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Amit N. Kumar

Publications and source records attributed to Amit N. Kumar.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

American Options Pricing under Heston Model via Curriculum Learning in Coupled PINNs

In American options, the early exercise feature allows the option to be exercised at any time prior to expiration. However, this flexibility introduces a challenge: the pricing model must value the option while simultaneously determining an unknown, time-varying exercise boundary. The Heston model is one of the most popular ways to model real market behavior because it allows volatility to change over time. However, unlike European options, there is no closed-form solution for American options under the Heston model, so we have to use numerical methods. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to solving the stochastic Heston partial differential equation for American options, using coupled physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) to predict both the option price and the free boundary, while employing curriculum learning and adaptive resampling to stabilize model training. Our work builds on recent deep learning methods but introduces a more effective training strategy to address the limitations of these approaches. The numerical results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed learning framework, providing a robust and efficient alternative to pricing American options, enabling rapid inference and accurate estimation under stochastic volatility.

q-fin.CP

Distribution of a Unified $(k_1,k_2,\ldots,k_m)$-run

We explore a unified $(k_1,k_2,\ldots,k_m)$-run in multi-state trials, examining its distributional properties and waiting time distribution. Our study reveals that this particular run serves as a generalization encompassing various patterns. Additionally, we discuss various results pertaining to existing patterns as special cases. To illustrate our findings, we provide an application related to DNA frequent patterns.

math.PR

Prediction of Cryptocurrency Prices through a Path Dependent Monte Carlo Simulation

In this paper, our focus lies on the Merton's jump diffusion model, employing jump processes characterized by the compound Poisson process. Our primary objective is to forecast the drift and volatility of the model using a variety of methodologies. We adopt an approach that involves implementing different drift, volatility, and jump terms within the model through various machine learning techniques, traditional methods, and statistical methods on price-volume data. Additionally, we introduce a path-dependent Monte Carlo simulation to model cryptocurrency prices, taking into account the volatility and unexpected jumps in prices.

q-fin.ST

Binomial Approximation to Locally Dependent CDO

In this paper, we develop Stein's method for binomial approximation using the stop-loss metric that allows one to obtain a bound on the error term between the expectation of call functions. We obtain the results for a locally dependent collateralized debt obligation (CDO), under certain conditions on moments. The results are also exemplified for an independent CDO. Finally, it is shown that our bounds are sharper than the existing bounds.

math.PR

Bounds on Negative Binomial Approximation to Call Function

In this paper, we develop Stein's method for negative binomial distribution using call function defined by $f_z(k)=(k-z)^+=\max\{k-z,0\}$, for $k\ge 0$ and $z \ge 0$. We obtain error bounds between $\mathbb{E}[f_z(\text{N}_{r,p})]$ and $\mathbb{E}[f_z(V)]$, where $\text{N}_{r,p}$ follows negative binomial distribution and $V$ is the sum of locally dependent random variables, using certain conditions on moments. We demonstrate our results through an interesting application, namely, collateralized debt obligation (CDO), and compare the bounds with the existing bounds.

math.PR

Approximations to Weighted Sums of Random Variables

In this paper, we obtain error bound for binomial and negative binomial approximations to weighted sums of locally dependent random variables, using Stein's method. We also discuss approximation results for weighted sums of independent random variables. We demonstrate our results through some applications in finance and runs in statistics.

math.PR

Approximations Related to the Sums of $m$-dependent Random Variables

In this paper, we consider the sums of non-negative integer valued $m$-dependent random variables, and its approximation to the power series distribution. We first discuss some relevant results for power series distribution such as Stein operator, uniform and non-uniform bounds on the solution of Stein equation, and etc. Using Stein's method, we obtain the error bounds for the approximation problem considered. As special cases, we discuss two applications, namely, $2$-runs and $(k_1,k_2)$-runs and compare the bound with the existing bounds.

math.PR