arXiv subjects

Amir Mohammad Esmaieeli Sikaroudi

Publications and source records attributed to Amir Mohammad Esmaieeli Sikaroudi.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2024

Unraveling the Geography of Infection Spread: Harnessing Super-Agents for Predictive Modeling

Our study presents an intermediate-level modeling approach that bridges the gap between complex Agent-Based Models (ABMs) and traditional compartmental models for infectious diseases. We introduce "super-agents" to simulate infection spread in cities, reducing computational complexity while retaining individual-level interactions. This approach leverages real-world mobility data and strategic geospatial tessellations for efficiency. Voronoi Diagram tessellations, based on specific street network locations, outperform standard Census Block Group tessellations, and a hybrid approach balances accuracy and efficiency. Benchmarking against existing ABMs highlights key optimizations. This research improves disease modeling in urban areas, aiding public health strategies in scenarios requiring geographic specificity and high computational efficiency.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2022

Prediction and Prevention of Pandemics via Graphical Model Inference and Convex Programming

Hard-to-predict bursts of COVID-19 pandemic revealed significance of statistical modeling which would resolve spatio-temporal correlations over geographical areas, for example spread of the infection over a city with census tract granularity. In this manuscript, we provide algorithmic answers to the following two inter-related public health challenges. (1) Inference Challenge: assuming that there are $N$ census blocks (nodes) in the city, and given an initial infection at any set of nodes, what is the probability for a subset of census blocks to become infected by the time the spread of the infection burst is stabilized? (2) Prevention Challenge: What is the minimal control action one can take to minimize the infected part of the stabilized state footprint? To answer the challenges, we build a Graphical Model of pandemic of the attractive Ising (pair-wise, binary) type, where each node represents a census track and each edge factor represents the strength of the pairwise interaction between a pair of nodes. We show that almost all attractive Ising Models on dense graphs result in either of the two modes for the most probable state: either all nodes which were not infected initially became infected, or all the initially uninfected nodes remain uninfected. This bi-modal solution of the Inference Challenge allows us to re-state the Prevention Challenge as the following tractable convex programming: for the bare Ising Model with pair-wise and bias factors representing the system without prevention measures, such that the MAP state is fully infected for at least one of the initial infection patterns, find the closest, in $l_1$ norm, set of factors resulting in all the MAP states of the Ising model, with the optimal prevention measures applied, to become safe.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2020

Predictive process mining by network of classifiers and clusterers: the PEDF model

In this research, a model is proposed to learn from event log and predict future events of a system. The proposed PEDF model learns based on events' sequences, durations, and extra features. The PEDF model is built by a network made of standard clusterers and classifiers, and it has high flexibility to update the model iteratively. The model requires to extract two sets of data from log files i.e., transition differences, and cumulative features. The model has one layer of memory which means that each transition is dependent on both the current event and the previous event. To evaluate the performance of the proposed model, it is compared to the Recurrent Neural Network and Sequential Prediction models, and it outperforms them. Since there is missing performance measure for event log prediction models, three measures are proposed.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2017

Foot anthropometry device and single object image thresholding

This paper introduces a device, algorithm and graphical user interface to obtain anthropometric measurements of foot. Presented device facilitates obtaining scale of image and image processing by taking one image from side foot and underfoot simultaneously. Introduced image processing algorithm minimizes a noise criterion, which is suitable for object detection in single object images and outperforms famous image thresholding methods when lighting condition is poor. Performance of image-based method is compared to manual method. Image-based measurements of underfoot in average was 4mm less than actual measures. Mean absolute error of underfoot length was 1.6mm, however length obtained from side foot had 4.4mm mean absolute error. Furthermore, based on t-test and f-test results, no significant difference between manual and image-based anthropometry observed. In order to maintain anthropometry process performance in different situations user interface designed for handling changes in light conditions and altering speed of the algorithm.

cs.CV↗