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András Tóbiás

Publications and source records attributed to András Tóbiás.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Resident fitness computation in linear time and other algorithmic aspects of interacting trajectories

Systems of interacting trajectories were recently studied in~\cite{HGSTW24}. Such a system of $[0,1]$-valued piecewise linear trajectories arises as a scaling limit of the system of logarithmic subpopulation sizes in a population-genetic model (more precisely, a Moran model) with mutation and selection. By definition, the resident fitness is initially 0 and afterwards it increases by the ultimate slope of each trajectory that reaches height 1. We show that although the interaction of $n$ trajectories may yield $Ω(n^2)$ slope changes in total, the resident fitness function can be computed algorithmically in $O(n)$ time. Our algorithm uses the so-called continued lines representation of the system of interacting trajectories. In the special case of Poissonian interacting trajectories where the birth times of the trajectories form a Poisson process and the initial slopes are random and i.i.d., we provide a linear bound on the expected total number of slope changes.

cs.DS↗

Logarithmic scaling of selective sweep curves: from tents to houses

One of the classical results of mathematical population genetics states that the frequency of a beneficial mutant's offspring, on its way to fixation in a large population, looks like a logistic curve. A logarithmic scaling (both in height and time) of these selective sweep curves leads (in the case of strong selection) to a tent-like shape in the large population limit: First the logarithmic frequency of the mutant increases linearly from 0 to 1, then that of the former resident decreases from 1 to 0. For moderate selection the logarithmic frequencies develop (in the large population limit) a jump at the beginning/the end of the sweep, which takes the shape of the tent into that of a house. Our main result (proved for the Moran model) assesses the regularity of this convergence in the large population limit: It is uniform in the house's roof (phases of linear growth and decline) and "Skorokhod $M_1$" in the house's walls (closely around the jumps). Apart from interest in its own right, we anticipate that this result and the proof techniques will be instrumental for extending the description of clonal interference by Poissonian interacting trajectories (as it was done in Hermann et al. (2024) for strong selection) also to moderate selection.

math.PR↗

Local criteria for global connectivity comparisons: beyond stochastic domination

We introduce a site-wise domination criterion for local percolation models, which enables the comparison of one-arm probabilities even in the absence of stochastic domination. The method relies on a local-to-global principle: if, at each site, one model is more likely than the other to connect to a subset of its neighbors, for all nontrivial such subsets, then this advantage propagates to connectivity events at all scales. In this way, we obtain a robust alternative to stochastic domination, applicable in all cases where the latter works and in many where it does not. As a main application, we compare classical Bernoulli bond percolation with degree-constrained models, showing that degree constraints enhance percolation, and obtain asymptotically optimal bounds on critical parameters for degree-constrained models.

math.PR↗

The interplay of selection and dormancy in a Moran model can lead to coexistence of types

In this paper we propose a Moran model that describes the population dynamics of two types: While the first type has a selective advantage during reproduction, the second type can avoid replacement during reproduction with some positive probability by switching temporarily into a dormant state. We investigate the interplay of both evolutionary strategies by studying the invasion dynamics of the dormant type into the resident (selectively advantageous) population in the large population limit of the system. It turns out that the dormancy trait can not only invade and subsequently fixate under suitable parameter assumptions despite its selective disadvantage (a phenomenon that has already been observed in a related context in Blath and Tóbiás (2020)), but that there is also a novel regime of stable coexistence of both types due to a frequency-dependent balancing effect that did not arise in the previous setup with Lotka--Volterra type symmetric competition. The emergence of a coexistence regime here rests in part on specific properties of the Moran modelling framework, in particular its fixed overall population size that enforces instant re-colonization after death events, as well as on the (positive) mortality and resuscitation rates of the dormant state. We provide heuristic explanations for the observed types of behaviour and the corresponding proofs, which involve comparisons to suitable branching processes, approximations by dynamical systems, and an analysis of asymptotic behaviour of the latter.

q-bio.PE↗

Emergence of microbial host dormancy during a persistent virus epidemic

We study a minimal stochastic individual-based model for a microbial population challenged by a persistent (lytic) virus epidemic. We focus on the situation in which the resident microbial host population and the virus population are in stable coexistence upon arrival of a single new ``mutant'' host individual. We assume that this mutant is capable of switching to a reversible state of dormancy upon contact with virions as a means of avoiding infection by the virus. At the same time, we assume that this new dormancy trait comes with a cost, namely a reduced individual reproduction rate. We prove that there is a non-trivial range of parameters where the mutants can nevertheless invade the resident population with strictly positive probability (bounded away from 0) in the large population limit. Given the reduced reproductive rate, such an invasion would be impossible in the absence of either the dormancy trait or the virus epidemic. We explicitly characterize the parameter regime where this emergence of a (costly) host dormancy trait is possible, determine the success probability of a single invader and the typical amount of time it takes the successful mutants to reach a macroscopic population size. We conclude this study by an investigation of the fate of the population after the successful emergence of a dormancy trait. Heuristic arguments and simulations suggest that after successful invasion, either both host types and the virus will reach coexistence, or the mutants will drive the resident hosts to extinction while the virus will stay in the system.

math.PR↗

From clonal interference to Poissonian interacting trajectories

We consider a population whose size $N$ is fixed over the generations, and in which random beneficial mutations arrive at a rate of order $1/\log N$ per generation. In this so-called Gerrish--Lenski regime, typically a finite number of contending mutations are present together with one resident type. These mutations compete for fixation, a phenomenon addressed as clonal interference. We introduce and study a Poissonian system of interacting trajectories (PIT), and prove that it arises as a large population scaling limit of the logarithmic sizes of the contending clonal subpopulations in a continuous-time Moran model with strong selection. We show that the PIT exhibits an almost surely positive asymptotic rate of fitness increase (speed of adaptation), which turns out to be finite if and only if fitness increments have a finite expectation. We relate this speed to heuristic predictions from the literature. Furthermore, we derive a functional central limit theorem for the fitness of the resident population in the PIT.

math.PR↗

Renewal contact process with dormancy

We consider the contact process with dormancy, where wake-up times follow a renewal process. Without infection between dormant individuals, we show that the process under certain conditions grows at most logarithmically. On the other hand, if infections between dormant individuals are possible, the process survives with positive probability even on finite graphs.

math.PR↗

Percolation in lattice $k$-neighbor graphs

We define a random graph obtained via connecting each point of $\mathbb{Z}^d$ independently to a fixed number $1 \leq k \leq 2d$ of its nearest neighbors via a directed edge. We call this graph the directed $k$-neighbor graph. Two natural associated undirected graphs are the undirected and the bidirectional $k$-neighbor graph, where we connect two vertices by an undirected edge whenever there is a directed edge in the directed $k$-neighbor graph between them in at least one, respectively precisely two, directions. In these graphs we study the question of percolation, i.e., the existence of an infinite self-avoiding path. Using different kinds of proof techniques for different classes of cases, we show that for $k=1$ even the undirected $k$-neighbor graph never percolates, but the directed one percolates whenever $k \geq d+1$, $k \geq 3$ and $d \geq 5$, or $k \geq 4$ and $d=4$. We also show that the undirected $2$-neighbor graph percolates for $d=2$, the undirected $3$-neighbor graph percolates for $d=3$, and we provide some positive and negative percolation results regarding the bidirectional graph as well. A heuristic argument for high dimensions indicates that this class of models is a natural discrete analogue of the $k$-nearest-neighbor graphs studied in continuum percolation, and our results support this interpretation.

math.PR↗

Scaling limit of an adaptive contact process

We introduce and study an interacting particle system evolving on the $d$-dimensional torus $(\mathbb Z/N\mathbb Z)^d$. Each vertex of the torus can be either empty or occupied by an individual of type $λ\in (0,\infty)$. An individual of type $λ$ dies with rate one and gives birth at each neighboring empty position with rate $λ$; moreover, when the birth takes place, the newborn individual is likely to have the same type as the parent, but has a small probability of being a mutant. A mutant child of an individual of type $λ$ has type chosen according to a probability kernel. We consider the asymptotic behavior of this process when $N\to \infty$ and the parameter $δ_N$ tends to zero fast enough that mutations are sufficiently separated in time, so that the amount of time spent on configurations with more than one type becomes negligible. We show that, after a suitable time scaling and deletion of the periods of time spent on configurations with more than one type, the process converges to a Markov jump process on $(0,\infty)$, whose rates we characterize.

math.PR↗

The wave speed of an FKPP equation with jumps via coordinated branching

We consider a Fisher-KPP equation with nonlinear selection driven by a Poisson random measure. We prove that the equation admits a unique wave speed $ \mathfrak{s}> 0 $ given by $\frac{\mathfrak{s}^{2}}{2} = \int_{[0, 1]}\frac{ \log{(1 + y)}}{y} \mathfrak{R}( \mathrm d y)$ where $ \mathfrak{R} $ is the intensity of the impacts of the driving noise. Our arguments are based on upper and lower bounds via a quenched duality with a coordinated system of branching Brownian motions.

math.PR↗

A Stochastic Adaptive Dynamics Model for Bacterial Populations with Mutation, Dormancy and Transfer

This paper introduces a stochastic adaptive dynamics model for the interplay of several crucial traits and mechanisms in bacterial evolution, namely dormancy, horizontal gene transfer (HGT), mutation and competition. In particular, it combines the recent model of Champagnat, Méléard and Tran (2021) involving HGT with the model for competition-induced dormancy of Blath and Tóbiás (2020). Our main result is a convergence theorem which describes the evolution of the different traits in the population on a `doubly logarithmic scale' as piece-wise affine functions. Interestingly, even for a relatively small trait space, the limiting process exhibits a non-monotone dependence of the success of the dormancy trait on the dormancy initiation probability. Further, the model establishes a new `approximate coexistence regime' for multiple traits that has not been observed in previous literature.

math.PR↗

Microbial virus epidemics in the presence of contact-mediated host dormancy

We investigate a stochastic individual-based model for the population dynamics of host-virus systems where the microbial hosts may transition into a dormant state upon contact with virions, thus evading infection. Such a contact-mediated defence mechanism was described in Bautista et al (2015) for an archaeal host, while Jackson and Fineran (2019) and Meeske et al (2019) describe a related, CRISPR-Cas induced, dormancy defense of bacterial hosts to curb phage epidemics. We first analyse the effect of the dormancy-related model parameters on the probability and time of invasion of a newly arriving virus into a resident host population. Given successful invasion in the stochastic system, we then show that the emergence (with high probability) of a persistent virus infection ('epidemic') in a large host population can be determined by the existence of a coexistence equilibrium for the dynamical system arising as the deterministic many-particle limit of our model. This is an extension of a dynamical system considered by Beretta and Kuang (1998) that is known to exhibit a Hopf bifurcation, giving rise to a 'paradox of enrichment'. In our system, we verify that the additional dormancy component can, at least for certain parameter ranges, prevent the associated loss of stability. Finally, we show that the presence of contact-mediated dormancy enables the host population to attain higher equilibrium sizes - while still being able to avoid a persistent epidemic - than host populations without this trait.

q-bio.PE↗

Absence of percolation in graphs based on stationary point processes with degrees bounded by two

We consider undirected graphs that arise as deterministic functions of stationary point processes such that each point has degree bounded by two. For a large class of point processes and edge-drawing rules, we show that the arising graph has no infinite connected component, almost surely. In particular, this extends our previous result for SINR graphs based on stabilizing Cox point processes and verifies the conjecture of Balister and Bollobás that the bidirectional $k$-nearest neighbor graph of a two-dimensional homogeneous Poisson point process does not percolate for $k=2$.

math.PR↗

The interplay of dormancy and transfer in bacterial populations: Invasion, fixation and coexistence regimes

We investigate the interplay between two fundamental mechanisms of microbial population dynamics and evolution called dormancy and horizontal gene transfer. The corresponding traits come in many guises and are ubiquitous in microbial communities, affecting their dynamics in important ways. Recently, they have each moved (separately) into the focus of stochastic individual-based modelling (Billiard et al. 2016, 2018; Champagnat, Méléard and Tran, 2021; Blath and Tóbiás 2020). Here, we examine their combined effects in a unified model. Indeed, we consider the (idealized) scenario of two sub-populations, respectively carrying 'trait 1' and 'trait 2', where trait 1 individuals are able to switch (under competitive pressure) into a dormant state, and trait 2 individuals are able to execute horizontal gene transfer, turning trait 1 individuals into trait 2 ones, at a rate depending on the frequency of individuals. In the large-population limit, we examine the fate of a single trait i individual (a 'mutant') arriving in a trait j resident population living in equilibrium, for $i,j=1,2,i \neq j$. We provide a complete analysis of the invasion dynamics in all cases where the resident population is individually fit and the initial behaviour of the mutant population is non-critical. We identify parameter regimes for the invasion and fixation of the new trait, stable coexistence of the two traits, and 'founder control' (where the initial resident always dominates, irrespective of its trait). The most striking result is that stable coexistence occurs in certain scenarios even if trait 2 (which benefits from transfer at the cost of trait 1) would be unfit when being merely on its own. In the case of founder control, the limiting dynamical system has an unstable coexistence equilibrium. In all cases, we observe the classical (up to 3) phases of invasion dynamics à la Champagnat (2006).

math.PR↗

Particle systems with coordination

We consider a generalization of spatial branching coalescing processes in which the behaviour of individuals is not (necessarily) independent, on the contrary, individuals tend to take simultaneous actions. We show that these processes have moment duals, which happen to be multidimensional diffusions with jumps. Moment duality provides a general framework to study structural properties of the processes in this class. We present some conditions under which the expectation of the process is not affected by coordination and comment on the effect of coordination on the variance. We analyse several examples in more detail, including the nested coalescent, the peripatric coalescent with selection and coordinated migration, and the Parabolic Anderson Model.

math.PR↗

Exponential moments for planar tessellations

In this paper we show existence of all exponential moments for the total edge length in a unit disk for a family of planar tessellations based on stationary point processes. Apart from classical such tessellations like the Poisson-Voronoi, Poisson-Delaunay and Poisson line tessellation, we also treat the Johnson-Mehl tessellation, Manhattan grids, nested versions and Palm versions. As part of our proofs, for some planar tessellations, we also derive existence of exponential moments for the number of cells and the number of edges intersecting the unit disk.

math.PR↗

SINR percolation for Cox point processes with random powers

Signal-to-interference plus noise ratio (SINR) percolation is an infinite-range dependent variant of continuum percolation modeling connections in a telecommunication network. Unlike in earlier works, in the present paper the transmitted signal powers of the devices of the network are assumed random, i.i.d. and possibly unbounded. Additionally, we assume that the devices form a stationary Cox point process, i.e., a Poisson point process with stationary random intensity measure, in two or higher dimensions. We present the following main results. First, under suitable moment conditions on the signal powers and the intensity measure, there is percolation in the SINR graph given that the device density is high and interferences are sufficiently reduced, but not vanishing. Second, if the interference cancellation factor $γ$ and the SINR threshold $τ$ satisfy $γ\geq 1/(2τ)$, then there is no percolation for any intensity parameter. Third, in the case of a Poisson point process with constant powers, for any intensity parameter that is supercritical for the underlying Gilbert graph, the SINR graph also percolates with some small but positive interference cancellation factor.

math.PR↗

Phase transitions for the Boolean model of continuum percolation for Cox point processes

We consider the Boolean model with random radii based on Cox point processes. Under a condition of stabilization for the random environment, we establish existence and non-existence of subcritical regimes for the size of the cluster at the origin in terms of volume, diameter and number of points. Further, we prove uniqueness of the infinite cluster for sufficiently connected environments.

math.PR↗