arXiv subjects

AmirHossein Eshghi

Publications and source records attributed to AmirHossein Eshghi.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

A Multi-Timestep LSTM Ensemble regressor for Enhanced Short-Term Runoff Prediction

Accurately forecasting river runoff is key to managing water resources, controlling floods, and planning agriculture. This study examines the Ajichay River in northwest Iran, a major tributary of Lake Urmia that has experienced increasing water-related stress in recent years. We introduce a daily runoff prediction model based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. The model combines five LSTM units, each trained on different time intervals ranging from 2 to 6 days, to better capture variations in river flow patterns. To improve performance, each model was fine-tuned using Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), a population-based optimization algorithm. The proposed approach was evaluated on unseen data from 2017-2018 using $R^2$, RMSE, and MSE as performance metrics. The results showed strong predictive accuracy, with $R^2$ values ranging from 74.95% to 91.42%. In addition, multiple feature-importance methods were applied to identify the most influential variables, providing further insight into the factors that drive runoff variations.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Class Activation Mapping in Explainable Computer Vision: A Method-Centered Review of CNN, Transformer, and Foundation-Model-Era Visual Explanations

Class activation mapping (CAM) is one of the most widely used visual explanation families in explainable artificial intelligence. Its purpose is intuitive: it converts internal model evidence into a heatmap that highlights the image regions, convolutional channels, tokens, or patches that support a target class or concept. Since the first CAM formulation in 2016, the field has moved far beyond global-average-pooled CNN classifiers. CAM-style methods now include gradient-based post-hoc explanations, gradient-free score and ablation methods, high-resolution upscaling, weakly supervised localization and segmentation, transformer token attribution, causal and debiasing methods, and foundation-model-era approaches that use CLIP, DINO, SAM, or feature-distribution comparisons. This review synthesizes a strict corpus of 57 method-centered papers published from 2016 onward. The paper develops a taxonomy that separates methods by attribution mechanism, architectural dependence, and evaluation objective. It then reviews gradient-based CAMs, recent and hybrid CAM-style methods, and model-based or architecture-aware methods. Across the corpus, the main trend is clear: the field is shifting from explaining one class score in one low-resolution CNN layer toward comparative, multi-layer, probabilistic, token-aware, and foundation-model-aware explanations. At the same time, evaluation remains fragmented. Faithfulness, localization, robustness, computational cost, and human trust are often measured with different protocols. The review therefore emphasizes not only what each method contributes, but also which gap it leaves open and which later methods attempt to close that gap.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2026

Personalized Scorer Modeling: A Learning-Based Framework for Deriving Robust Sleep Stage Labels from Multiple Experts

Sleep stage classification is important for the diagnosis and management of sleep disorders, yet most automatic staging studies evaluate models against a single reference hypnogram despite known inter-scorer variability. This study investigates whether multi-scored datasets can be used to construct more reliable reference labels from the collective behavior of multiple experts. We use the publicly available DOD-H and DOD-O datasets. EEG (C3-M2) and chin EMG signals were segmented into 30-s epochs, and 30 features were extracted from each modality, yielding 60 features for EEG+EMG. We propose a learning-based hypnogram (LBH) that models the stage-specific behavior of each scorer using confusion matrices derived from machine-learning models. After column normalization, these matrices estimate the probability of each true sleep stage given each scorer's label; probabilities are aggregated across scorers to assign the final label for each epoch. LBH was evaluated with random forest, support vector machine, and multilayer perceptron classifiers under EEG-only and EEG+EMG settings, and compared with the dataset hypnogram (DH) and best-scorer hypnogram (BSH). LBH consistently improved overall performance. The best results were obtained with random forest and EEG+EMG, reaching 86.07% accuracy, 85.46% precision, and 85.29% F1-score on DOD-H, and 86.04% accuracy, 85.21% precision, and 84.70% F1-score on DOD-O. These findings suggest that personalized scorer modeling can improve reference hypnogram construction without discarding information from individual experts.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

A Hybrid AI Framework for Academic Advising: Integrating Ensemble-Based Grade Prediction and a Rule-Based Expert System

The rapidly increasing student population has posed serious challenges to the traditional academic advising process. This study designs and implements a multi-purpose intelligent system to support students' academic progress, based on a two-part hybrid framework: (1) an advanced model for grade prediction and (2) a rule-based recommendation engine. Using a dataset containing 416,558 educational records from the University of Birjand, students were first divided into homogeneous clusters using the Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM). Subsequently, a Stacking Ensemble model combining Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and MLP was trained specifically for each cluster. Evaluation results demonstrated that the Stacking model outperformed base models across all clusters, achieving a final aggregated RMSE of 2.35. The second component is an expert system that provides intelligent recommendations by synergizing educational regulations with the grades predicted by the first component. This system has been implemented as a practical tool on the University of Birjand portal, offering students real-time feedback such as semester GPA prediction, probation risk warnings, and course suggestions for GPA improvement.

cs.AI↗