In this paper, a flexibility-oriented microgrid optimal scheduling model is proposed to mitigate distribution network net load variability caused by large penetration distributed solar generation. The distributed solar generation variability, which is caused by increasing adoption of this technology by end-use consumers, is mainly addressed by electric utilities using grid reinforcement. Microgrids, however, provide viable and local solutions to this pressing challenge. The proposed model, which is developed using mixed-integer programming and employs robust optimization, not only can efficiently capture distribution network net load variations, mainly in terms of ramping, but also accounts for possible uncertainties in forecasting. Numerical simulations on a test distribution feeder with one microgrid and several consumers/prosumers indicate the effectiveness of the proposed model.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2016

Interdependency of Transmission and Distribution Pricing

Distribution markets are among the prospect being considered for the future of power systems. They would facilitate integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) and microgrids via a market mechanism and enable them to monetize services they can provide. This paper follows the ongoing work in implementing the distribution market operator (DMO) concept, and its clearing and settlement procedures, and focuses on investigating the pricing conducted by the DMO. The distribution locational marginal prices (D-LMPs) and their relationship with the transmission system locational marginal prices (T-LMPs) are subject of this paper. Numerical simulations on a test distribution system exhibit the benefits and drawbacks of the proposed DMO pricing processes.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2016

Market-based vs. Price-based Microgrid Optimal Scheduling

An optimal scheduling model for a microgrid participating in the electricity distribution market in interaction with a Distribution Market Operator (DMO) is proposed in this paper. The DMO administers the established electricity market in the distribution level, sets electricity prices, determines the amount of the power exchange among market participants, and interacts with the Independent System Operator (ISO). Considering a predetermined main grid power transfer to the microgrid, the microgrid scheduling problem will aim at balancing the power supply and demand while taking financial objectives into account. Numerical simulations exhibit the application and the effectiveness of the proposed market-based microgrid scheduling model and further investigate merits over a price-based scheme.

eess.SY↗