Correlation flow governs learning at criticality
The initialization of deep neural networks determines whether information and gradients can propagate across depth, yet a unified theory connecting these properties to learning dynamics remains elusive. Combining mean-field theory and random matrix theory, we establish a direct link between correlation propagation and the Neural Tangent Kernel (NTK) that governs learning in the sequential limit of infinitely wide, infinitely deep networks. Correlation propagation to infinite depth is possible only at a single, critical point in the weight-bias variance plane. At this point, we leverage the algebraic decay of the end-to-end Jacobian with depth to prove that the NTK becomes exactly proportional to the output correlation at infinite depth, tying together information propagation and learning dynamics. We further show that orthogonal initialization suppresses the leading finite-size corrections present under Gaussian initialization, clarifying the respective roles of the two initialization ensembles in this limit. These theoretical predictions are validated quantitatively on finite-width, finite-depth networks. Together, these results demonstrate that orthogonal initialization and criticality are required to control the asymptotic dynamics of deep learning.