SearcharxivSearch

arXiv subjects

Ana Busic

Publications and source records attributed to Ana Busic.

12 recordsLinked to original sources

Learning Equilibria in Coordination Games via Minorization-Maximization

This paper considers games where the utilities for agents are the sum of a term proportional to a social utility, and another term that is an individual cost or reward. The agents are assumed to be irrational in their perception of the individual cost or reward. The multi equilibrium game is regularized, and its strictly concave potential function is used to select a unique equilibrium. This selected equilibrium is shown to be an $\epsilon-$equilibrium of the original game, where $\epsilon$ is parametrized by the regularizing function. A minorization-maximization based iterative learning scheme is proposed to learn equilibria in this game. This scheme converges to the potential-optimal equilibrium, and has superior convergence behaviour in comparison to gradient and best response methods.

cs.GT

On the sub-additivity of stochastic matching

We consider a stochastic matching model with a general compatibility graph, as introduced in \cite{MaiMoy16}. We prove that most common matching policies (including FCFM, priorities and random) satisfy a particular sub-additive property, which we exploit to show in many cases, the coupling-from-the-past to the steady state, using a backwards scheme {\em \`a la} Loynes. We then use these results to explicitly construct perfect bi-infinite matchings, and to build a perfect simulation algorithm in the case where the buffer of the system is finite.

math.PR

Moment Constrained Optimal Transport for Control Applications

This paper concerns the application of techniques from optimal transport (OT) to mean field control, in which the probability measures of interest in OT correspond to empirical distributions associated with a large collection of controlled agents. The control objective of interest motivates a one-sided relaxation of OT, in which the first marginal is fixed and the second marginal is constrained to a moment class: a set of probability measures defined by generalized moment constraints. This relaxation is particularly interesting for control problems as it enables the coordination of agents without the need to know the desired distribution beforehand. The inclusion of an entropic regularizer is motivated by both computational considerations, and also to impose hard constraints on agent behavior. A computational approach inspired by the Sinkhorn algorithm is proposed to solve this problem. This new approach to distributed control is illustrated with an application of charging a fleet of electric vehicles while satisfying grid constraints. An online version is proposed and applied in a case study on the ElaadNL dataset containing 10,000 EV charging transactions in the Netherlands. This empirical validation demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed approach to optimizing flexibility while respecting grid constraints.

math.OC

Energy Storage Optimization for Grid Reliability

Large scale renewable energy integration is being planned for multiple power grids around the world. To achieve secure and stable grid operations, additional resources/reserves are needed to mitigate the inherent intermittency of renewable energy sources (RES). In this paper, we present formulations to understand the effect of fast storage reserves in improving grid reliability under different cost functions. Our formulations and solution schemes not only aim to minimize imbalance but also maintain state-of-charge (SoC) of storage. In particular, we show that accounting for system response due to inertia and local governor response enables a more realistic quantification of storage requirements for damping net load fluctuations. The storage requirement is significantly lower than values determined when such traditional response are not accounted for. We demonstrate the performance of our designed policies through studies using real data from the Elia TSO in Belgium and BPA agency in the USA. The numerical results enable us to benchmark the marginal effect on reliability due to increasing storage size under different system responses and associated cost functions.

eess.SY

Risk-Averse Equilibrium Analysis and Computation

We consider two market designs for a network of prosumers, trading energy: (i) a centralized design which acts as a benchmark, and (ii) a peer-to-peer market design. High renewable energy penetration requires that the energy market design properly handles uncertainty. To that purpose, we consider risk neutral models for market designs (i), (ii), and their risk-averse interpretations in which prosumers are endowed with coherent risk measures reflecting heterogeneity in their risk attitudes. We characterize analytically risk-neutral and risk-averse equilibrium in terms of existence and uniqueness , relying on Generalized Nash Equilibrium and Variational Equilibrium as solution concepts. To hedge their risk towards uncertainty and complete the market, prosumers can trade financial contracts. We provide closed form characterisations of the risk-adjusted probabilities under different market regimes and a distributed algorithm for risk trading mechanism relying on the Generalized potential game structure of the problem. The impact of risk heterogeneity and financial contracts on the prosumers' expected costs are analysed numerically in a three node network and the IEEE 14-bus network.

cs.GT

Arbitrage with Power Factor Correction using Energy Storage

The importance of reactive power compensation for power factor (PF) correction will significantly increase with the large-scale integration of distributed generation interfaced via inverters producing only active power. In this work, we focus on co-optimizing energy storage for performing energy arbitrage as well as local power factor correction. The joint optimization problem is non-convex, but can be solved efficiently using a McCormick relaxation along with penalty-based schemes. Using numerical simulations on real data and realistic storage profiles, we show that energy storage can correct PF locally without reducing arbitrage profit. It is observed that active and reactive power control is largely decoupled in nature for performing arbitrage and PF correction (PFC). Furthermore, we consider a real-time implementation of the problem with uncertain load, renewable and pricing profiles. We develop a model predictive control based storage control policy using auto-regressive forecast for the uncertainty. We observe that PFC is primarily governed by the size of the converter and therefore, look-ahead in time in the online setting does not affect PFC noticeably. However, arbitrage profit are more sensitive to uncertainty for batteries with faster ramp rates compared to slow ramping batteries.

eess.SY

The power disaggregation algorithms and their applications to demand dispatch

We were interested in solving a power disaggregation problem which comes down to estimating the power consumption of each device given the total power consumption of the whole house. We started by looking at the Factorial Hierarchical Dirichlet Process - Hidden Semi-Markov Model. However, the inference method had a complexity which scales withthe number of observations. Thus, we developed an online algorithm based on particle filters. We applied the method to data from Pecan Street https://dataport.cloud/ using Python. We applied the disaggregation algorithm to the control techniques used in Demand Dispatch.

stat.AP

Loynes construction for the extended bipartite matching

We propose an explicit construction of the stationary state of Extended Bipartite Matching (EBM) models, as defined in (Busic et. al., 2013). We use a Loynes-type backwards scheme similar in flavor to that in (Moyal et al., 2017), allowing to show the existence and uniqueness of a bi-infinite perfect matching under various conditions, for a large class of matching policies and of bipartite matching structures. The key algebraic element of our construction is the sub-additivity of a suitable stochastic recursive representation of the model, satisfied under most usual matching policies. By doing so, we also derive stability conditions for the system under general stationary ergodic assumptions, subsuming the classical markovian settings.

math.PR

A product form for the general stochastic matching model

We consider a stochastic matching model with a general compatibility graph, as introduced in \cite{MaiMoy16}. We show that the natural necessary condition of stability of the system is also sufficient for the natural matching policy 'First Come, First Matched' (FCFM). For doing so, we derive the stationary distribution under a remarkable product form, by using an original dynamic reversibility property related to that of \cite{ABMW17} for the bipartite matching model.

math.PR

Reversibility and further properties of FCFS infinite bipartite matching

The model of FCFS infinite bipartite matching was introduced in caldentey-kaplan-weiss 2009. In this model there is a sequence of items that are chosen i.i.d. from $\mathcal{C}=\{c_1,\ldots,c_I\}$ and an independent sequence of items that are chosen i.i.d. from $\mathcal{S}=\{s_1,\ldots,s_J\}$, and a bipartite compatibility graph $G$ between $\mathcal{C}$ and $\mathcal{S}$. Items of the two sequences are matched according to the compatibility graph, and the matching is FCFS, each item in the one sequence is matched to the earliest compatible unmatched item in the other sequence. In adan-weiss 2011 a Markov chain associated with the matching was analyzed, a condition for stability was verified, a product form stationary distribution was derived and the rates $r_{c_i,s_j}$ of matches between compatible types $c_i$ and $s_j$ were calculated. In the current paper, we present several new results that unveil the fundamental structure of the model. First, we provide a pathwise Loynes' type construction which enables to prove the existence of a unique matching for the model defined over all the integers. Second, we prove that the model is dynamically reversible: we define an exchange transformation in which we interchange the positions of each matched pair, and show that the items in the resulting permuted sequences are again independent and i.i.d., and the matching between them is FCFS in reversed time. Third, we obtain product form stationary distributions of several new Markov chains associated with the model. As a by product, we compute useful performance measures, for instance the link lengths between matched items.

math.PR

Density classification on infinite lattices and trees

Consider an infinite graph with nodes initially labeled by independent Bernoulli random variables of parameter p. We address the density classification problem, that is, we want to design a (probabilistic or deterministic) cellular automaton or a finite-range interacting particle system that evolves on this graph and decides whether p is smaller or larger than 1/2. Precisely, the trajectories should converge to the uniform configuration with only 0's if p<1/2, and only 1's if p>1/2. We present solutions to that problem on the d-dimensional lattice, for any d>1, and on the regular infinite trees. For Z, we propose some candidates that we back up with numerical simulations.

math.PR

Probabilistic cellular automata, invariant measures, and perfect sampling

A probabilistic cellular automaton (PCA) can be viewed as a Markov chain. The cells are updated synchronously and independently, according to a distribution depending on a finite neighborhood. We investigate the ergodicity of this Markov chain. A classical cellular automaton is a particular case of PCA. For a 1-dimensional cellular automaton, we prove that ergodicity is equivalent to nilpotency, and is therefore undecidable. We then propose an efficient perfect sampling algorithm for the invariant measure of an ergodic PCA. Our algorithm does not assume any monotonicity property of the local rule. It is based on a bounding process which is shown to be also a PCA. Last, we focus on the PCA Majority, whose asymptotic behavior is unknown, and perform numerical experiments using the perfect sampling procedure.

math.PR